β οΈπΊπΈ#stocks #us #sentiment #warning
Sundial: sentiment of individual investors in U.S. stocks is currently at a historically extreme level.
Sundial: sentiment of individual investors in U.S. stocks is currently at a historically extreme level.
β οΈπΊπΈ#stocks #us #analogy #warning
a favorite pastime in the market is searching for historical analogies.
another analogy: S&P 500 (2020s) vs. S&P 500 (1960s).
the current dynamics of the S&P 500 index surprisingly mirror its movement in the early 1960s.
In 1969, with the onset of stagflation, the S&P 500 began a prolonged and volatile decline. It took the index 20 years to recover.
a favorite pastime in the market is searching for historical analogies.
another analogy: S&P 500 (2020s) vs. S&P 500 (1960s).
the current dynamics of the S&P 500 index surprisingly mirror its movement in the early 1960s.
In 1969, with the onset of stagflation, the S&P 500 began a prolonged and volatile decline. It took the index 20 years to recover.
πΊπΈ#stocks #us #correlation #concentration
BofA: correlation between the stocks in the S&P 500 index and the index itself has dropped to its lowest level in 20 years.
ββββββββββββ
weight of the top 3 stocks (#MSFT, #AAPL, #NVDA) in the S&P 500 = historic record.
weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 = historic record.
market cap of the top 10% of stocks has hit its highest level since 1929, surpassing 2000 (chart)
JPMorgan: the dominance of the 10 biggest stocks in US equity markets is increasingly drawing similarities with the dot-com #bubble
BofA: correlation between the stocks in the S&P 500 index and the index itself has dropped to its lowest level in 20 years.
ββββββββββββ
weight of the top 3 stocks (#MSFT, #AAPL, #NVDA) in the S&P 500 = historic record.
weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 = historic record.
market cap of the top 10% of stocks has hit its highest level since 1929, surpassing 2000 (chart)
JPMorgan: the dominance of the 10 biggest stocks in US equity markets is increasingly drawing similarities with the dot-com #bubble
β οΈπΊπΈ#stocks #us #liquidity #warning
there is now a significant divergence between the growth of M2 in the US and the growth of the S&P 500
there is now a significant divergence between the growth of M2 in the US and the growth of the S&P 500
β οΈπΊπΈ#stocks #us #monetarypolicy #history
i3 Invest: Ρorrelation between 3-Month US Treasury Bills and the S&P 500
βββββββββββββ
BofA: historically, U.S. stocks have experienced significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle (chart).
RIA: the majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot' (chart).
ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline (chart).
i3 Invest: Ρorrelation between 3-Month US Treasury Bills and the S&P 500
βββββββββββββ
BofA: historically, U.S. stocks have experienced significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle (chart).
RIA: the majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot' (chart).
ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline (chart).