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Anticipated Changes in PMI USA: Decrease from 49.4 to 49.3

The expected decline in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) of the United States, from 49.4 to 49.3, is generating interest in the financial world. PMI, a measure of business activity in the manufacturing sector, serves as a crucial economic indicator. The projected changes may have an impact on various financial instruments.

Hashtags:
#PMI #Economy #Finance #Stocks #Bonds #Currencies #Commodities #CentralBanks #Forecast #Indicator #FinancialMarkets
How We Use the Information Above

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a crucial economic indicator that gauges business activity in the manufacturing sector. Derived from procurement managers' surveys, it offers insights into the current state of the industry. In the context of the United States, PMI USA reflects the manufacturing sector's situation in the country.

Measurement of PMI:

- PMI values typically range from 0 to 100.
- Values above 50 indicate expansion in production, while values below 50 signal contraction.
- Higher PMI values are considered indicative of favorable conditions in the manufacturing sector.

Impact of PMI on Financial Instruments:

1. Stocks:
- An increase in PMI can be seen as a positive signal for stocks, especially those concentrated in the manufacturing sector. Business activity growth may suggest promising profit prospects.

2. Bonds:
- Rising PMI may intensify demand for high-yield assets, potentially leading to a decline in bond prices, particularly fixed-income government bonds.

3. Currencies:
- PMI growth can strengthen the national currency, signaling economic stability and attractiveness to investors.

4. Commodities:
- Commodity markets, such as oil and metals, may react to changes in PMI as increased production can boost raw material demand.

5. Central Banks:
- Central bank decisions may hinge on PMI data. A stable economic growth (high PMI) might prompt central banks to consider raising interest rates to curb inflation.

Direct Correlations:

Direct correlations between PMI and financial instruments can be observed, especially in the short term. For instance, a sharp decline in PMI may lead investors to anticipate its impact on company profits, potentially triggering stock sell-offs and a shift toward risk-free assets like government bonds.

It's important to note that financial markets are complex, and many factors can influence their movements. PMI is just one indicator that should be considered in the context of other economic data and geopolitical events. #PMI #Economy #Finance #Stocks #Bonds #Currencies #Commodities #CentralBanks #Forecast #Indicator #FinancialMarkets
Analytical Overview: Financial Market Events Today (January 25)

Key Events Today:

1. 16:15 MSK. ECB Decision on Interest Rates in the Eurozone.
- Impact on EUR: Anticipated changes in the main interest rate could influence the euro's exchange rate. Investors are closely monitoring the ECB's comments and decisions regarding monetary policy.

2. 16:30 MSK. GDP Price Index in the United States.
- Impact on USD: The release of GDP data can affect the U.S. dollar. Economic activity growth usually supports the national currency.

3. 16:45 MSK. ECB Press Conference.
- Impact on EUR: Statements from ECB representatives may influence the current situation and future prospects in the eurozone.

Market Events for EURUSD:

- EURUSD rose above 1.0930 after an unexpected increase in the manufacturing component of the PMI in Europe.
- However, strong PMI data in the U.S. dampened investor sentiment, leading to a decline in the currency pair.
- Investors are assessing economic dynamics, and the strengthening U.S. economy reduces expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for EURUSD indicates a bearish momentum.

Trading Recommendation:

- A sell order is recommended from the current price level, considering the bearish momentum and the weakening euro.

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#FreshForex #Analytics #Finance #EURUSD #FOMC #ECB #Currencies