📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 12 September 2023; pub. 07:01📍

▪️ Fighting continues on the #Zaporozhye front near #Rabotino. Over the past day, three Bradley IFVs with personnel on their way to the settlement have been hit. Near #Verbovoye another enemy assault group with armoured vehicles was covered by the fire of our MLRS and artillery. The enemy did not break into the settlement.

▪️ East of the #Vremyevka Sector, near #Novomayorskoye and #Novodonetskoye, the AFU threw infantry into the battle under the fire of our artillery, at the same time building up forces in the rear of the area.

▪️ In the #Kherson direction, fighting continues on the islands. The AFU are holding a small piece of land near the #Antonovsky bridge at the cost of constant losses, unable to expand their zone of control. Under the mortar and artillery fire of the RF Armed Forces the small landing groups arriving suffer constant losses.

▪️ On the #Avdeyevka sector, the enemy has been active near #Opytnoye for several days, attempting to gain a foothold on the outskirts of the settlement. The enemy has used tanks and IFVs, suffered serious losses and heavy fighting continues.

▪️ In the forests near #Kremennaya, the RF Armed Forces covered the enemy's positions with incendiary shells from MLRSs. Six attacks by the AFU were repelled at the #Torskoye ledge and in the #Serebryanskoye forestry area.

▪️ In #Rylsk, #Kursk region, UAVs attacked an administrative building twice at night, no casualties. In #Belgorod region, Krasnoyaruzhsky district was under fire, and an enemy drone was shot down in Valuysky urban district. In the #Zaporozhye region, the AFU hit #Energodar with four drones: a residential building and a passport office. On the #DPR civilians, the enemy fired 338 shells, four civilians have been wounded.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 26 Sep 2023, Main; pub. 21:16⚡️

▪️ Shoygu said that the Russian army had significantly expanded the zone of control near #Sinkovka and #Petropavlovka in the #Kupyansk sector;

▪️ He named the figures of Ukrainian losses for September: more than 17,000 soldiers and 2,700 pieces of weapons and military equipment, incl. 7 American Bradley IFVs, 77 US M777 howitzers, 51 SAUs from #Germany, #France, #Poland and the #USA, as well as 2 German Leopard tanks and one #UK Challenger tank;

▪️ The minister noted that despite Kiev's losses and lack of success in its counteroffensive, the West continues to adhere to the principle of "arms as a path to peace", pushing #Ukraine towards "self destruction";

▪️ Admiral Sokolov, commander of the Russian BSF, took part in the Russian MoD board, his first public appearance after the AFU special operations forces command said on its Telegram page that he was allegedly killed in a missile attack on the BSF HQ in #Sevastopol;

▪️ Peskov said today there are no weapons capable of changing the balance of forces on the battlefield and the outcome of the SMO, and the #US Abrams tanks supplied to Kiev "will burn";

▪️ He called US ATACMS missiles with extended range, which the US may transfer to Kiev, a "serious weapon", with such steps the #US continues to increase its involvement in the conflict;

▪️ He noted that Ukrainian UAVs striking civilian infrastructure were increasingly being neutralised and the consequences of their use minimised;

▪️ MoD said that a missile strike carried out on 25 September destroyed a joint AFU warehouse near #Kiselevka in the #Kherson region, where more than 3,000 tonnes of ammunition had been kept;

▪️ According to MoD, Kiev lost up to 430 militants in the #Donetsk and #Zaporozhye, up to 120 in the #SouthDonetsk, more than 15 in the #Kherson, up to 50 in the #Kupyansk, and more than 90 in the #Krasnyliman directions;

▪️ The Russian Aerospace Forces destroyed a Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet at the #Kulbakino airfield in the #Nikolayev region;

▪️ The secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council said that the Russian military had hit a Ukrainian missile production facility, without specifying the date;

▪️ Ukrainian forces fired two rockets from MLRSs at #Donetsk, as well as three cluster shells of 155 millimetres calibre, the DPR office in the JCCC said;

▪️ A Ukrainian drone dropped explosives on an electricity substation in the #Kursk region, seven settlements were de-energised, no one was injured, the regional governor said;

▪️ Karchaa, adviser to the director general of the Rosenergoatom concern, said that the AFU had changed its methods of attacking the #ZNPP and the city of #Energodar. Instead of strikes on the NPP itself, they were launching drone attacks on civilian infrastructure in order to psychologically influence nuclear workers and their families, creating "panic moods";

▪️ A Polish investigation has concluded that a missile that landed in the country last November and killed two people belonged to #Ukraine, Rzeczpospolita reported;

▪️ The Economist quoted a source in the Ukrainian General Staff as saying that Kiev was asking the West for missiles similar to the Russian Kh-101 and Kalibrs for strategic bombers, which Ukraine does not have;

▪️ Bulgarian President Radev has criticised the parliamentary factions' project to donate defective missiles for S-300 air defence systems to Kiev, noting that the government and the National Assembly should preserve and develop the Bulgarian army's defence capability, not use it as a "donor" for foreign armed forces.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Kotenok on the General Situation at the Fronts⚡️

🔹1. The Swidomite is running out of steam, possible last ditch effort now. He is loaded. In the near future, after active artillery preparation, he can move across the #Dnieper to capture #Energodar and try to make a showy PR landing in #Crimea. The time lag is small. It is clear that in #Crimea, pure PR, they will be killed there, it is unlikely to be able to leave, but this option is not excluded.

▪️ The #Dnieper has moved away. The enemy is counting on areas closer to the river, which may be less covered. They have already tried to advance in this direction, pressed against the river. Soon it will blow away, a little bit left, and in a month it will be possible to go to the attacks only on foot. The line will slowly freeze for a while.

🔹2. We are in Defence. Personally, I am an advocate of active defence. You can't sit in the trenches forever. The personnel is decaying, asking for rotation. The options are:
a) River landing in #Zaporozhye: go up the #Dnieper on light boats (the question of the boats themselves is not for me), cut their paths, taking #Zaporozhye from the inside so that their defences from the south collapse. At the same time press on the south, suppressing by aerospace forces (duty links in the air!) their remnants in #Zaporozhye. Rocket-bombing, taking out air defence, landing of paratroopers, movement in the southern direction! We can't sit around forever, putting people under clusters.
b) The second sensible vector is in the north. Concentration of the grouping and a dash to #Chernigov or #Sumy, good thing that the defence line there is weak. This is not a repetition of February 2022, but more concentrated strikes in the direction of one of the settlements, given the distance, logistics, intelligence, last year's experience.

🔹3. The Russians, despite terrible losses, have so far shown peacefulness in the Ukrainian conflict. Exactly. FAB-9000 with UMPK, actually powerful planning bombs, we are ready. Two or three are enough for the same #Avdeyevka fortress, and it will be gone. We're not using them yet, so as not to hurt civilians. But the enemy is getting insolent beyond measure, which causes trouble on its own head in the form of 9 tonnes of explosives. And sooner or later it will come.

🔹4. The Task of operational and strategic nature, to deprive the enemy of the initiative in the Black Sea. His activity is already indecent. Snake - Boyko towers, in a day attempts to get through by boats/cutters to the #Crimea. They are scanning the possibility of landing. It is very important and necessary for the enemy, based on the grain history, to lock our fleet in the ports, in #Sevastopol, #Novorossysk. Hence the daily strikes on #Sevastopol, on the BSF HQ, key bays and facilities. It is necessary to firmly repel in the direct sense of the word attempts to even approach #Crimea.

📌 Stretch the Enemy forces. North - south, we are slowly concentrating. The task is to catch the enemy in the southern direction. In the east we wait, hard, but beat him. The geography is still the same - #Donetsk, #Kleshcheyevka, #Maryinka, #Avdeevka, #Bakhmut.

📜 Voenkor Kotenok; 3 Sep 2023, 22:46

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Front #Summary for 9 Oct 2023 by 19:24⚡️

🔹In the #Kherson direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have increased the intensity of attacks on our rear areas. Ours respond with artillery and FABs, in general there is no change here.

🔹On the #Zaporozhye Front, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are showing local activity: they have a slight advance near #Kopani, but the Russian Armed Forces are not allowing the enemy to gain a foothold. In general, autumn rains expectedly slow down movement on both sides of the front. Occasionally, pickup trucks can be seen moving near #Rabotino; heavier equipment is not visible. The weather does not make it possible to conduct high-quality reconnaissance with drones, this complicates the accurate work of artillery - again, for both sides.

🔹In the #SouthDonetsk direction in the #Priyutnoye area, the enemy tried to intercept the emerging initiative of the Russian Armed Forces, attempting attacks that ours repulsed. In general, everything is stable and quite static in this area. At #Ugledar, near #Nikolsky, the Russian Armed Forces managed to repel the attacks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

🔹In the #Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces were able to occupy the two southern heights of #Novomikhailovka, and FABs are striking the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the village. #Novomikhailovka itself is an important point on the way to the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping in #Ugledar. The further goal of the Russian army is control over the highway towards #Ugledar.

🔹In the #Krasnolimansky direction near #Makeyevka, the Russian Armed Forces have improved their positions; less than half a kilometer is left to the village itself. The Russian Armed Forces are attacking west of #Svatovo and have taken a couple of more positions.

🔹In the #Kupyansk direction, ours advanced south of #Kislovka, taking control of the highway leading to #Kupyansk.

🔹The head of Ukrainian intelligence, Budanov, said in an interview that the #GUR special forces tried three times to return #Energodar and the #Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant to control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. As we know, all these attempts ended in failure. By the way, our Ministry of Defense also reported about each of the three landing attempts. Many bloggers then questioned whether the landings actually took place. And now everything just came together.

🔹Although now, of course, the Kiev authorities are more concerned that events in Israel may drag on and push Ukraine out of the international agenda. Zelensky is already trying, in the eyes of the world community, to annex Ukraine to Israel under the flag of countries “suffering from terrorism” and calls on Western countries to provide such countries with everything they need for protection. That is, in response to the events in Israel, he is asking for wapons for Ukraine. At the same time, he called Iran the common enemy of Ukraine and Israel.

🔹At the same time, the American media openly promote the thesis that Israel is a key partner of the United States, to which the White House immediately communicated everything necessary. At the same time, experts note that US military reserves are already depleted and there is not enough production capacity. According to analysts, the United States will have to choose who to help: Ukraine or Israel. It is impossible not to note such an amazing confluence of successive circumstances: the United States slows down arms supplies, then Congress blocks money for Ukraine in the temporary budget, and then suddenly the Middle East caught fire.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ The AFU Plan in the Southern Direction⚡️

🗓 Over the past month, we can note a characteristic change in the AFU's actions. In most parts of the front, Ukrainian formations have switched to defence due to heavy losses in manpower and equipment, as well as the counterattacks of the RF Armed Forces that have begun.

❗️However, this does not mean that the AFU has no forces for another attempt. Against the background of the world community's attention being diverted to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and falling interest in #Ukraine, attention must be attracted by any means necessary. And now the only option for this remains the south.

🔹 What is the Enemy's Plan?

▪️ A new 30th Marine Corps was 👉 transferred to the #Kherson direction. Where exactly most of the units of the four brigades are located is unknown. Except that SRGs already occupy the frontiers along the #Dnieper.

▪️ In addition to the 30th Corps, Territorial Defence units are engaged in the area, trying to create a bridgehead on the left bank. The grouping numbers up to 12,000 men, not counting the squads of the Special Forces.

❗️The AFU consider six directions for a strike by several assault groups. The main blow will be struck at the #Krynki - Novaya Kakhovka and Zhelezny Port line. The others are needed to divert attention and restrain the RF Armed Forces (including the #Zaporozhye section of the front).

▪️ The river can be forded near Bolshaya Lepetikha (70th pontoon regiment is already deployed in that direction) and #Energodar. The basis of the strike groups are the units of the 37th Separate Marines Brigade and the Special Forces "West".

▪️The enemy's plans are transparent and clear, but even so, the preparation is in full swing. For the third day already the AFU have been making massive strikes on the rear areas of the #Kherson region by all possible means, starting from cassettes and ending with aviation.

📌 The number of strikes on some parts of the front has increased five or six times. The ultimate goal of the mad dash in the south was to gain a foothold in some of the areas, create a bridgehead, get a foothold and wait for reinforcements to arrive. And then develop the attack on #Crimea.

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📜 RYBAR; 11 Oct 2023, 11:43

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Kotenok on the Situation⚡️

🔹1. Kiev has recovered from the shock of the Hamas attack on #Israel, and has cheered up, having received new guarantees that the West will not leave Russia alone.

🔹2. The enemy is preparing to resume active offensives. Two brigades of marines formed from residents of #Odessa, #Nikolayev, #Kherson, Krivoy Rog regions have been withdrawn to increase their combat effectiveness. All of them were released on leave. From the point of view of rotation it is a correct system - withdrawal of a unit from lbs and leave for people to have a rest. Two brigades are just concentrating on the other side of the Dnieper.
Recently, artillery strikes and "HIMARS" from the right bank have become more frequent, and the movement of light-motorised watercraft has intensified. There is only a little bit left before the "cold" water, although it is not August water anymore.

🔹3. Reinforcements are being brought to the #Verbovoye - #Rabotino - #Orekhovo - #Staromayorskoye area. Formed ca. 10 assault groups (squads). I do not exclude that they will try to synchronise two strikes. Which one will be the main one is a question for intelligence. I still believe that they may try to capture #Energodar.

🔹4. #Avdeyevka sector, everything is serious. #Avdeyevka is not #Bakhmut. Engineering and fortification facilities in and around the city are serious. We are stuck on #Berdychi. One of the main tasks at the moment was to hold the "tongue" hanging over #Avdeyevka. The advance was good, the Khokhol didn't expect it, they gave them a hard time there.

🔹5. On #Svatovo - #Kremennaya, mutual blows of tactical value "crawl in - crawl out" without significant changes in the configuration of the frontline.

🔹6. At the #Kleshcheyevka - #Andreyevka - #Kurdyumovka line the intensity slightly decreased. At the moment, the main events are taking place around #Donetsk, where the enemy is hastily transferring reserves from #Artyomovsk and other directions.

🔹7. The decrease in the enemy's activity in the #Belgorod direction can be linked to the conditions of Kiev's "partners" who do not welcome actions on the "indigenous" territory of the Russian Federation. Kiev shows its own initiative here, sending to the border area under the cover of the Russian Volunteer Corps flag Polish mercenaries, PMC operators (Germans, Poles, Belarusians, Russians, British, formally there are no Khokhols there). They try to raids, they are caught and shot there. Border warfare.

🔹8. There is a tendency to general fading, which we can come to in 1-1.5 months. But everything depends on the Israeli conflict. Increase in its intensity = fading in the Ukrainian theatre. If not, perhaps even we will try to attack, after which everything may quiet down until spring. Spring will bring at least a year of active hostilities.

🔹9. If #Israel strikes #Iran, the situation breaks down globally. Conflicts that were thought to be resolved long ago begin to flare up. The world is in motion, entering a period of wars and conflicts, including civil conflicts. The bifurcation period is from 30 to 100 years. So it's just beginning.

📜 Voenkor Kotenok; 13 Oct 2023, 23:53

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 2 Nov 2023, Main; pub. 19:23⚡️

▪️ Russian troops in the past day repelled an AFU attack near #Kleshcheyevka, the enemy lost up to 115 militants, a tank, 9 IFVs, including 8 Bradley, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said.

▪️ In the #Kupyansk direction, 2 AFU attacks were repelled near #Sinkovka, and in the #Krasnyliman direction, 2attacks were also repelled, near Chervonaya Dibrova.

▪️ An Ukrainian Su-27 aircraft was hit at the #Mirgorod airfield, and 4 Storm Shadow cruise missiles and 3 Neptun antiship missiles were also shot down during the day.

▪️ The total losses of the enemy on all sections of the front were about 480 militants, 1combat aircraft, 31 drones, 29 tanks and other armoured vehicles, and 3 MLRS.

▪️ Kiev carried out a provocation with a drone attack on #Energodar to threaten a man-made disaster at the #ZNPP and disrupt the rotation of #IAEA staff. All the drones were shot down by Russian air defence, MoD said.

▪️ MoD also reported the interception of 5 Ukrainian UAVs over #Crimea and another one over the Black Sea.

▪️ AFU Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny wrote an article for the Economist in which he assessed the situation on the battlefield as deadlocked and said that he did not hope for a breakthrough.

▪️ Germany has delivered 25 more Leopard 1A5 tanks to #Ukraine, as well as 12 armoured personnel carriers, surface and reconnaissance drones, according to a list on the website of the German cabinet.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 4 April 2024⚡️

🔹Russian troops continue to strike energy infrastructure facilities in the territory of the so-called #Ukraine. Facilities in #Kharkov and #Zaporozhye, as well as military infrastructure in several regions, have been damaged.

🔹In the #Seversk sector, RFAF units are advancing north of #Vesyoloye, consolidating the position occupied as a result of the assault a week ago. At the same time, Russian troops are advancing near the railway.

🔹In the #Bakhmut direction, even greater success is recorded. West of #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye), Russian troops advanced through the forest to the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal. And to the west of #Bogdanovka, according to some sources, it was possible to cling to the eastern outskirts of Chasov Yar in the Kanal microdistrict.

🔹Near #Avdeyevka, heavy fighting is also taking place. The RFAF are advancing west of #Tonenkoye and are attacking the AFU defence in #Semyonovka. In turn, the enemy is trying to launch a flank attack to the southwest of #Tonenkoye and counterattacks in the area of #Pervomayskoye in the direction of #Vodyanooye.

🔹Not without resonant blows. Ukrainian formations fired at the territory of the Zaporozhye NPP in #Energodar, disabling the substation, but a catastrophe and a leak of radioactive substances was avoided.

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📜 RYBAR: 4 Apr 2024, 23:45

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