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Anticipated Changes in PMI USA: Decrease from 49.4 to 49.3

The expected decline in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) of the United States, from 49.4 to 49.3, is generating interest in the financial world. PMI, a measure of business activity in the manufacturing sector, serves as a crucial economic indicator. The projected changes may have an impact on various financial instruments.

Hashtags:
#PMI #Economy #Finance #Stocks #Bonds #Currencies #Commodities #CentralBanks #Forecast #Indicator #FinancialMarkets
How We Use the Information Above

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a crucial economic indicator that gauges business activity in the manufacturing sector. Derived from procurement managers' surveys, it offers insights into the current state of the industry. In the context of the United States, PMI USA reflects the manufacturing sector's situation in the country.

Measurement of PMI:

- PMI values typically range from 0 to 100.
- Values above 50 indicate expansion in production, while values below 50 signal contraction.
- Higher PMI values are considered indicative of favorable conditions in the manufacturing sector.

Impact of PMI on Financial Instruments:

1. Stocks:
- An increase in PMI can be seen as a positive signal for stocks, especially those concentrated in the manufacturing sector. Business activity growth may suggest promising profit prospects.

2. Bonds:
- Rising PMI may intensify demand for high-yield assets, potentially leading to a decline in bond prices, particularly fixed-income government bonds.

3. Currencies:
- PMI growth can strengthen the national currency, signaling economic stability and attractiveness to investors.

4. Commodities:
- Commodity markets, such as oil and metals, may react to changes in PMI as increased production can boost raw material demand.

5. Central Banks:
- Central bank decisions may hinge on PMI data. A stable economic growth (high PMI) might prompt central banks to consider raising interest rates to curb inflation.

Direct Correlations:

Direct correlations between PMI and financial instruments can be observed, especially in the short term. For instance, a sharp decline in PMI may lead investors to anticipate its impact on company profits, potentially triggering stock sell-offs and a shift toward risk-free assets like government bonds.

It's important to note that financial markets are complex, and many factors can influence their movements. PMI is just one indicator that should be considered in the context of other economic data and geopolitical events. #PMI #Economy #Finance #Stocks #Bonds #Currencies #Commodities #CentralBanks #Forecast #Indicator #FinancialMarkets
EURUSD: Forecast for February 1, 2024
Event: 6:00 PM PST, USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI

Analysis:

The EURUSD pair is trying to recover from recent losses but faces downward pressure due to Powell's hawkish stance on interest rates.
Support at 1.0800, a break below could lead to further decline to 1.0750.
Recommendation:

Wait for price to settle below 1.0800 and sell.
#EURUSD #Forex #Analysis #Forecast
GBPUSD: Forecast for February 1, 2024
Events:

3:00 PM GMT, GBP - Bank of England interest rate decision
5:15 PM GMT, GBP - Speech by BoE Governor Bailey
6:00 PM PST, USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI
Analysis:

GBPUSD is ranging between 1.2600 and 1.2800.
Bank of England expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 5.25%.
UK labor market showing signs of rebalancing, but economic outlook remains uncertain.
Recommendation:

Consider buying above 1.2700.
#GBPUSD #Forex #Analysis #Forecast
USDJPY: Forecast for February 1, 2024
Event: 6:00 PM PST, USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI

Analysis:

Japanese yen (JPY) strengthening for the second day in a row.
US Federal Reserve dashed expectations for a March interest rate cut.
US dollar (USD) near 13-month high.
Recommendation:

Trade within the 146.00 - 147.70 range on bounces from support levels.
#USDJPY #Forex #Analysis #Forecast