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Forwarded from Pepe Escobar
THE HEGEMON SHADOW PLAY IN YEMEN

(Assuming it was gamed in the Beltway)

Cut off the EU from Chinese imports and Qatari gas.

As in: speed up EU de-industrialization.

Means to an end: launch a few missiles and block Maersk.

Obviously no one in Brussels did the math.
🇫🇮 As public support for Ukraine has waned over time, and Washington’s policy elites are shifting their focus more toward the conflict in Gaza, an endgame for Ukraine is desperately needed. U.S. and European officials have reportedly broached the issue of possible peace negotiations with their Ukrainian counterparts. This begs the question: What could a peace treaty between Kyiv and Moscow look like? One historical instance stands out among many as a potential model for how the Russo-Ukrainian War could end.

The “Winter War,” or the Soviet-Finnish War that took place from November 1939 to March 1940 (and was renewed by the Finns as allies of Germany between June 1941 and September 1944), has drawn some comparisons with the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. After Finland rejected an ultimatum to concede a considerable portion of its territory and the Soviet signing of the 1939 Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact, Joseph Stalin’s Red Army invaded Finland to install a puppet Communist Finnish government and eliminate a potentially hostile presence near the Soviet Union’s second city and only Baltic port of Leningrad.

Similar to the initial phase of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Soviet officials predicted that Helsinki would fall to Soviet troops in as little as three days. However, despite the Soviets outnumbering the Finns in soldiers by three to one, Helsinki succeeded in holding off the Red Army for more than three months, inflicting extremely heavy casualties on the invading forces.

Though Finland was eventually defeated and forced to concede about 11 percent of its territory, the Finns scored a moral victory. It is widely considered that the grit and courage of Finland’s resistance convinced Stalin that incorporating Finland into the Soviet Union or turning it into a Communist client state like Poland would be more trouble than it was worth. This also contributed to Stalin’s eventual agreement to sign a peace treaty with Finland in 1944 in return for a small amount of additional territory and a commitment on Helsinki’s part to neutrality. Finland thus became the only part of the former Russian Empire that was not reincorporated into the Soviet Union under Lenin and Stalin.

Helsinki had to sacrifice territory for autonomy, but its pride and prosperity soared 🏄

💬 Read more by Anatol Lieven and Alex Little

#Finland #Russia #USSR #history #Ukraine #war

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🔔 China and Russia have been remarkably quiet, watching carefully the global tectonic plates shifting around in response to the ‘two wars’ (Ukraine and Israel’s ‘multiwar’). Really it is not surprising; both states can sit back to simply watch Biden and his team persist with their strategic mistakes in Ukraine and in Israel’s multiple wars.

The interlacing of the two wars will, of course, shape the new era 🏁

There are substantive risks, but for now they can observe with comfort from afar as a climatic juncture in world politics unfolds, gradually raising the pace of the attrition to a circle of fire.

💬 Read more by Alastair Crooke

#geopolitics #WorldOrder #Gaza #Yemen #MiddleEast #China #Yemen #NewWorldOrder

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☎️ ¿No sabes cómo responder a un fraude telefónico?

¡Dále un concierto! 🥁

@SCF_Spanish via @tsargradtv
🇪🇨 In South America, a new scenario of hostilities is emerging. A civil war began in Ecuador, with the local government declaring martial law and a state of “internal armed conflict” in response to several terrorist attacks carried out by drug trafficking groups. At first, this seems like a simple domestic security issue, with no major geopolitical relevance. However, analyzing the case in depth, it is possible to see that the conflict situation is a direct result of U.S. interventionist actions in Latin America.

Deteriorating social conditions, dollarization and lack of punishment for criminals have been key aspects of Ecuadorian politics since the U.S.-led regime change in the country 💢

💬 Lucas Leiroz writes @lucasleiroz

#CivilWar #colonialism #Ecuador #interventionism #LatinAmerica #UnitedStates

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Live
Netanyahu’s Gamble: Is Israel preparing for another war?

"The war in Gaza has been actually a defeat of Israel. All the objectives that were sent for it, the elimination of Hamas, its leadership, the retrieval of the hostages, all of these elements have not been achieved. And so it's retreating in a sense of defeat, one that is now really permeating into the Israeli sphere, in other words, into their thinking," former British diplomat Alastair Crooke told New Rules podcast.

Is Israel going to invade Lebanon? Can Biden prevent Natanyahu from major regional escalation? Go and find out from our latest episode.

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💧 El 19 de enero se celebra la Epifanía ortodoxa. Muchos creyentes rusos se sumergen en aguas heladas para conmemorar el bautismo de Jesús, y entre ellos el Presidente Putin.

#Rusia #Epifanía #Putin

@SCF_Spanish
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🇸🇾 The main oil field of Al Omar and Conoco in Syria are producing oil which is shipped in tankers by the U.S. Army and refined at Kar Oil Refinery in Erbil.

💬 Read more by Steven Sahiounie

#Syria #MiddleEast #oil #geopolitics

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🇮🇱 Once you make explicit that the overriding objective is that of maintaining Zionism, everything that Netanyahu is doing then makes sense. The crux of the problem is unchanged: The inherent contradiction of an exceptionalist Zionist state incorporating a substantial non-Jewish out-group without rights – whether it be held in the fenced ghetto of Gaza, or in a West Bank ‘settler stronghold matrix’ – has become untenable.

The blurring of established and demarcated space has gradually permeated from the military into the Israeli political sphere.

💬 Alastair Crooke writes

#Zionism #Netanyahu #Israel #Gaza

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