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This week marks the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year in the U.S., along with the awaited release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures. Additionally, on Thursday, Intel will host an event to launch its AI products.

#FinancialNews #FedReserve #Inflation #AI #Intel

πŸ“„ Quarterly Reports:

Total companies: 39.
Reporting companies in the S&P index: 7.

Major names:
βœ… Oracle (ORCL): Dec 11, after-market.
βœ… Adobe (ADBE): Dec 13, after-market.
βœ… Costco Wholesale (COST): Dec 14, after-market.
βœ… Lennar (LEN): Dec 14, after-market.
βœ… Johnson Controls (JCI): Dec 12, before-market.
βœ… Darden Restaurants (DRI): Dec 15, before-market.
βœ… Jabil (JBL): Dec 14, before-market.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ On December 12, the U.S. is set to release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November. A slowdown in year-on-year inflation is anticipated, decreasing to 3.1% from 3.2% in October.

On December 13, Producer Price Index (PPI) data for November will be released. A year-on-year deceleration in price growth to 1% is forecasted after a 1.3% increase the previous month. The core index (excluding food and energy prices) may decrease to 2.2% from 2.4% in October.

On December 13, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its decision on the benchmark interest rate. The market is 98% confident that the regulator will maintain the range of 5.25%-5.5% annually.

December 14 will bring retail sales statistics for November in the U.S., potentially influencing the holiday season shopping trends.

Also on December 14, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) will host the AI Everywhere event, showcasing its developments in artificial intelligence. Intel will be the latest among major chip manufacturers to present such innovations. A similar event last week boosted Advanced Micro Devices' stock by 7% in a day.

By the way, a day earlier, Adobe will release a report that will also help gauge demand for its new AI solutions.

Finally, on December 15, industrial production data for November in America will be examined. Following a decline of 0.6% in October, a growth of 0.3% is expected.

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ On December 14, the Bank of England will announce its decision on the key interest rate. No changes are anticipated, and the rate is expected to remain at 5.25%.
πŸ“ˆ Indices aim to continue their upward momentum, testing resistances...

#Market #Trading #Indices

πŸ› What's happening in the market today? For more #freshupdate:

πŸ”™ In the previous trading day, indices showed efforts to sustain positive dynamics, approaching local resistance levels and channel boundaries. The SPX index attempted growth, testing resistance at 4610 and the upper channel boundary. The NQ index also tried to continue its upward movement, successfully breaking through the boundaries of the inclined channel and testing the level of 16117.

πŸ”† Today, it's crucial for indices to maintain positions above local support levels at 15700 for NQ and 4500 for SPX to prevent a pullback from current levels and ensure the possibility of further growth upon surpassing the nearest levels at 16100 for NQ and 4610 for SPX.

πŸ”Ž What factors is the market currently focused on?

(1) China's inflation index dropped at the fastest pace in three years.
(2) Traders await data on inflation in the U.S. and the Federal Reserve's meetings later this week.

#Inflation #FinancialMarkets #Economy

πŸ“Š Sectors

Among cyclical sectors, XLE performed the best, bouncing back from local lows. ITA, XLF, and XLY attempted to continue growth in line with the market, while XLRE pulled back and showed less stability.
Among growing sectors, MJ, IPO, XLK, SOXX, and SKYY demonstrated growth, confirming local highs. Meanwhile, IBB and TAN retreated and were less successful.
Among defensive sectors, XLP showed a decline in relative strength compared to the market, testing lows, while XLV and XLU also lagged, showing more stable dynamics.

#Sectors #FinancialMarkets #Trading

πŸ’Ό Stock News

(+) TSLA, RIVN - Piper Sandler highlights growth prospects for the electric vehicle sector.
(+) GOOGL - The launch of Google Gemini promises a successful 2024 for the company, according to Citi.
(+) BA - Boeing has modified a contract with USSOCOM worth $271.22 million.
(+) BA - China expresses interest in strengthening cooperation with Boeing.
(=) SBUX - Starbucks is ready to resume union negotiations in 2024.
(=) AAPL - Head of iPhone and smartwatch design at Apple is stepping down.
(+) AAPL - Production of iPads by Apple may be moved to Vietnam from China.
(+) MU - Micron reaches a labor agreement with the union at its Idaho plant worth $15 billion.
(=) AVGO - 2024 could be challenging for Broadcom, but Wall Street expects growth in the second half of the year.
(+) QRVO - Qorvo's rating is raised by Morgan Stanley; ratings for Qualcomm and Lam Research are lowered.

#Stocks #Exchange #FinancialNews

🌐 Intermarket Analysis

Oil continues attempts at a local recovery, overcoming inclines and approaching a test of the $72.6 level.
Yield also tries to move upward, approaching the 50-day moving average and incline boundaries.
VIX continues to decline, attempting to refresh lows at the 12.5 level.
Gold continues its correction, moving toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the $2000 level.

#GlobalMarkets #Oil #Yield #Gold #FinancialMarkets

πŸ—£ Market Discussions

Stocks are rising on the "liquidity rally," and it is expected they will reach new highs in 2024, according to Fundstrat.

Tom Lee of Fundstrat suggests that stocks will reach new record highs in 2024.
This is tied to the Federal Reserve transitioning to a less restrictive monetary policy, paving the way for a "liquidity rally" in the market.
Lee claims that the S&P 500 index could rise to 5200 by the end of 2024, anticipating potential growth of 13% compared to current levels.
This is associated with expectations of a possible reduction in Fed interest rates next year, as inflation in the economy continues to show a weakening trend.
"The Fed is no longer waging an inflation war but is really transitioning to business cycle management β€” these are huge changes," says Lee.

#FinancialMarkets #Stocks #Fundstrat #Fed #Liquidity #Forecasts
In the spotlight today: inflation.

A surge in volatility is expected at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the release of inflation data. The consensus anticipates a 4% year-on-year increase in the core indicator and a 0.3% month-on-month rise (October: +0.2% month-on-month). If the slowdown in consumer inflation persists, it will signal to the market that the Federal Reserve may transition to a more accommodative monetary policy in the second quarter of 2024. It's worth recalling that the previous easing in the Consumer Price Index growth in October sparked an active stock market rally.

Inflation data will be published a day before the conclusion of the last Federal Reserve meeting of the year, influencing the update of the regulator's macroeconomic forecasts. However, even if the statistics confirm the expected inflation slowdown, the Federal Reserve is likely to emphasize the need for further confirmation of trends indicating labor market cooling and inflation reduction for at least several months before considering a change in monetary policy. In this context, the Fed's decision is unlikely to catch investors off guard.

#Inflation #EconomicIndicators #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #MarketVolatility
FOMC Meeting Takes Center Stage

We anticipate that upcoming trading sessions will be characterized by high intraday volatility with a neutral risk balance. Investors' attention will be focused on the Federal Reserve System's last meeting of the year. The consensus suggests that the key interest rate will remain unchanged.

Investor focus will also be on Jerome Powell's final press conference of the year. We do not expect any changes in his rhetoric. Additionally, new "dot" forecasts of rate dynamics from FOMC representatives will be of interest in terms of clarifying the timeline for the beginning of monetary policy easing. After the previous decision, Jerome Powell reminded investors that the deflation process looks "uneven."

The November Consumer Price Index came in line with forecasts, showing a slight increase, confirming the unstable nature of the return of price growth to the regulator's target of 2%, especially in the services sector, which is concentrated as the "last mile" in the fight against inflation.

#USreview #FOMCmeeting #JeromePowell #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketOutlook
πŸ“ˆ Tomorrow's Event: Decision on the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) Year-over-Year (YoY). This index reflects the change in average prices for a consumer basket of goods and services in the Eurozone over the past year compared to the previous year. Its impact spans various financial instruments and markets. #FinancialAnalysis #ConsumerPriceIndex #Eurozone

It is crucial to note that the CPI can be considered an indicator of inflation levels. An increase in the CPI indicates a rise in prices for the consumer basket, which may suggest inflation. Conversely, a decrease in the CPI may indicate deflation, i.e., a decrease in the overall price level. #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialMarkets

Stay tuned for updates to stay informed about significant financial trends and market forecasts! πŸŒπŸ’Ό #Finance #Economics #MarketForecast
πŸ“Š The Impact of Eurozone CPI YoY on Various Financial Areas:

1. Currency Markets: The inflation level can influence the euro exchange rate. High inflation may prompt central banks to raise interest rates to curb inflationary pressures, making the euro more attractive to investors and increasing its value in the currency market. #CurrencyMarkets #Inflation #Euro

2. Bonds: Inflation affects the bond market. An increase in inflation can reduce the real value of bonds, especially those with fixed coupons. Investors typically demand higher bond yields to offset losses from inflation. #Bonds #InflationImpact #FinancialMarkets

3. Stocks: The impact of inflation on stock markets can be twofold. High inflation can negatively affect company profits and reduce their real value, impacting stock prices. However, under moderate inflation, rising prices for goods and services may contribute to increased company profits and, consequently, stock prices. #Stocks #InflationEffect #EquityMarkets

4. Gold and Commodities: Investors often view precious metals and commodities as protective assets against inflation. High inflation levels may boost demand for such assets, including gold. #Gold #Commodities #InflationHedge

5. Central Banks: Eurozone central banks may use CPI data to shape their monetary policies. High inflation levels may lead to interest rate hikes, while low inflation may prompt rate cuts. #CentralBanks #MonetaryPolicy #InflationData

It's important to note that the impact of the Consumer Price Index depends on the economic context, the overall direction of central bank policies, and other factors. Market reactions may vary over different time periods and depending on investor expectations. Stay informed to navigate the dynamic financial landscape. πŸ“ˆπŸ’Ή #FinancialAnalysis #MarketImpact #EconomicIndicators
# Today: Changes in Crude Oil Reserves and Their Impact on the Economy

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) regularly assesses the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held by American firms. These crude oil reserve data are a crucial indicator influencing various aspects of the economy.

## Impact on Prices and the Economy:

1. Oil Product Prices:
Changes in crude oil reserves directly affect oil product prices. Increased reserves often lead to price reductions due to an excess of supply.

2. Influence on Inflation:
Prices of oil products have a direct impact on inflation. Elevated fuel and energy prices can increase overall expenditures and production costs, potentially raising inflation.

3. Economic Forces:
Crude oil reserves serve as a key indicator of economic health, reflecting the balance between supply and demand. They influence investments and overall economic stability.

## Today's News:

According to the latest data from the EIA, we observe changes in crude oil reserve metrics. This may impact the energy market and elicit reactions in financial circles.

#Oil #Energy #Economy #Inflation #CrudeOilReserves #EIA #EnergyMarket #Finance #CrudeOil #Investments

Investors and market participants will closely monitor these changes, and a proper understanding of their impact aids in making informed decisions in financial markets.
What news today and how they might affect trading briefly:
1. Building Permits:
- Impact: High. An increase may signal economic growth and investor confidence.
- Possible trading reactions: Rise in the US dollar with positive data.

2. Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (November):
- Impact: Strong. Measures orders for long-lasting goods excluding transportation and can reflect the state of the industrial sector.
- Possible trading reactions: Rise in the US dollar with positive data, negative impact on stock markets with weak figures.

3. Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (November):
- Impact: Moderate. Preferred inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve.
- Possible trading reactions: Rise in the US dollar with increasing inflation, negative impact on bonds with higher inflation.

4. Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (November):
- Impact: Moderate. Measures monthly changes in the core consumer price index.
- Possible trading reactions: Rise in the US dollar with increasing inflation, negative impact on bonds with higher inflation.

5. New Home Sales (November):
- Impact: Moderate. Reflects demand for new homes and can be an indicator of the overall real estate market.
- Possible trading reactions: Rise in the US dollar with a strengthening real estate sector, impact on the market for construction materials, and stocks of construction companies.

#Economy #Trading #USD #Inflation #Construction #RealEstate #FedReserve #Finance #Investments #Markets #EconomicNews #TradingInstruments #DataAnalysis #FinancialNews
Economic Overview on December 26, 2023: Anticipated News and Potential Impacts

Hello, esteemed colleagues! Tomorrow, on December 26, 2023, significant economic events await us. Let's examine how these news items might influence the financial world.

1. Japan Bank Basic CPI (YoY) (08:00 JPY) - Forecast: 3.0%
The anticipated rise in Japan's basic consumer price index can provide insights into the country's economic health. #Japan #Inflation

2. Basic CPI (YoY) (Nov) (08:00 SGD) - Forecast: 3.20%, Actual: 3.30%
Singapore is set to release data on the basic CPI for November. An exceeding forecast may impact local authorities' decisions. #Singapore #Inflation

3. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Nov) (08:00 SGD) - Forecast: 3.8%, Actual: 4.7%
Singapore's Consumer Price Index is expected to surpass the forecast. How will this affect consumer spending? #CPI #Expenditure

4. S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI (MoM) (Oct) (17:00 USD) - Forecast: 0.2%
Impact on the U.S. real estate market: How will housing prices change in October? #RealEstate #Market

5. S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI Excluding Seasonal Variations (YoY) (Oct) (17:00 USD) - Forecast: 5.0%, Actual: 3.9%
The annual increase in U.S. housing prices may influence buyer and investor decisions. #Housing #Investments

6. 2-Year Treasury Note Auction (21:00 USD) - Average Yield: 4.887%
A bond auction in the U.S.: What does this mean for the financial market and the dollar? #Finance #Bonds

Conclusion:
Stay tuned for updates, discuss events in the comments, and prepare for potential changes in financial markets. Good luck with your investment strategies! #Economy #Finance #Investments #News #FreshForecast #FreshForex
Key Economic Indicators and Potential Market Impact Today

1. Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) (December):
*Actual: 2.9%, Forecast: 3.0%, Previous: 2.4%*

Data on the Eurozone Consumer Price Index reflects the year-on-year inflation for December. If inflation figures fall below expectations, concerns about economic growth may arise, impacting the Euro (EUR) and potentially affecting European stocks.

*Potential Instruments: EUR/USD, Eurozone Stock Indices*

2. US Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) and Nonfarm Payrolls (December):
*Average Hourly Earnings: 0.3%, Forecast: 0.4%*
*Nonfarm Payrolls: 170K, Forecast: 199K*

Indicators of the US labor market, including wage growth and nonfarm payrolls, can influence the US Dollar (USD) and global investment activity. Figures surpassing expectations may strengthen the dollar and instill confidence in the US economy.

*Potential Instruments: USD pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, USD/JPY), US Stock Indices*

3. US Unemployment Rate (December):
*Actual: 3.8%, Forecast: 3.7%*

Changes in the unemployment rate provide insights into the overall state of the US labor market. A lower unemployment rate is generally seen as a positive signal for the economy and may support the US Dollar.

*Potential Instruments: USD pairs, US Stock Indices*

4. US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Prices (December):
*ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 52.6, Forecast: 52.7*
*ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices: 58.3*

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI reflects the economic condition of the US services sector. A value above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction. Figures exceeding expectations may support the US Dollar, while lower values could have the opposite effect.

*Potential Instruments: USD pairs, US Dollar Index (DXY), US Treasury Securities*

#Forex #EconomicIndicators #TradingNews #USD #EUR #StockMarket #Investing #Inflation #Employment #PMI #FinancialMarkets