📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Overview #Summary for the Morning of 16 Jun 2024; pub. 07:02📍

🗓 Last week was characterised by a specific proposal of the Supreme on the possible start of negotiations on the condition of AFU withdrawal from the new Russian territories, which Kiev and #NATO immediately rejected. Predicting such behaviour, Verkhovny's speech immediately said that next time the proposals would be on completely different terms to #Russia. The enemy and its handlers have once again demonstrated their lack of commitment.

🔹The draft communiqué of Zelensky's promoted #Ukraine summit in #Switzerland also does not contain any theses on ending the war, only general appeals.

🔹Meanwhile, Kiev continues to inflict military and economic damage on #Russia. This week, a massive raid on a military airfield in the #Rostov region with the simultaneous use of up to 70 AFU UAVs was indicative. The #Belgorod region is under constant attacks by all available means, and they target civilians and businesses. After the beginning of attacks on #Kharkov front, the AFU has drawn up reserves and, despite losses, still prevent us from creating a buffer zone.

🔹In the #Kursk direction, there are also daily enemy strikes on civilian infrastructure and civilians. The enemy is expecting our offensives on the #Sumy region and is evacuating in the border area.

🔹In general, at the front, our Army retains the initiative and forces the enemy to drain reserves and mobilise more citizens into the AFU. However, the full mobilisation potential still amounts to several million bayonets, even if this requires to lower the age limit.

🔹The RFAF are conducting offensives in the #Seversk and #Kurakhovo sections, at #ChasovYar, west of #Avdeyevka, and in the #Zaporozhye direction.

🔹The mathematics of war from the new DM with precise calculations and logically required actions has not yet reached all areas of Russian activity. Once again, strikes on the enemy's rear facilities are commented with the words "in response to", only in the third war year another oil depot in #Kiev is destroyed. Nevertheless, the promising Belousov-Dyumin team announced plans to develop the production of UAVs and trench EW equipment using the production capacities of the regions. Meanwhile, the enemy has long more than compensated the disparity in artillery shells by FPV drones with a repeater system, which multiplies the range.

🔹In general, the problematic issue remains the knocking out of our expensive air defence systems in the southern direction, for which, among other things, #US ATACMS missiles are being used. The version voiced by the Western media that such actions are aimed at advance preparation for the start of F-16s in Ukraine does not make sense. The Western analogue of FABs with ATACMS - JDAM is already being used more and more often by the AFU in the #Kharkov direction. The very fact of transferring F-16s to #Ukraine can by no means become a turning point, but it will allow Kiev to maintain the cumulative parity of all available forces and means on the front, which will prolong the war.

🔹An indicative moment was the reaction of the #US on the arrival of a detachment of Russian Northern Fleet ships in #Cuba. After numerous statements by our various speakers about readiness for the most decisive steps, Washington did not regard our visit as a threat during the Cuban missile crisis, although it sent its aviation and navy to accompany the actions of Russian sailors.

📌 The past week confirmed again the lack of intentions of #Kiev and the #West to negotiate, as well as the enemy's focus on prolonging the war as long as possible, despite the human, economic and territorial losses. The Russian Army retains the initiative, but due to the technological changes, our successes are tactical in nature, oriented on the exhaustion of the AFU military machine. Measures are being taken to bring RFAF to a modern technological level, but so far this is not enough to turn the situation around.

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📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Summary #Overview for the Morning of 23 June 2024; pub. 07:01📍

🗓 The past week has been characterised by a blatant war escalation on the part of the enemy. Strikes are being carried out on oil refineries and attempts are being made to strike nuclear facilities (#Kursk NPP). According to received info, Western weapons are being used not only in #Belgorod, but also in #Rostov and #Kursk regions. The lack of promotion of this info by official resources (only missiles shot down are added to the daily MoD summary) indicates Moscow's reluctance to go down the path of a direct or asymmetric response, which can be explained by the Supreme's trip to #NorthKorea and @Vietnam against the background of #NATO's undisguised preparations for war with #Russia. That is, we still need time to prepare.

🔹#NATO, in turn, is increasing the pace of military preparations, also counting on a period of 2 to 5 years before a full-scale direct confrontation. These terms are conditioned both by the need to establish military production of the same SAMs and artillery shells, and by the preparation of mobilisation measures, which are already included in the legislative acts and mobilisation plans of the #US, #Germany and even the Baltic States. Until then, the role of a suicidal battering ram is fulfilled by #Ukraine, which is regarded by Washington only as a testing ground for arms.

🔹Kiev is mobilising the population, not hesitating to expose the TCC itself as a lightning rod from Zelensky: it is important to keep the powerless masses in control, even at the expense of long-term prospects, which Bankova certainly does not live by.

🔹In the MoD is a demonstrative dismantling of the toxic legacy of the previous failed team. Belousov's showy trips and informational accents are aimed at restoring the confidence of the military class in the leadership. A striking event was the presentation of awards to the Wagners by the deputy defence minister, especially on the eve of the anniversary of the Prigozhin riot, which even now is still referred to by many as the "March of Justice", the demand for which is extremely high in our country.

🔹On the front, the situation has not changed much, although the Russian Army retains the initiative in most areas and is really grinding down the enemy's manpower. The enemy is gradually finding resistance to FABs and UMPCs, so the RFAF are increasingly using the latest UMPCs, which can be launched not only from aircraft, but also from MLRSs.

🔹A problem remains countering the destruction of our air defence systems, for which the AFU staged a targeted hunt, sparing Western missiles. In addition, the enemy is able to launch dozens of aircraft-type UAVs every day; our burning oil refineries show that there is still a lot of work to neutralise this threat. It also cannot be said that problems with communications, electronic warfare, transport, and timely failure of material assets have been fully resolved.

🔹The political leadership does not yet intend to sound the alarm bells and use the full potential of the entire nation, which, apparently, is due to the forecasts about the long-term nature of the war, the need to preserve social stability, as well as the economic potential. As we understand, it seems inexpedient to spend this resource now on #Ukraine.

🔹However, there are excesses in preserving the people's tranquility: the same governor of the Belgorod region, during another personal visit to the border regions, pointed out the actual need for voluntary evacuation of the elderly and children, stressing that the federal centre had provided resources for this purpose.

📌 Thus, the Russian Army continues offensive actions at the front, trying to conserve personnel and reserves in offensive battles, while the defence establishment is busy eliminating deficiencies within itself and adjusting to the efficiency of the military machine, linking the work of the rear and the front to ensure a long war.

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