🇺🇸#bubble #stocks #us #history
BofA: historically, the volatility of stocks in a particular sector increases significantly before a bubble bursts. However, this is not currently the case for the Magnificent Seven

🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #concentration
Goldman: the current dominance of the technology sector in the US stock market is not unprecedented compared to the level of dominance of certain sectors in the past.

🌎#bubble #sentiment #stocks
mentions of a "stock bubble" are at a 2-year high, but still relatively low.

billionaire investor Ray Dalio said the stock market doesn't resemble a "full-on" bubble right now.

volatility remains low for now (chart)

🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble
Nobel laureate Robert Shiller's Excess CAPE Yield indicator suggests that there is still room for growth in the US stock market.

however, investors should not expect high long-term returns (chart)

🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble
DataTrek Research: the market isn't in bubble territory based on the 3-year rolling return indicator for the S&P 500. Stock market crashes often occur when 3-year returns reach 100% or more.

⚠️ although according to this indicator, the market is now at a level similar to that before the 2008 crisis.

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #warninig #macro
Goldman: US households currently invest 48% of their financial assets in stocks = the highest level since the dotcom bubble of the 2000s.

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #macro
BofA: tech stocks are trading at record highs relative to the S&P 500, surpassing even the peak of the dotcom bubble.

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #bubble #warning #macro #commodity
Nasdaq 100 relative to commodity markets is now at Dot-com bubble levels of the 2000s.
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copper / SP500" ratio = historical low (chart)

commodities / SP500" ratio = historical low (chart)

⚠️#stocks #us #dividends #history
the dividend yield of the S&P 500 is at historical lows

it was only lower before the dot-com crisis #bubble

⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #tech #us #divergence
US market is experiencing a significant divergence between new economy stocks and old economy stocks.

#bubble this has only happened once before, right before the dot-com bubble.