Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi

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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#china #impulse #liquidity #macro
China - Is the credit impulse decline close to completion?
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Chinese analysts expect the Central Bank of China to continue to cut the RRR rate, increase liquidity injection into the system, and increase lending - details

#QFIN #CANG #watchlist
βš οΈπŸŒŽπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#commodity #china #liquidity #divergence #correlation #macro #impulse
Nordea draws attention to the divergence between the credit impulse in the PRC and prices in the commodity markets ...

if the positive correlation is still valid, then either the credit impulse will start growing again, or commodities will begin to correct
β€οΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#stocks #china #impulse
CapitalStouff fund: why we like Chinese stocks in 2022

● Discount to US stocks = 40%
● Chinese stocks short are the top 5 most populous trades in the world
● China central bank softens
● Credit impulse starts to grow again
πŸ’₯πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#china #impulse #macro
Stouff Capital: maybe Chinese credit impulse starts to turn upwards = The increasing appeal of Chinese stocks/assets.
β—οΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#economy #china #impulse
China credit impulse continues to grow

πŸ’₯#QFIN #LX #FINV #CANG
β—οΈπŸŒŽ#economy #world #impulse #macro
πŸ’₯πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#china #debt #liquidity #impulse
Economic Information Daily: the volume of new credits in China is likely to rise in 2023, while interest rates on long-term loans may fall further - details

❗️#QFIN #LX #FINV #watchlist
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early: China credit impulse continues to grow
πŸ’₯πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#economy #impulse #macro
US and EU credit impulses continue to decline (red and blue), while China credit impulse (white) continues to grow

#us #europe #china
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#china #credit #impulse #macro
China's bank lending gathers pace

#QFIN #LX #FINV #CANG
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#economy #impulse #china #macro
China's credit impulse continues to slow down

⚠️#QFIN #LX
Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³#stocks #china #impulse #economy
BCA Research: some are comparing the current rally in the Chinese market to that of 2015. At the time, the Chinese government also initiated an economic stimulus cycle, which led to the doubling of the Chinese stock market in just six months. However, during the 2015 stimulus cycle, China generated a credit impulse equivalent to 15% of GDP, or about 27 trillion yuan in today’s terms. In contrast, at its most recent peak (early 2024), China's credit impulse didn’t even reach 5 trillion yuan. Therefore, while the recent surge in Chinese stocks may continue for a few more weeks, it is unlikely to mirror the magnitude or duration of the 2015 episode β€” report

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