Bet 2 - Austria 13+ Fouls - 1 Point @ 5/4 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Bet 3 - Austria 15+ Fouls - 0.5 Points @ 3/1 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Austria's high-pressing style has seen them rack up fouls in Germany, with 15 against Poland and 18 against France.

Their last six foul counts read 15, 18, 17, 19, 15, 14 - four of these games were friendlies.

The Netherlands have the pace to hit Austria in transition, and I expect they'll play a front four of Gakpo, Frimpong, Depay, and Simons.

Plan B would be to play over the press to Weghorst, who has drawn a foul in both sub appearances so far in just 9 and 11 minutes played.

Bet 4 - Frimpong Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points @ 6/5 with Paddy Power/Betfair

The quickest player in Holland's front four.

Austria's style of play leaves space in behind their full backs if the press can be beaten. Thuram had 5 shots, 2 on target and Mbappe had 4 shots, 1 on target, Dembele 1 shot, 0 on target. Poland just don't have the pace in their squad to trouble Austria.

I think bookmakers are undervaluing Frimpong because of his lack of international game time. Reijnders should play deeper again to help in the build-up, which means Frimpong should get a second straight start.

He had 2 shots, 1 on target in 73 minutes against France. Simons (5/6) and Gakpo (2/5) are both much shorter.

🇫🇷 France v Poland Tips 🇵🇱

1 best bet and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Frankowski Over 1.5 Fouls - 0.5 Points @ 2/1 with bet365

Frankowski had 2 fouls against the Netherlands in Poland's opener and 1 foul against Austria.

The right backs facing France have had 4 Posch (Austria) and 2 Dumfries (Netherlands). Bereszynski had 2 fouls and a booking against France in the 2022 World Cup playing right back.

Thuram and Hernandez's pace in attack and transition will cause problems and 2/1 is value.

More player bets will likely be added after team news. Need to see if Mbappe lines up for France before looking at the shot markets.

Frimpong doesn't start, so that bet will be void.

Don't fancy anything else on teams in these two games 👍

✅️ Frankoswki Over 1.5 Fouls @ 2/1

Absolutely cleans out Kounde to end the half to land us a nice winner before HT!

Looking at backing Austria team cards. If you have PP/Betfair available.

Great game state for it and they are already on 2 cards, 10 fouls.

Currently 5/6. Will give it 5 mins or so into the second half before backing.

Will send out a message when I fire 👍

🚨 INPLAY BET

🇪🇺 Netherlands v Austria
Austria Over 3.5 Cards

0.5 Points @ 6/4 with PP/Betfair

Austria already racked up 12 fouls and now lead. Baumgartner just come on, who has a very good foul record. Expect them to be aggressive in defence for the last 30 minutes.

Both foul bets look good for landing and this should top off a very profitable game.

✅️ Austria +0.5 AH @ 1.87
✅️ Austria 13+ Fouls @ 5/4
✅️ Austria 15+ Fouls @ 3/1
❌️ Austria Team Cards In-Play @ 6/4

A great game for us 👍

✅️ Cerin Over 0.5 Shots @ 11/8
❌️ Kane Under 2.5 Shots @ 6/5

At least we profit off this absolute borerest.

Good morning all 🌞

A good day at the office yesterday and 4 games to get stuck into today!

✅ Frankowski Over 1.5 Fouls @ 2/1
✅ Austria +0.5 AH @ 1.87
✅ Austria 13+ Fouls @ 5/4
✅ Austria 15+ Fouls @ 3/1
✅ Cerin Over 0.5 Shots @ 11/8
❌ Kane Under 2.5 Shots @ 6/5
❌ Austria Team Cards In-Play @ 6/4

🇧🇪 Belgium v Ukraine 🇺🇦

3 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Over 2.5 Goals - 0.5 Points @ 1.86 with bet365

A draw suits neither side, especially with the talk of a pre-arranged draw between Slovakia and Romania, which has caused the price to crash to 11/10.

Belgium have created 1.70 and 1.76 xG in their two games so far. Ukraine were much better last time out in their 2-1 win against Slovakia and should have good support in Stuttgart.

Mykolenko is set to return in some capacity for Ukraine, which helps their attack. Witsel looks set to miss again and they gave up 0.94 xG to Romania last time out with him missing.

This one should be end-to-end throughout.

Bet 2 - Lukaku Over 1.5 Shots On Target - 1 Point @ 6/5 with bet365

I’ve bet this, and it’s won in the first two group games. He’s racked up eight shots, five on target.

I prefer this bet to backing him to score anytime, which is now the same price as opposed to shorter like it was in the first two games.

Has now landed in 7 of 9 starts in the Euros and qualifying. Good game state for an attacking game and he’ll be eager to score, given he’s already had three goals chalked off due to VAR.

Bet 3 - Mudryk 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points @ 1/1 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Another bet we’ve backed in both previous games that’s landed.

He’s had 3 shots in both games and should have hit the target more than once last game against Slovakia.

Ukraine's shot leader, who had a shot on target in 5/8 qualifying matches with misses coming in both games against England and away in Macedonia.

There will likely be more bets after team news. Ukraine and Belgium's defence could be rotated.

Update on the rest of today's best bets:

🇸🇰 vs 🇷🇴 - Leaving this game with the weird draw situation.

🇨🇿 vs 🇹🇷 - Waiting for teams with Schick and Guler.

🇵🇹 vs 🇬🇪 - Waiting for teams with Portugal.

Mudryk doesn't start for Ukraine, so that's a void bet.

They've changed shape to a 5-3-2, which they've not played in the last 18 months. I'm happy to just stick with the Lukaku and over 2.5 bets we already have.

🚨 INPLAY BET

🇪🇺 Belgium v Ukraine
Ukraine 12+ Team Fouls

0.5 Points - 11/10 with Paddy Power/Betfair

Ukraine are a lot more aggressive out of possession than they have been in the previous two games. Belgium controlling possession and likely to get the first goal, which will see them have to keep pressing hard chasing the game. They've comitted 12+ fouls in 7/10 qualifying games and 1/2 games in Germany.

🇵🇹 Portugal v Georgia 🇬🇪

Bet 1 - Dalot 1+ Fouls - 1 Point at 8/15 with PP/Betfair/bet365

Bet 2 - Dalot 2+ Fouls - 0.5 Points at 13/5 with PP/Betfair

Up against Kvaratskhelia at right back who has drawn 3 Fouls in both games.

Dalot is no stranger to a foul and likes to get stuck in. Committed 1+ foul in 5/6 during qualifying.

🇨🇿 Czechia v Turkey 🇹🇷

2 best bets and research below ⤵️

Bet 1 - Lukas Provod 2+ Fouls - 1 Point at 1/1 with bet365

Committed 3 and 2 in the Euros so far. Only started three times in qualifying and his foul counts were 3, 2, 3.

He'll be up against some solid foul drawers in Yuksek, Calhanoglu, and Guler.

Bet 2 - Ladislav Krejci Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 0.5 Points at 5/2 with bet365

Had 4 shots last time out against Georgia but failed to hit the target.

Hit the target in all 5 starts in qualifying.

Czechia ranked 2nd in xG created from set pieces during the qualifiers, and Turkey ranked 22nd in xGA.

Dalot has had 2 fouls but only showing as 1 on Opta at the moment.

Drop some comments on this and get their attention to resettle ➡️ https://x.com/soccerbase/status/1806064687584247884?t=Eo_jsJPN6q5ugAxnm6cDGA&s=19

✅️ Dalot 1+ Foul at 8/15
⏳️ Dalot 2+ Fouls at 3/1

We all saw him bring down Kvaratskhelia in the first half. Just waiting for it to be resettled by Opta.

✅️ Krejci SOT @ 5/2
❌️ Provod 2+ Fouls @ 1/1

Lovely 5/2 shot on target winner from a set piece like we outlined in the research!