#tradewithsonic #macro

Last week, we saw another record influx of $121 billion into money market funds, also known as risk-free or interest-collecting markets. Out of that total, $113 billion came from institutional traders and smart money.

Do they have insights that regular retail traders lack?

#tradewithsonic #macro

Number of Florida houses for sale just skyrocketed.
Those who bought at the high, with the hope of flipping back higher are about to get crashed.

#tradewithsonic #macro

🚨 Update: The recent surge in Ethereum (ETH) is primarily fueled by leveraged positions.

Here's what the data shows:

ETH Price Increase: 7%
Open Interest Growth: 15%

That's HOT 👍

#tradewithsonic #macro

🚨🇺🇸 Unrealized losses at U.S. banks have soared to seven times the levels seen during the 2008 financial crisis.

2025/2026 will be interesting.

#tradewithsonic #macro

The finest free lectures on quantitative trading offered by leading universities worldwide include "Mathematics with Applications in Finance" from MIT.

Credit: Internet
#tradewithsonic #macro

The power of B may "already" knows that who will be the next POTUS and this is going to the little welcome gift for him/her.
Late 2024 and 2025 will be precarious. 🇺🇸

#tradewithsonic #macro

Many Americans are struggling to make ends meet and are being driven into the trap of high-interest credit card debt.

Currently, a record $628 billion in U.S. credit card debt remains unpaid or is rolled over each month.

Credit: Internet
#tradewithsonic #macro

Watch yields across the board carefully. 📈📊
About to explode. 💥🌋
It "can" be good for USD and bad for other currencies & equities.

#tradewithsonic #macro #UST

Japan General Election 2024 results

🟢 LDP- 191 seats (65 seat loss)
🔴 Komeito- 24 seats (8 seat loss)

This means the LDP- Komeito Coalition now has 215 seats which is 15 seats away for a majority

🔵CDP- 148 seats (52 seat gain)
🟡 DPP- 28 seats (17 seat gain)
⚪️ NIPPON ISHIN- 38 seats (3 seats loss)
🟣Reiwa Shinsengumi-9 seats (6 seat gain)
🔴 Japanese Communist Party- (8 seats (2 seat loss)
🟠 Sanseitō-3 seats (New)
🔵 Conservative Party of Japan- 3 seats (New)

credit: internet
#tradewithsonic #macro #japan

The market is becoming increasingly concentrated:
The market capitalization of the largest U.S. stock is now about 750 times larger than that of the 75th percentile stock, approaching levels not seen since 1932.
In the past eight years, this gap has tripled.
In fact, the market is now even more concentrated than it was during the 2000 Dot-com bubble.
As shown below, the largest U.S. stock in 2000 reached a peak of roughly 6,000 times the size of the 75th percentile stock.
The only other period with this level of market concentration was during the Great Depression.
It’s astonishing.

Credit Internet
#tradewithsonic #macro

Elon cutting $2 Trillion from budget?

Good for America "in long term" BUT gonna be bad for the markets as they suck the money out the system.

#tradewithsonic #macro

Record-Breaking 5-Year Treasury Short Position 🚨
Hedge funds have established the largest short position in 5-Year Treasuries ever.

They are likely wagering that US Treasury yields will continue to rise. It’s quite astonishing.

#tradewithsonic #macro
#cftc #ust #dollar

Record-Breaking Natural Gas Short Positions 🚨

Small traders have taken the largest short position in natural gas seen in the past 15 years, and they frequently end up on the wrong side of the market.

#tradewithsonic #macro #cftc #naturalgas #energy

Fund Flow (6 Nov 2024)

Flow 1:
Capital is entering the market through various distinct operations.

Flow 2:
The market is showing signs of risk aversion and adopting a more cautious approach.

Summary:
The combined effect of these two factors may drive the market higher. It's akin to simultaneously pressing the accelerator and the brake—expect some volatility.
Overall, slightly bullish.

#tradewithsonic #macro

Mortgage rates are poised to soar, and few people realize it.
The coming weeks will be interesting.

#tradewithsonic #macro

Something absolutely wild is happening on the Euro swap cash basis and it's both extremely important & very puzzling - first time it's negative since 1999.

Summary:
Possible Market Stress is appearing in Euro Bonds related markets.
It typically means that investors withdraw their money from banks and other financial institutions and invest in government bonds. Flight to quality.

Just so you know.

#tradewithsonic #macro