Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

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🌎#cash #flow
BofA: investors pilling into cash at record rate
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#banks #us #deposit #cash #flow
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through Apr. 26):

WORLD STOCKS = +$0.023B #stocks

WORLD BONDS = +$7.4B #bonds

WORLD CASH = +$52.3B #cash

GOLD = +$0.2B #gold

CHINA STOCKS = +$6.1B = biggest inflow since Jan, 2022 #china

TECH STOCKS = +$1.2B = biggest inflow since Nov, 2022 #tech

US BONDS = +$3.7B = consecutive weeks of inflows #us
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through May. 3):

WORLD STOCKS = -$6.6B = strongest outflow over the last 9 weeks #stocks

US GROWTH STOCKS = -$1B = strongest outflow over the last 10 weeks #growth

WORLD BONDS = +$11B #bonds

WORLD CASH = +$59.5B #cash

GOLD = +$0.2B #gold
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through May. 31):

WORLD STOCKS = +$14.8B = biggest inflow since Fed. 2023 #stocks

TECH STOCKS = +$8.5B = record weekly inflow #tech

WORLD CASH = inflow for 6 consecutive weeks #cash

BofA: Bull & Bear indicates a moderate bearish sentiment in risky assets #sentiment
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through June. 14):

WORLD STOCKS = +$22B = biggest inflow since Nov. 2022 #stocks

WORLD CASH = -$38B = first outflow in 7 weeks #cash

US BONDS = +$2B #bonds

global equities have seen inflows since the start of the year = +$50B, Inflows into global bonds = +$173B
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through June. 21):

WORLD STOCKS = -$5B #stocks

TECH STOCKS = -$2B = highest weekly outflow in 10 weeks #tech

FIN STOCKS = +$1B = highest weekly inflow in 10 weeks #banks

WORLD BONDS = +$5.4B #bonds

WORLD CASH = -$13.9B #cash

GOLD = -$1B #gold

UK STOCKS = outflows persist for 24 consecutive weeks #uk

INVESTMENT-GRAD BONDS = 12 consecutive weeks of outflows = the longest streak since October 2021 #ig

BofA: BofA Bull & Bear Indicator signals worsening sentiment in risk assets.
🌎#markets #world #flow
weekly financial flows - BofA -EPFR (week through July. 12):

WORLD STOCKS = +$11.6B #stocks

WORLD BONDS = +$12.1B #bonds

GOLD = -$0.5B #gold

CASH = -$17.6B #cash

BofA: Bull & Bear indicates a bullish sentiment in risky assets
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#cash #stocks #bonds #us #tbils #history
for the first time since 2000, cash yields have surpassed stock yields = historically, in such situations, the US stock market has experienced significant declines (1969 = -20%; 1973 = -40%; 1980 = -26%; 1990 = -20%)
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billionaire Ray Dalio said he doesn’t want to own bonds and prefers cash
🌎#markets #riskon #cash #opinion
WSJ: investors have accumulated record levels of cash ($6T), and as interest rates begin to decline, a significant shift into risk assets (stocks, bonds, and others) is expected.
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cash becomes more attractive - details
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#cash #buyback #stocks #us
BofA: total cash on US corporate balance sheets remains at a record high.
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сash often goes to buybacks, which have been the primary driver of the S&P 500's growth since 2011
β—οΈπŸŒŽ#cash #flow #markets
in 2023, money market fund inflows reached a record high β€” BofA/EPFR

#stocks record cash inflows show lots of investors missed out on the stock rally β€” BBG

a record $6T in cash on the sidelines will boost the stock market in 2024. The expectation is that once the Fed starts to lower interest rates, investors will shift money out of cash and into riskier assets. Any downturns in the stock market are expected to be short-lived β€” Fundstrat

#sentiment SP500 could reach 6,000 by 2025 due to the recovery of the U.S. economy and AI β€” Yardeni
#cash #stocks #us #macro
сash on U.S. corporate balance sheets has reached a record $4.4T

currently, companies primarily use cash for dividends, buybacks, and M&A , and less frequently for capex
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§#stocks #uk #bonds #cash #strategy
If you had invested Β£100 in UK stocks in 1899 and reinvested all the income, you would now have nearly Β£55,000 in real terms. In comparison, if you had invested in UK government bonds (Gilts), you would have nearly Β£550, and if you had invested in the money market (T-Bills), you would have nearly Β£300.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #bonds #cash #strategy
If you had invested $100 in American stocks in 1925 and reinvested all the income, you would now have $57,471 in real terms. In comparison, if you had invested in American bonds, you would have $776, and if you had invested in the money market (cash), you would have $134.
⚠️#stocks #us #cash
Goldman: US households' stock allocation = historic high, while debt levels = historic low.

#bubble the last time this occurred was in 1999, when the market rose for several more months before peaking in March 2000, just ahead of the dot-com bubble burst.
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Stifel: US stock market bubble continues to inflate. It will burst in 2025 (chart)