🇺🇸 ExxonMobil (XOM) shares are currently experiencing a notable decline and are trading near the $98 mark.
1️⃣ The negative trend is unfolding amid the oil market downturn, attributed to the absence of production cuts by OPEC+ members. Additionally, new indications of a slowdown in the growth of major global economies are raising concerns about a potential decrease in energy demand.
2️⃣ Furthermore, escalating tensions between Venezuela and Guyana over disputed territories rich in "black gold" are exerting downward pressure on XOM quotes. Analysts are not ruling out the possibility of a military conflict, which could delay ExxonMobil's largest foreign project for resource extraction on the Guyana sea shelf, resulting in substantial investment losses amounting to several billion dollars.
📉 Analysts are recommending maintaining short positions on XOM shares with a target of $90.
#XOM #ExxonMobil #StockMarket #OilPrices #GlobalEconomy #InvestmentAnalysis
1️⃣ The negative trend is unfolding amid the oil market downturn, attributed to the absence of production cuts by OPEC+ members. Additionally, new indications of a slowdown in the growth of major global economies are raising concerns about a potential decrease in energy demand.
2️⃣ Furthermore, escalating tensions between Venezuela and Guyana over disputed territories rich in "black gold" are exerting downward pressure on XOM quotes. Analysts are not ruling out the possibility of a military conflict, which could delay ExxonMobil's largest foreign project for resource extraction on the Guyana sea shelf, resulting in substantial investment losses amounting to several billion dollars.
📉 Analysts are recommending maintaining short positions on XOM shares with a target of $90.
#XOM #ExxonMobil #StockMarket #OilPrices #GlobalEconomy #InvestmentAnalysis
Understanding the US Dollar Index (DXY)
Introduction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is a real-time indicator reflecting the dynamics of the US dollar against a basket of other currencies. Widely used, it serves as a common way to track the value of the world's most traded currency and stands as a key market in itself.
What is DXY?
DXY, symbolizing the US Dollar Index, tracks the price of the US dollar against six foreign currencies, aiming to represent its value in global markets. This index rises when the dollar strengthens against other currencies and falls when the dollar weakens.
The index operates by comparing the US dollar's price with six other currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. These currencies were selected when the index was formed in 1974.
How to Calculate the US Dollar Index
To calculate the US Dollar Index, each currency's rate in the basket is multiplied by its weight. Weights ensure that significant currencies, like the euro, have a greater impact on the DXY price compared to less significant currencies, such as the krona.
Today, the following weights are used for calculating the index:
- EUR/USD - 57%
- USD/JPY - 13.6%
- GBP/USD - 11.9%
- USD/CAD - 9.1%
- USD/SEK - 4.2%
- USD/CHF - 3.6%
As seen, the euro-dollar pair is undoubtedly the most influential in the DXY calculation, reflecting its replacement of several European currencies and the EU's status as a key US trading partner.
History of the US Dollar Index
DXY was introduced in 1973 after the end of the Bretton Woods Agreement. It provided markets with the opportunity to determine the value of the world's reserve currency following the end of the gold standard. The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has managed the index since 1985.
Historically, DXY has traded in a broad range and, unlike other indices, has not been consistently bullish. In March 1985, it reached a historical high of 164.63, while its lowest point occurred in April 2008 during the financial crisis, reaching 70.63.
Factors Influencing Price Movements of the US Dollar Index
Macroeconomic events, GDP data, the economic condition of each country, and the monetary and fiscal policies of central banks impact DXY prices. Safe-haven demand also influences the index: during global economic crises, traders often view the US dollar as a safe asset, leading to optimism in the index. Conversely, if risk sentiment prevails, and investors sell the dollar for riskier assets, the index may decline.
Why the US Dollar Index Matters for Traders
The US Dollar Index is crucial for traders as both a market and an indicator of the US dollar's relative strength worldwide. It can be used in technical analysis to confirm trends in commodity prices, currency pairs involving the US dollar, stocks, and indices.
As the dollar's value rises, the prices of commodities such as gold (at least nominally) tend to decrease, and vice versa. For currency pairs where the dollar is the base currency, like USD/JPY, they usually move in the same direction as the index. However, for quote currency pairs like EUR/USD, they move inversely. The relationship becomes more complex for stocks and indices, influenced by factors like US exporters' competitiveness and the purchasing power of the dollar.
In conclusion, the US Dollar Index (DXY) serves as a relative measure of the strength of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies. Created in 1973, it remains relevant and can be used as an indicator of the health of the US economy. #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #FinanceAnalysis #CurrencyMarkets #EconomicIndicators #TradingStrategies #GlobalEconomy #DXYInsights #MarketTrends #FinancialMarkets #InvestingTips #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityPrices #CurrencyPairs #MarketIndicators #TradingSignals #USDEconomy #SafeHavenAssets #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentStrategies #FinancialNews
Introduction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is a real-time indicator reflecting the dynamics of the US dollar against a basket of other currencies. Widely used, it serves as a common way to track the value of the world's most traded currency and stands as a key market in itself.
What is DXY?
DXY, symbolizing the US Dollar Index, tracks the price of the US dollar against six foreign currencies, aiming to represent its value in global markets. This index rises when the dollar strengthens against other currencies and falls when the dollar weakens.
The index operates by comparing the US dollar's price with six other currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. These currencies were selected when the index was formed in 1974.
How to Calculate the US Dollar Index
To calculate the US Dollar Index, each currency's rate in the basket is multiplied by its weight. Weights ensure that significant currencies, like the euro, have a greater impact on the DXY price compared to less significant currencies, such as the krona.
Today, the following weights are used for calculating the index:
- EUR/USD - 57%
- USD/JPY - 13.6%
- GBP/USD - 11.9%
- USD/CAD - 9.1%
- USD/SEK - 4.2%
- USD/CHF - 3.6%
As seen, the euro-dollar pair is undoubtedly the most influential in the DXY calculation, reflecting its replacement of several European currencies and the EU's status as a key US trading partner.
History of the US Dollar Index
DXY was introduced in 1973 after the end of the Bretton Woods Agreement. It provided markets with the opportunity to determine the value of the world's reserve currency following the end of the gold standard. The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has managed the index since 1985.
Historically, DXY has traded in a broad range and, unlike other indices, has not been consistently bullish. In March 1985, it reached a historical high of 164.63, while its lowest point occurred in April 2008 during the financial crisis, reaching 70.63.
Factors Influencing Price Movements of the US Dollar Index
Macroeconomic events, GDP data, the economic condition of each country, and the monetary and fiscal policies of central banks impact DXY prices. Safe-haven demand also influences the index: during global economic crises, traders often view the US dollar as a safe asset, leading to optimism in the index. Conversely, if risk sentiment prevails, and investors sell the dollar for riskier assets, the index may decline.
Why the US Dollar Index Matters for Traders
The US Dollar Index is crucial for traders as both a market and an indicator of the US dollar's relative strength worldwide. It can be used in technical analysis to confirm trends in commodity prices, currency pairs involving the US dollar, stocks, and indices.
As the dollar's value rises, the prices of commodities such as gold (at least nominally) tend to decrease, and vice versa. For currency pairs where the dollar is the base currency, like USD/JPY, they usually move in the same direction as the index. However, for quote currency pairs like EUR/USD, they move inversely. The relationship becomes more complex for stocks and indices, influenced by factors like US exporters' competitiveness and the purchasing power of the dollar.
In conclusion, the US Dollar Index (DXY) serves as a relative measure of the strength of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies. Created in 1973, it remains relevant and can be used as an indicator of the health of the US economy. #USDollarIndex #ForexTrading #FinanceAnalysis #CurrencyMarkets #EconomicIndicators #TradingStrategies #GlobalEconomy #DXYInsights #MarketTrends #FinancialMarkets #InvestingTips #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityPrices #CurrencyPairs #MarketIndicators #TradingSignals #USDEconomy #SafeHavenAssets #MarketAnalysis #InvestmentStrategies #FinancialNews
The following events and indicators can impact the US dollar exchange rate this week:
1. Tuesday, January 16:
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany (m/m) (Dec): This indicator may affect the euro and, consequently, the dollar, as changes in inflation can influence the decisions of the European Central Bank regarding monetary policy.
2. Wednesday, January 17:
- China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4): Economic data related to the Chinese economy can influence the demand for the dollar, especially considering China's significance in the global economy.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United Kingdom (Dec): The impact on the pound sterling can have repercussions on the dollar.
3. Thursday, January 18:
- International Reserves of the Central Bank of Russia (USD): This indicator may affect the ruble and the Russian market, subsequently influencing the dollar.
- Initial Jobless Claims in the United States: This crucial labor market indicator can influence the dollar's exchange rate.
4. Friday, January 19:
- Existing Home Sales in the United States (Dec): This indicator can provide information about the strength of the real estate market, potentially affecting the dollar.
#Forex
#Economics
#StockMarket
#GlobalEconomy
#USD
#ChinaGDP
#EUR
#Unemployment
#OilPrices
#HousingMarket
1. Tuesday, January 16:
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany (m/m) (Dec): This indicator may affect the euro and, consequently, the dollar, as changes in inflation can influence the decisions of the European Central Bank regarding monetary policy.
2. Wednesday, January 17:
- China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4): Economic data related to the Chinese economy can influence the demand for the dollar, especially considering China's significance in the global economy.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United Kingdom (Dec): The impact on the pound sterling can have repercussions on the dollar.
3. Thursday, January 18:
- International Reserves of the Central Bank of Russia (USD): This indicator may affect the ruble and the Russian market, subsequently influencing the dollar.
- Initial Jobless Claims in the United States: This crucial labor market indicator can influence the dollar's exchange rate.
4. Friday, January 19:
- Existing Home Sales in the United States (Dec): This indicator can provide information about the strength of the real estate market, potentially affecting the dollar.
#Forex
#Economics
#StockMarket
#GlobalEconomy
#USD
#ChinaGDP
#EUR
#Unemployment
#OilPrices
#HousingMarket