Scorpi18 | Market Insights
6.29K subscribers
5.37K photos
59 videos
24 files
3.57K links
Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Contact: @invoyager

Buy ads: https://telega.io/c/scorpi18
Download Telegram
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#debt #ceiling #us #markets
MacroCompass: how did assets perform around the 2011 debt ceiling drama
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#bonds #us #macro
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries = the lowest level in 19 years

Market participants are beginning to recognize that the true risk this time around lies not in the failure to reach a debt ceiling agreement, but rather in the escalating and concerning nature of the debt problem #debt #bubble

The issue is exacerbated due to a decline in the number of buyers of US Treasury securities: in the last three years, the responsibility of absorbing this debt fell on the Fed and US banks, but now both entities have withdrawn from that role

The current lack of demand is indeed a growing problem that may ultimately necessitate the intervention of the Fed as the buyer of last resort #qe

β€” Crescat
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#default #ceiling #debt #us
Goldman Sachs predicts that the US Treasury will exhaust its funds by June 9

the cash balance of the US Treasury has dropped below $50B

πŸ’₯White House and Republicans reach a tentative deal to avoid U.S. default

The deal has historic reductions in spending - details
βœ΄οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#bonds #crypto #stablecoin
Stablecoin issuer Circle (#USDC) has ditched all US Treasuries bonds from its reserve fund amid debt ceiling showdown

πŸ‘‰ USDC (Circle) reserves
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-
Goldman: US Treasury may sell up to $700B in T-bills to rebuild its coffers within 6-8 weeks of a debt deal. This could drain liquidity out of the markets, with all the resulting implications for the markets

Crescat: foreign investors, US banks, and even the Federal Reserve are not very keen on buying US government bonds

#debt #ceiling #us #tbills
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#ceiling #debt #us #tbills
the cash balance of the US Treasury has decreased to $37.4B

Goldman predicts that the US Treasury will exhaust its funds by June 9
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
πŸ’₯πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#default #ceiling #debt #us
the Senate passed a bill to raise the debt ceiling, sending it to President Joe Biden’s desk
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#ceiling #debt #us
US Treasury Department has reported that the cash balance rose to $48.51B on Wednesday, up from $37.36B on Tuesday
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#default #us #debt #lending #macro
US - Delinquency rates on various types of loans, excluding student loans, continue to rise

#COF #ALLY #NAVI
⚠️🌎#bonds #world #debt #macro
the global government bond market has hit a turning point: junk-rated debt now exceeds top-rated debt for the first time β€” Fitch
βœ΄οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#dedollarization #USD #fx #crypto #us #macro #opinion
the real threat to the US dollar doesn't come from the new BRICS currencies, but from digital dollar-backed stablecoins and other tokenized cryptocurrencies. Crypto "dollars" won't collapse the global financial system, but they could disrupt the cozy greenback-based settlement system. A separate threat comes from Hong Kong-based cryptocurrency companies and exchanges with direct ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which has long sought to overthrow the US dollar.

#debt weakening of the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance will lead to an increase in the cost of funding the extensive US debt.

β€” FT
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#business #us #debt
Goldman: borrowing costs for S&P 500 companies = 17-year high
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-
earlier: there is the sharpest rise in US borrowing costs compared to previous Fed hiking cycles #history
🌎#bonds #debt #world
global negative-yielding debt volume experiences epic decline
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#debt #default #us
US debt will become unsustainable and trigger default in about 20 years if it doesn't change course β€” Penn Wharton
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#debt #us #economy
US national debt - the biggest threat to the global economy. Nearly $34T, and $1T a year to service it, threatens to destabilize the global financial system.
-----------------------------
earlier: US debt will become unsustainable and trigger default in about 20 years
🌎#debt #world #macro
World debt at record high
βš οΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#bonds #us #china #debt
China is selling off US government debt at a record pace.

meanwhile, the volume of dollar assets in China's reserves has remained unchanged since 2015, amounting to approximately $2T β€” research
⚠️🌎#debt #macro
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#debt #us #macro
Morgan: when we compare the growth in US government debt to the nominal growth in the US economy, it's hard not to wonder about the sustainability of the situation and the consequences longer term.