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📈 Indices aim to continue their upward momentum, testing resistances...

#Market #Trading #Indices

🏛 What's happening in the market today? For more #freshupdate:

🔙 In the previous trading day, indices showed efforts to sustain positive dynamics, approaching local resistance levels and channel boundaries. The SPX index attempted growth, testing resistance at 4610 and the upper channel boundary. The NQ index also tried to continue its upward movement, successfully breaking through the boundaries of the inclined channel and testing the level of 16117.

🔆 Today, it's crucial for indices to maintain positions above local support levels at 15700 for NQ and 4500 for SPX to prevent a pullback from current levels and ensure the possibility of further growth upon surpassing the nearest levels at 16100 for NQ and 4610 for SPX.

🔎 What factors is the market currently focused on?

(1) China's inflation index dropped at the fastest pace in three years.
(2) Traders await data on inflation in the U.S. and the Federal Reserve's meetings later this week.

#Inflation #FinancialMarkets #Economy

📊 Sectors

Among cyclical sectors, XLE performed the best, bouncing back from local lows. ITA, XLF, and XLY attempted to continue growth in line with the market, while XLRE pulled back and showed less stability.
Among growing sectors, MJ, IPO, XLK, SOXX, and SKYY demonstrated growth, confirming local highs. Meanwhile, IBB and TAN retreated and were less successful.
Among defensive sectors, XLP showed a decline in relative strength compared to the market, testing lows, while XLV and XLU also lagged, showing more stable dynamics.

#Sectors #FinancialMarkets #Trading

💼 Stock News

(+) TSLA, RIVN - Piper Sandler highlights growth prospects for the electric vehicle sector.
(+) GOOGL - The launch of Google Gemini promises a successful 2024 for the company, according to Citi.
(+) BA - Boeing has modified a contract with USSOCOM worth $271.22 million.
(+) BA - China expresses interest in strengthening cooperation with Boeing.
(=) SBUX - Starbucks is ready to resume union negotiations in 2024.
(=) AAPL - Head of iPhone and smartwatch design at Apple is stepping down.
(+) AAPL - Production of iPads by Apple may be moved to Vietnam from China.
(+) MU - Micron reaches a labor agreement with the union at its Idaho plant worth $15 billion.
(=) AVGO - 2024 could be challenging for Broadcom, but Wall Street expects growth in the second half of the year.
(+) QRVO - Qorvo's rating is raised by Morgan Stanley; ratings for Qualcomm and Lam Research are lowered.

#Stocks #Exchange #FinancialNews

🌐 Intermarket Analysis

Oil continues attempts at a local recovery, overcoming inclines and approaching a test of the $72.6 level.
Yield also tries to move upward, approaching the 50-day moving average and incline boundaries.
VIX continues to decline, attempting to refresh lows at the 12.5 level.
Gold continues its correction, moving toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the $2000 level.

#GlobalMarkets #Oil #Yield #Gold #FinancialMarkets

🗣 Market Discussions

Stocks are rising on the "liquidity rally," and it is expected they will reach new highs in 2024, according to Fundstrat.

Tom Lee of Fundstrat suggests that stocks will reach new record highs in 2024.
This is tied to the Federal Reserve transitioning to a less restrictive monetary policy, paving the way for a "liquidity rally" in the market.
Lee claims that the S&P 500 index could rise to 5200 by the end of 2024, anticipating potential growth of 13% compared to current levels.
This is associated with expectations of a possible reduction in Fed interest rates next year, as inflation in the economy continues to show a weakening trend.
"The Fed is no longer waging an inflation war but is really transitioning to business cycle management — these are huge changes," says Lee.

#FinancialMarkets #Stocks #Fundstrat #Fed #Liquidity #Forecasts
"Japanese Yen Under Pressure: USD/JPY Analysis"
The Japanese yen continues to weaken due to various factors, including the earthquake in Japan and weak wage data. The Bank of Japan is expected to postpone its plans to change its policy. This supports the rise of the USD/JPY pair to the 147.45 level, which has now become resistance. Strong statements from the Federal Reserve also impact the dollar. Trading recommendation: Predominantly buy from current levels, monitor the 147.45 level. #USDJPY #BankOfJapan #Fed #Forex
"EUR/USD: Euro Supported by ECB Rate Expectations and Fed Comments"

In the early hours of Thursday's Asian trading, the EUR/USD pair remains stable despite the strengthening of the US dollar. The refusal of several European Central Bank (ECB) members to anticipate rate cuts provides some support for the euro. Specifically, ECB Governing Council member Bostjan Vasle stated that it is premature to expect rate cuts in early Q2. Vasle added that inflation needs to return to the 2% target before considering a change in monetary policy. Federal Reserve System (Fed) Chair Christopher Waller stated that a rate cut this year is likely but cautioned against rushing to lower the base rate until sustained inflation reduction is clear.

Trading recommendation: Monitor the level of 1.0900, trade from it on the rebound. Today's macroeconomic news can influence the EUR/USD pair.

#Forex #EURUSD #ECB #Fed #TradingAnalysis
"USD/JPY: Japanese Yen Under Pressure from Bank of Japan's Ultra-Dovish Policy"

The Japanese yen fluctuates in a narrow range during Thursday's Asian session, consolidating its recent losses against the US dollar since the beginning of the week. The powerful earthquake in Japan complicates the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) task of reversing negative interest rates next week. Additionally, a decline in inflation in Tokyo and weak wage data confirm market expectations that the Japanese central bank will stick to its ultra-dovish stance.

Strong US retail sales data reduce the chances of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, supporting the dollar. However, market sentiments remain volatile due to further escalation in military actions in the Middle East and economic problems in China, favoring the relative safety of the yen and limiting the rise of the USD/JPY pair.

Trading recommendation: Primarily trade on buy (Buy) from current levels. Today's macroeconomic news may influence the USD/JPY dynamics.

#Forex #USDJPY #BoJ #Fed #MarketSentiments
Gold prices rise on Middle East tensions, Fed meeting

Gold prices rose on Tuesday, January 30, amid growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East. In Saturday, Houthi rebels attacked a tanker owned by Trafigura, raising concerns about possible disruptions to shipping in the Red Sea.

The spot price of gold rose 0.44% to $2,027.25 an ounce by 14:41 Moscow time.

"Despite the escalation of the Middle East conflict, gold has not broken out of a narrow range. This suggests that markets are still focused on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the likely path of interest rate cuts," said Ricardo Evangelista of ActivTrades.

Markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged at the end of its two-day meeting on Thursday.

Palladium fell 0.8% to $947.86 an ounce, while silver rose 0.86% to $22.99 an ounce. Platinum prices fell 0.54% to $907.93.

#MiddleEast #Houthis #Gold #Fed
EURUSD: 1.0815, Downward Trend Continues

The EURUSD fell during the Asian session on Wednesday, dropping to the 1.0815 area, which is within striking distance of the lowest level since December 13, reached earlier this week.

The main factors weighing on the euro are:

The JOLTS report released on Tuesday showed that the number of job openings in the United States unexpectedly rose to 9.02 million in December, suggesting that the labor market is too strong for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin cutting interest rates in the first quarter.
Geopolitical risks, driven by conflicts in the Middle East and economic problems in China.
However, the recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields could keep dollar bulls from aggressive bets ahead of the Fed's highly anticipated monetary policy decision, which is scheduled to be released today. Additionally, uncertainty over when the European Central Bank (ECB) will begin cutting interest rates could be a tailwind for the common currency.

Trading recommendation: Sell orders at the 1.0800 level.

#EURUSD #Fed #FedRateHike #euro #dollar #laborMarket #geopoliticalRisks
GBPUSD: 1.2680, Downward Trend Continues

GBPUSD continued to lose ground for a second session in a row on Wednesday, falling to 1.2680 in the Asian session.

The main factors weighing on the pound are:

Risk-off sentiment is pushing investors towards the U.S. dollar (USD), which in turn is undermining the GBP/USD pair.
U.S. President Joe Biden said that after the deadly drone strike on U.S. troops in the border area between Jordan and Syria, the United States will respond to the specific situation in accordance with a multi-pronged approach.
However, the decline in U.S. Treasury yields could keep dollar bulls from aggressive bets ahead of the Fed's highly anticipated monetary policy decision, which is scheduled to be released today. Additionally, uncertainty over when the Bank of England (BoE) will begin cutting interest rates could be a tailwind for the British currency.

Trading recommendation: Sell orders from the current price level.

#GBPUSD #Fed #FedRateCut #pound #dollar #risk #geopoliticalRisks
USDJPY: 148.00, Recovery Continues

The Japanese yen (JPY) is recovering its positive momentum on the Asian session on Wednesday, trading near its weekly high against its American counterpart, reached earlier this week.

The main factors supporting the yen are:

Concerns that the deepening conflict in the Middle East could trigger a wider war in the region.
Disappointing macroeconomic data from Japan.
The decline in U.S. Treasury yields.
The U.S. dollar (USD), on the other hand, remains in its usual range amid uncertainty over when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates.

Trading recommendation: Consider buying at levels above 148.30.

#USDJPY #Fed #FedRateCut #dollar #yen #risk #geopoliticalRisks
"US Dollar in Focus: Impact of Federal Reserve Chairman's Statements on the Market"

Today's statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has become a key event in the currency market. In his remarks, he noted that a rate cut in March is too early and expressed doubts that inflation will sustainably return to the 2% level by that time. However, Powell did not rule out the possibility of rate cuts later this year, leaving the door open for a spring easing.

In light of positive data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics published on Friday, showing an increase in employment and a rise in average wages, the US Dollar (DXY) continues to strengthen. These factors put pressure on the EUR/USD pair, which is trading around 1.0770 in the early Asian session.

Trading Recommendation: It is recommended to place a buy order for EUR/USD from the price level of 1.0800. Sales may be relevant if the price level drops below 1.0750.

#Fed #Dollar #Euro #Trading #Finance #ForexMarket
"Japanese Yen Under Pressure: Dynamics of USD/JPY and Global Factors' Influence"

The Japanese yen is experiencing sales pressure for the second consecutive day, reaching a new low for the year against the US Dollar. Despite the Bank of Japan's policy tightening, the recent bull market on global stock exchanges is considered a key factor undermining the yen's relative status as a safe currency.

Impressive employment data released on Friday in the US highlights the economy's good shape, allowing the Federal Reserve to maintain high-interest rates for a more extended period. It lifts the US Dollar (USD) to its highest level since December 11, providing additional support to the USD/JPY pair.

Traders are awaiting the release of the ISM Services PMI in the US, along with monitoring geopolitical tensions and China's economic problems. Risk sentiments may create trading opportunities for USD/JPY.

Trading Recommendation: It is recommended to place a buy order for USD/JPY from the current price level.

#Yen #Dollar #USDJPY #Trading #Economy #Fed
EUR/USD: Focus on Consumer Price Index.
Traders' attention is on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Eurozone, expected at 10:00 AM MSK. EUR/USD is currently trading within a narrow range, holding the weekly level of 1.0770/80. In light of comments from representatives of the Fed and the ECB regarding inflation and interest rates direction, traders are closely monitoring future central bank decisions. The next ECB meeting is scheduled for March 7, where the market expects signals of rate cuts. In case of negative remarks, the euro's value may decline, providing opportunities to sell EUR/USD. #EUR #USD #Fed #ECB #inflation
USD/JPY: Impact of US Inflation Data.
USD/JPY continues to fluctuate within a narrow range but maintains its highest level in the last three months. Uncertainty surrounding decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan, as well as anticipation of US Consumer Price Index data, keep traders on the sidelines. It is anticipated that strong inflation figures in the US may support the dollar and influence further movement of the USD/JPY pair. #USD #JPY #Fed #BankofJapan #inflation #data
USDJPY: Awaiting US Inflation Data and Bank of Japan Comments

The USD/JPY pair is trading without significant changes at the start of the Asian session. Uncertainty about the timing of interest rate cuts leaves the US dollar in consolidation. Investors are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and comments from the Bank of Japan, which could influence the Japanese yen's exchange rate. Trading recommendation: preferably trade on buy from current price levels.

Today's events in the financial markets could significantly impact currency pair rates, so investors should exercise caution and monitor market dynamics. #Forex #Finance #Investments #EURUSD #GBPUSD #USDJPY #inflation #CPI #BankofEngland #Fed #BankofJapan #labormarket #unemployment
USDJPY: Watch Level 150.00
USDJPY rises for a second day. Japanese officials warn against FX market speculation.

Japan's economy unexpectedly shrinks again in Q4.

US Fed seen keeping rates higher for longer.

Trade recommendation:

Monitor 150.00 level, buy on bounces.
#USDJPY #Dollar #Yen #Fed #Inflation #Economy #Forex #Analysis