Good evening all,
We are waiting on teams for two bets tonight.
Please keep notifications on if you are interested in following 🔔
We are waiting on teams for two bets tonight.
Please keep notifications on if you are interested in following 🔔
First bet of the night.
🏴 Chelsea v Spurs
Over 3.5 Asian Goal Line
Bet365 - 1.78 - 1 Point
Chelsea have gone over 3.5 in 8 straiggt and 11 of their last 12 Premier League games. Spurs have gone over 3.5 in 5 of their last 7 away. They've also gone over 3.5 away at sides in the top 8 in five of six. Spurs with Royal and Porro playing wingback and Cucurella is a liability in defense too. Alfie Gilchrist will be up against Son in just his second Prem start.
🏴 Chelsea v Spurs
Over 3.5 Asian Goal Line
Bet365 - 1.78 - 1 Point
Chelsea have gone over 3.5 in 8 straiggt and 11 of their last 12 Premier League games. Spurs have gone over 3.5 in 5 of their last 7 away. They've also gone over 3.5 away at sides in the top 8 in five of six. Spurs with Royal and Porro playing wingback and Cucurella is a liability in defense too. Alfie Gilchrist will be up against Son in just his second Prem start.
Good afternoon all,
A bit disappointed with Spurs performance last night. Kulusevski has really dropped off since the start of the season and they just lacked creativity in midfield!
We move on to today with two bets anyway:
🏴 Luton v Everton
Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 - 4/6 - 1 Point
This is obviously a must-win spot for Luton against an Everton side with nothing to play for. Everton have scored two or more away from home in four of their five matches against the bottom seven. It's quite remarkable given their xG performance on the season overall. Luton have kept just two clean sheets at home in 17, so they will likely need to push for at least two goals to win the game. It should be a back-and-forth type match with goals being upgraded for Everton having nothing to play for.
🇪🇸 Getafe v Bilbao
Over 2.0 Asian Goal Line
Bet365 - 17/20 - 1 Point
Bilbao have drastic splits away against good and poor sides in La Liga. They are undefeated against bottom half sides in the table and have kept a clean sheet in seven of eight. However, against the top-half sides, they won once in eight, haven't kept a clean sheet, and conceded two or more in five. Getafe have nothing to play for and have scored in 11 of 16 at home. The first meeting ended 2-2, and Bilbao have a very slim chance of catching Atletico for fourth, and basically, no risk of falling out of the European places, so they may as well push for the win in all remaining games.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
A bit disappointed with Spurs performance last night. Kulusevski has really dropped off since the start of the season and they just lacked creativity in midfield!
We move on to today with two bets anyway:
🏴 Luton v Everton
Over 2.5 Goals
Bet365 - 4/6 - 1 Point
This is obviously a must-win spot for Luton against an Everton side with nothing to play for. Everton have scored two or more away from home in four of their five matches against the bottom seven. It's quite remarkable given their xG performance on the season overall. Luton have kept just two clean sheets at home in 17, so they will likely need to push for at least two goals to win the game. It should be a back-and-forth type match with goals being upgraded for Everton having nothing to play for.
🇪🇸 Getafe v Bilbao
Over 2.0 Asian Goal Line
Bet365 - 17/20 - 1 Point
Bilbao have drastic splits away against good and poor sides in La Liga. They are undefeated against bottom half sides in the table and have kept a clean sheet in seven of eight. However, against the top-half sides, they won once in eight, haven't kept a clean sheet, and conceded two or more in five. Getafe have nothing to play for and have scored in 11 of 16 at home. The first meeting ended 2-2, and Bilbao have a very slim chance of catching Atletico for fourth, and basically, no risk of falling out of the European places, so they may as well push for the win in all remaining games.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Morning all,
Who would be interested in a final day Championship acca?
Drop a reaction if you are 👍
Who would be interested in a final day Championship acca?
Drop a reaction if you are 👍
Bet Builder selection for Arsenal v Bournemouth.
We have a good couple of angles here.
Havertz is playing through the middle as a CF. He's been mixing between playing up top, deeper and out wide recently but 4/9 for him to have a SOT is a great bet.
Then we have Rice playing further forward with Partey in the lineup, who will obviously sit deeper and allow him to get forward. He's also had a shot in his last 7 starts.
Saka tops this off. He's had 2+ shots in 1 of this last 20 starts with his only miss away at Man City. He's also had 3+ shots in each of his last 5 Prem starts.
We have a good couple of angles here.
Havertz is playing through the middle as a CF. He's been mixing between playing up top, deeper and out wide recently but 4/9 for him to have a SOT is a great bet.
Then we have Rice playing further forward with Partey in the lineup, who will obviously sit deeper and allow him to get forward. He's also had a shot in his last 7 starts.
Saka tops this off. He's had 2+ shots in 1 of this last 20 starts with his only miss away at Man City. He's also had 3+ shots in each of his last 5 Prem starts.
Two best bets for the Premier League 3pm's:
🏴 Brentford v Fulham
Fulham +0.5 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 1.84 - 1 Point
Brentford have been good in recent weeks but they've won just one home game against teams outside of the bottom six. Those two wins came against Luton and Sheffield United, which is the kind of spot they've performed well in all season. Fulham have lost just one of six away against sides in the bottom eight away from home.
🏴 Sheffield Utd v Forest
Over 3.0 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 20/21 - 1 Point
Sheffield Utd games have been goalfests for quite some time now. They've seen four or more goals in eight of their last ten Premier League games. Forest have Wood, Elanga, Gibbs-White and Hudson-Odoi starting, so a very attacking from four. They've also conceded two or more in each of their last four, which includes games against Wolves and Everton.
I'll have a look through the player bet markets now too.
🏴 Brentford v Fulham
Fulham +0.5 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 1.84 - 1 Point
Brentford have been good in recent weeks but they've won just one home game against teams outside of the bottom six. Those two wins came against Luton and Sheffield United, which is the kind of spot they've performed well in all season. Fulham have lost just one of six away against sides in the bottom eight away from home.
🏴 Sheffield Utd v Forest
Over 3.0 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 20/21 - 1 Point
Sheffield Utd games have been goalfests for quite some time now. They've seen four or more goals in eight of their last ten Premier League games. Forest have Wood, Elanga, Gibbs-White and Hudson-Odoi starting, so a very attacking from four. They've also conceded two or more in each of their last four, which includes games against Wolves and Everton.
I'll have a look through the player bet markets now too.
Bet Builder for Brentford v Fulham. 1 point.
Targeting Reguilon here who has a shot in nine of his ten starts for Brentford with the only miss coming away at Wolves. Brentford are playing a 5-3-2, so expect him to bomb on down the wings from full back. Muniz is a shot machine with 2+ in all 15 of his last PL starts. He's hit 3+ in his last eight straight games.
Targeting Reguilon here who has a shot in nine of his ten starts for Brentford with the only miss coming away at Wolves. Brentford are playing a 5-3-2, so expect him to bomb on down the wings from full back. Muniz is a shot machine with 2+ in all 15 of his last PL starts. He's hit 3+ in his last eight straight games.
Bet Builder selections for Sheffield Utd v Forest.
Targeting Ben Brereton who has consistently been mispriced by bet365 for shots on target. He's had a shot on target in 10 of 11 Premier League starts with his only miss coming away at Liverpool. His shot volumes over the last 5 games read 5, 4, 4, 2, 2. He's had 2 shots on target in three of his last five games and 3 in two. 12/1 is just way too big.
Targeting Ben Brereton who has consistently been mispriced by bet365 for shots on target. He's had a shot on target in 10 of 11 Premier League starts with his only miss coming away at Liverpool. His shot volumes over the last 5 games read 5, 4, 4, 2, 2. He's had 2 shots on target in three of his last five games and 3 in two. 12/1 is just way too big.
Analysis for the Bet Builders added.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Man City v Wolves Bet Builder
Semedo has a foul in 14/16 away games. He's playing right wing back and up against Foden, who has drawn the most fouls for Man City in home games at 1.84 per 90.
De Bruyne is going to play higher through the middle with Kovacic and Rodri playing. He's had a shot on target in each of his last four Prem games and has hit the target twice or more in three.
Haaland is fairly straight forward and gets us the 15% Winnings Boost on bet365. He's had 2+ in all 13 home PL starts.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Semedo has a foul in 14/16 away games. He's playing right wing back and up against Foden, who has drawn the most fouls for Man City in home games at 1.84 per 90.
De Bruyne is going to play higher through the middle with Kovacic and Rodri playing. He's had a shot on target in each of his last four Prem games and has hit the target twice or more in three.
Haaland is fairly straight forward and gets us the 15% Winnings Boost on bet365. He's had 2+ in all 13 home PL starts.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Good morning all,
✅ Two our of two best bet winners yesterday in the Premier League and a couple of Bet Builder winners secured us a good bit of profit!
I've had four best bets today:
🏴 Liverpool v Spurs
Spurs +1 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 23/20 - 0.5 Points
Liverpool have won just one of their last five and their title hopes are pretty much over. Spurs may have lost three of their last four away from home but they haven't lost the xG battle by more than 0.5 in any game. They've scored one goal from 5.63 xG and conceded 10 from 6.84 xG. I don't think Liverpool are sound enough defensively at the moment to be laying this kind of price against a good attacking side like Spurs, who still have an outside chance at top four.
🇮🇹 Cagliari v Lecce
Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 10/11 - 1 Point
11.30am start for this one. We backed Cag over 2 on Monday and were rewarded as they lost 3-0 but a lot of the same reasoning applies here. Cag are fighting for survival in Serie A and will see this as a winnable game. Their last four games have ended 3-0 at Genoa, 2-2 v Juve, 2-2 at Inter, and 2-1 v Atalanta. Their underlying metrics are good, too, with over 1xG created against Juve and Inter. Lecce have scored away from home in all eight against the bottom sides in Serie A.
🇩🇪 Union Berlin v Bochum
Over 2.5 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 2.08 - 0.5 Points
A massive clash at the bottom of the Bundesliga. Bochum have conceded 36 goals in 14 games away from home. They've conceded two or more in three of four away from home against teams in the bottom six and three of five at home. Union Berlin have scored two or 3, 4, 2, and 1 in their four home games against the bottom six. The first meeting between these sides ended 3-0 but was a fairly even contest with 3.69 xG. A good to play for spot and over even money for 2.5 is value.
🇪🇸 Sevilla v Granada
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365 - 4/5 - 0.5 Points
Another to play for spot with Granada who are in hail mary territory having to win all remaining games if they want to stay up. Sevilla have secured safety and this is a spot they've been good for goals. In their home games against the bottom six they've gone over 2.5 in three of four. Against sides outside of the top six, they've gone over in seven of eleven. Sevilla won the first meeting 3-0 away from home. Granada will have to push for multiple goals to win here. They've not kept a single clean sheet away from home in 16 games but have scored 3, 1, 2 in their last three games, which includes an away game at Bilbao.
There will be some good spots hopefully in the Prem games for some Bet Builders, so i'll be back after team news is announced in each of those games.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
✅ Two our of two best bet winners yesterday in the Premier League and a couple of Bet Builder winners secured us a good bit of profit!
I've had four best bets today:
🏴 Liverpool v Spurs
Spurs +1 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 23/20 - 0.5 Points
Liverpool have won just one of their last five and their title hopes are pretty much over. Spurs may have lost three of their last four away from home but they haven't lost the xG battle by more than 0.5 in any game. They've scored one goal from 5.63 xG and conceded 10 from 6.84 xG. I don't think Liverpool are sound enough defensively at the moment to be laying this kind of price against a good attacking side like Spurs, who still have an outside chance at top four.
🇮🇹 Cagliari v Lecce
Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 10/11 - 1 Point
11.30am start for this one. We backed Cag over 2 on Monday and were rewarded as they lost 3-0 but a lot of the same reasoning applies here. Cag are fighting for survival in Serie A and will see this as a winnable game. Their last four games have ended 3-0 at Genoa, 2-2 v Juve, 2-2 at Inter, and 2-1 v Atalanta. Their underlying metrics are good, too, with over 1xG created against Juve and Inter. Lecce have scored away from home in all eight against the bottom sides in Serie A.
🇩🇪 Union Berlin v Bochum
Over 2.5 Asian Goal Line
bet365 - 2.08 - 0.5 Points
A massive clash at the bottom of the Bundesliga. Bochum have conceded 36 goals in 14 games away from home. They've conceded two or more in three of four away from home against teams in the bottom six and three of five at home. Union Berlin have scored two or 3, 4, 2, and 1 in their four home games against the bottom six. The first meeting between these sides ended 3-0 but was a fairly even contest with 3.69 xG. A good to play for spot and over even money for 2.5 is value.
🇪🇸 Sevilla v Granada
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365 - 4/5 - 0.5 Points
Another to play for spot with Granada who are in hail mary territory having to win all remaining games if they want to stay up. Sevilla have secured safety and this is a spot they've been good for goals. In their home games against the bottom six they've gone over 2.5 in three of four. Against sides outside of the top six, they've gone over in seven of eleven. Sevilla won the first meeting 3-0 away from home. Granada will have to push for multiple goals to win here. They've not kept a single clean sheet away from home in 16 games but have scored 3, 1, 2 in their last three games, which includes an away game at Bilbao.
There will be some good spots hopefully in the Prem games for some Bet Builders, so i'll be back after team news is announced in each of those games.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Two Bet Builders for Liverpool v Spurs.
Gakpo is playing through the middle and is 1/2 to have a SOT against Spurs high line. Salah shouldn't need too much explaining and Johnson has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 starts. He's been arguably the best attacking player for Spurs over the last couple of months.
Mac Allister will be playing further forward with Endo playing. He's also had a shot in 13/16 home starts. Bentancur has had a shot in six of nine starts If you discount the one against Villla where he was injured in the first half. Very high goal line at 4.0, so this should be a very open, attacking game where I'm happy to get involved with 2 Points.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Gakpo is playing through the middle and is 1/2 to have a SOT against Spurs high line. Salah shouldn't need too much explaining and Johnson has had a shot in 8 of his last 10 starts. He's been arguably the best attacking player for Spurs over the last couple of months.
Mac Allister will be playing further forward with Endo playing. He's also had a shot in 13/16 home starts. Bentancur has had a shot in six of nine starts If you discount the one against Villla where he was injured in the first half. Very high goal line at 4.0, so this should be a very open, attacking game where I'm happy to get involved with 2 Points.
Best of luck if you follow 👍
Good morning all,
Yesterday's best bets ended with two wins, a half loss and a loss with the Bet Builder's also splitting. So a bit of a nothing day and we move on to bank holiday Monday!
I've had two bets so far:
🏴 Crystal Palace v Man United
Man United +0.5 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 4/6 - 0.5 Points
Slightly confusing line to me that Palace are favourites at home against United. Olise and Eze will be playing but this is a spot they've struggled all season. They've won just two of eight home games against sides in the top half and one of those was against West Ham, who we have rated as the 16th best team in the league on net xG. No team has outperformed their xG more than the Hammers this season. United have also been very good against sides in the bottom half with six wins, a draw and a loss away from home. Palace did beat Liverpool away but the xG in that game was 2.42 v 1.06 and just watching you could see Liverpool just couldn't finish on the day. United have lost just twice in their last eight and those came against Chelsea and City.
🇮🇹 Udinese v Napoli
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365 - 4/5 - 1 Point
A big game for both teams for different reasons. Udinese are fighting for survival and Napoli are trying to secure European football after a rollercoaster of a season. With Conte in line for next season at Napoli the players will be looking to impress their new boss and get European football. Udinese have conceded two or more at home in seven of their nine games against sides in the top 11 of Serie A. Napoli have conceded in eight of ten away against sides in the bottom half of Serie A, which is quite surprising. They've also scored two or more in seven, so this looks like a good bet with the added to play for dynamics.
Best of luck if you follow and i'll be back after team news in the Palace United game 👍
Yesterday's best bets ended with two wins, a half loss and a loss with the Bet Builder's also splitting. So a bit of a nothing day and we move on to bank holiday Monday!
I've had two bets so far:
🏴 Crystal Palace v Man United
Man United +0.5 Asian Handicap
bet365 - 4/6 - 0.5 Points
Slightly confusing line to me that Palace are favourites at home against United. Olise and Eze will be playing but this is a spot they've struggled all season. They've won just two of eight home games against sides in the top half and one of those was against West Ham, who we have rated as the 16th best team in the league on net xG. No team has outperformed their xG more than the Hammers this season. United have also been very good against sides in the bottom half with six wins, a draw and a loss away from home. Palace did beat Liverpool away but the xG in that game was 2.42 v 1.06 and just watching you could see Liverpool just couldn't finish on the day. United have lost just twice in their last eight and those came against Chelsea and City.
🇮🇹 Udinese v Napoli
Over 2.5 Goals
bet365 - 4/5 - 1 Point
A big game for both teams for different reasons. Udinese are fighting for survival and Napoli are trying to secure European football after a rollercoaster of a season. With Conte in line for next season at Napoli the players will be looking to impress their new boss and get European football. Udinese have conceded two or more at home in seven of their nine games against sides in the top 11 of Serie A. Napoli have conceded in eight of ten away against sides in the bottom half of Serie A, which is quite surprising. They've also scored two or more in seven, so this looks like a good bet with the added to play for dynamics.
Best of luck if you follow and i'll be back after team news in the Palace United game 👍