Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi

Contact: @invoyager

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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί#monetarypolicy #europe #macrp
ECB rate & ECB balance sheet
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#inflation #us #monetarypolicy
PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, continues to decrease, reinforcing the case for a rate cut in 2024.
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us historically, the U.S. market has experienced declines when the Fed concludes its cycle of rate increases - details

RIA: The majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot.

ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline.

BofA has echoed the same sentiment
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#inflation #us #history
US consumer inflation: present days vs. 1970s

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s

#monetarypolicy Powell signals Fed will raise rates if needed
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#us #economy #recession #monetarypolicy #history #macro
Fed rate, the number of news mentioning a "soft landing" of the U.S. economy, and the number of soft landings and recessions ...

historically, an increased frequency of mentions of a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy has almost always been observed before the onset of a recession. Nevertheless, there have been instances when the Fed successfully achieved a "soft landing" for the economy
🌎#monetarypolicy #world #macro
latest interest rate changes in the world:

πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ Peru
πŸŒ•#gold #monetarypolicy #macro #history
historically, gold experiences a significant increase when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.

#BTC perhaps this time, Bitcoin will exert its influence ...
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many experts warn that historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#monetarypolicy #us #sentiment #history
the history of changes in the Fed rate and market expectations.

Investors are almost always wrong about the Fed rate.

market consensus: Fed will start cutting rates after June 2024.
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earlier: historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle. #warning
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#monetarypolicy #us #warning
BBG: Fed officials to signal interest rate cuts are getting closer
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earlier: historically, U.S. stocks experience significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle.

RIA: The majority of 'bear markets' occur after the Fed's 'policy pivot.

ElliotWave: the transition from 'tightening' to 'easing' has usually coincided with a period of significant market decline.

BofA has echoed the same sentiment
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#inflation #monetarypolicy #us
US inflation is not showing signs of decreasing.
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the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
βš οΈπŸ‡―πŸ‡΅#monetarypolicy #japan #macro
Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, signalling a move away from its "negative interest rate" policy and control of the yield curve.
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BlackRock: Japan equity market the biggest beneficiary from interest-rate hikes.