⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🇩🇪 At the #NATO Summit, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said that the German Authorities will send another Batch of Military Equipment and Ammunition worth almost 700 Million Euros to #Ukraine⚡️
💶 To date, the German government has already officially approved the supply of arms to #Ukraine in the amount of more than three billion euros.
With the new military aid package, the AFU will receive 40 more Marder IFVs, 25 Leopard 1A5 tanks, 5 recovery vehicles and 2 Patriot launchers, as well as 20 thousand artillery ammunition.
🔹 The FRG is giving away the Patriots and sacrificing its defense capability?
🗓 In April, the German press actively quoted the words of Lieutenant Colonel Markus Koenig. In his opinion, at the moment the armed forces of the FRG are unable to ensure national defence with only 11 Patriot systems in service (previously there were 12, but in April one of them was already transferred to #Ukraine).
Two of the existing installations are now in #Slovakia to protect its airspace during the #NATO summit, three in #Poland. Five systems are undergoing modernization, and, thus, the German Armed Forces have only one Patriot at their disposal.
The units from #Slovakia and #Poland will return to Germany by the end of the year, and hypothetically the German leadership will be able to transfer two Patriots to the AFU, thus reducing the already near-zero level of readiness of the air defence forces.
🗺 High Resolution: 🇬🇧 Graphic; 🇷🇺 Graphic
📜 RYBAR; 13 Jul 2023, 11:21
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💶 To date, the German government has already officially approved the supply of arms to #Ukraine in the amount of more than three billion euros.
With the new military aid package, the AFU will receive 40 more Marder IFVs, 25 Leopard 1A5 tanks, 5 recovery vehicles and 2 Patriot launchers, as well as 20 thousand artillery ammunition.
🔹 The FRG is giving away the Patriots and sacrificing its defense capability?
🗓 In April, the German press actively quoted the words of Lieutenant Colonel Markus Koenig. In his opinion, at the moment the armed forces of the FRG are unable to ensure national defence with only 11 Patriot systems in service (previously there were 12, but in April one of them was already transferred to #Ukraine).
Two of the existing installations are now in #Slovakia to protect its airspace during the #NATO summit, three in #Poland. Five systems are undergoing modernization, and, thus, the German Armed Forces have only one Patriot at their disposal.
The units from #Slovakia and #Poland will return to Germany by the end of the year, and hypothetically the German leadership will be able to transfer two Patriots to the AFU, thus reducing the already near-zero level of readiness of the air defence forces.
🗺 High Resolution: 🇬🇧 Graphic; 🇷🇺 Graphic
📜 RYBAR; 13 Jul 2023, 11:21
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 18 September 2023, Main; pub. 21:18⚡️
▪️ The Russian military struck at night at storage sites of Storm Shadow missiles, depleted uranium ammunition and centres of radio-technical reconnaissance and training of sabotage groups of the AFU, the purpose of the strike has been achieved, all facilities have been hit, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ According to MoD, the AFU lost about 250 militants in the #Donetsk direction, up to 20 in the #Kupyansk direction, and more than 50 in the #Krasnyliman direction;
▪️ The RF Armed Forces struck the AFU in the #Zaporozhye direction near #Verbovoye, killing up to 55 militants, and more than 80 in the #Kherson direction, MoD said;
▪️ The stage of recovery of the Russian economy is over, the country has withstood sanctions pressure, Putin said;
▪️ The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine dismissed all deputy ministers of defense and the ministry’s secretary of state;
▪️ The German Defence Minister announced a new military and humanitarian aid package for Kiev worth 400 million euros;
▪️ Moscow urges Russians to carefully weigh risks when travelling abroad in connection with the European Commission's clarifications on the ban on imports of goods from Russia, the MFA said;
▪️ #Ukraine has filed lawsuits with the WTO against #Poland, #Hungary and #Slovakia because of their ban on the import of Ukrainian products, the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine said;
▪️ #Russia expects the #UN International Court of Justice to accept the Russian side's arguments on the unacceptability of Ukraine's claim of February 2022 under the Genocide Convention and withdraw it from consideration, the Russian Foreign Ministry's ambassador-at-large said;
▪️ New #EU measures against #Russia may include a proposal to use profits from frozen Central Bank assets to help Kiev, Bloomberg reported.
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▪️ The Russian military struck at night at storage sites of Storm Shadow missiles, depleted uranium ammunition and centres of radio-technical reconnaissance and training of sabotage groups of the AFU, the purpose of the strike has been achieved, all facilities have been hit, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ According to MoD, the AFU lost about 250 militants in the #Donetsk direction, up to 20 in the #Kupyansk direction, and more than 50 in the #Krasnyliman direction;
▪️ The RF Armed Forces struck the AFU in the #Zaporozhye direction near #Verbovoye, killing up to 55 militants, and more than 80 in the #Kherson direction, MoD said;
▪️ The stage of recovery of the Russian economy is over, the country has withstood sanctions pressure, Putin said;
▪️ The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine dismissed all deputy ministers of defense and the ministry’s secretary of state;
▪️ The German Defence Minister announced a new military and humanitarian aid package for Kiev worth 400 million euros;
▪️ Moscow urges Russians to carefully weigh risks when travelling abroad in connection with the European Commission's clarifications on the ban on imports of goods from Russia, the MFA said;
▪️ #Ukraine has filed lawsuits with the WTO against #Poland, #Hungary and #Slovakia because of their ban on the import of Ukrainian products, the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine said;
▪️ #Russia expects the #UN International Court of Justice to accept the Russian side's arguments on the unacceptability of Ukraine's claim of February 2022 under the Genocide Convention and withdraw it from consideration, the Russian Foreign Ministry's ambassador-at-large said;
▪️ New #EU measures against #Russia may include a proposal to use profits from frozen Central Bank assets to help Kiev, Bloomberg reported.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 28 Sep 2023, Main; pub. 18:47⚡️
▪️ The head of the Ukrainian Finance Ministry, Sergey Marchenko, has admitted that those willing to give money to Kiev are becoming "less and less";
▪️ Politico quoted its sources as saying that the #US State Department and the #Pentagon have diverging views on arms supplies to #Ukraine. The 1st is studying the possibility of supplying new weapons to Kiev, while the 2nd has a "more cautious" approach;
▪️ Manturov said that the RF Aerospace Forces had received a new batch of Su-57 5th-generation fighters. More of these will be delivered by the end of 2023;
▪️ The AFU lost about 475 militants, 14 different artillery pieces and 74 units of special military vehicles in all directions over the past day. In addition, Russian air defences shot down 26 UAVs;
▪️ Ukrainian troops fired more than 50 shells at the villages of #Staroselye and #Terebreno in #Belgorod region in the morning. At the same time, the operative HQ of the region denied the information that an enemy SRG allegedly entered the RF territory near these settlements. According to the operative HQ, the border guards repelled an SRG attack on the border line near #Belgorod region;
▪️ Stoltenberg held talks with Zelensky in #Kiev. Following the meeting, he announced the conclusion of framework contracts for the supply of ammo worth 2.4bn Euros to the AFU. He also called peace in #Ukraine "at any price" unacceptable;
▪️ Naryshkin said there is info about the Biden administration's intensification of interference in #Slovakia's parliamentary elections amid statements by Fitzo, head of the opposition party, about a possible cessation of arms supplies to #Ukraine if he wins;
▪️ #Poland's Prosecutor General confirmed that the missile that fell near the town of #Przewodów on 15 Nov 2022 belonged to #Ukraine. He also said that Kiev was not cooperating with Warsaw in the investigation of the incident.
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▪️ The head of the Ukrainian Finance Ministry, Sergey Marchenko, has admitted that those willing to give money to Kiev are becoming "less and less";
▪️ Politico quoted its sources as saying that the #US State Department and the #Pentagon have diverging views on arms supplies to #Ukraine. The 1st is studying the possibility of supplying new weapons to Kiev, while the 2nd has a "more cautious" approach;
▪️ Manturov said that the RF Aerospace Forces had received a new batch of Su-57 5th-generation fighters. More of these will be delivered by the end of 2023;
▪️ The AFU lost about 475 militants, 14 different artillery pieces and 74 units of special military vehicles in all directions over the past day. In addition, Russian air defences shot down 26 UAVs;
▪️ Ukrainian troops fired more than 50 shells at the villages of #Staroselye and #Terebreno in #Belgorod region in the morning. At the same time, the operative HQ of the region denied the information that an enemy SRG allegedly entered the RF territory near these settlements. According to the operative HQ, the border guards repelled an SRG attack on the border line near #Belgorod region;
▪️ Stoltenberg held talks with Zelensky in #Kiev. Following the meeting, he announced the conclusion of framework contracts for the supply of ammo worth 2.4bn Euros to the AFU. He also called peace in #Ukraine "at any price" unacceptable;
▪️ Naryshkin said there is info about the Biden administration's intensification of interference in #Slovakia's parliamentary elections amid statements by Fitzo, head of the opposition party, about a possible cessation of arms supplies to #Ukraine if he wins;
▪️ #Poland's Prosecutor General confirmed that the missile that fell near the town of #Przewodów on 15 Nov 2022 belonged to #Ukraine. He also said that Kiev was not cooperating with Warsaw in the investigation of the incident.
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⚡️🇪🇺🇸🇰🗳 Preliminary Data on the Results of Parliamentary Elections in #Slovakia⚡️
⭐️ As predicted, the party of former Prime Minister Robert Fitzo, labelled by European media as "Communist, Populist and Putinist", came first.
🔹 Fitzo is in favour of lifting or seriously easing the sanctions regime against #Russia, reducing military support for #Kiev and preventing it from joining #NATO. That's lip service.
🔹 In practice, this news should not be overestimated. And there are already such attempts - Fitzo's victory is presented almost as the collapse of the entire Western block.
1️⃣ Firstly, any such rhetoric is, first of all, part of the election campaign, the desire to win the votes of those who are tired of endless Ukraine on the foreign policy agenda. Only then do numerous shadow agreements, economic factors and mechanisms come into play that form the contour of external control.
2️⃣ Secondly, Fitzo will have to form a broad coalition government anyway, and the position on #Ukraine will be a convenient bargaining tool in this case. So in all likelihood the declarations will remain declarations.
📜 Voenkor Kotenok; 1 Okt 2023, 11:49
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🔹 Fitzo is in favour of lifting or seriously easing the sanctions regime against #Russia, reducing military support for #Kiev and preventing it from joining #NATO. That's lip service.
🔹 In practice, this news should not be overestimated. And there are already such attempts - Fitzo's victory is presented almost as the collapse of the entire Western block.
1️⃣ Firstly, any such rhetoric is, first of all, part of the election campaign, the desire to win the votes of those who are tired of endless Ukraine on the foreign policy agenda. Only then do numerous shadow agreements, economic factors and mechanisms come into play that form the contour of external control.
2️⃣ Secondly, Fitzo will have to form a broad coalition government anyway, and the position on #Ukraine will be a convenient bargaining tool in this case. So in all likelihood the declarations will remain declarations.
📜 Voenkor Kotenok; 1 Okt 2023, 11:49
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 A sharp Reversal⚡️
🔹Kiev is paying for the failure of the counteroffensive. The #US, followed by #UK, #Poland, #Slovakia, and other Western countries have already rolled back or will roll back military support for Zelensky.
🔹Everyone has defiantly remembered about national interests, the need to take care of their citizens and similar blah blah blah. Was it a surprise to us? No! This is the predictable finale of the clown president.
🔹Zelensky got his last Chinese warning at the #NATO summit.: Either real results or dig your grave, husky. But the Ukrainian elite got so naked, got used to it, everything is worth asking for, that he ignored the black mark and on the contrary increased the brazen pressure on the West: Give money!
🔹But the white masters need results, they are progmatic cynics, they want profit, not losses. Promises must be matched with deeds. No victories, let's look for someone who will bring them to us. Even Pashinyan.
🔹Now the main question that hovers over the entire Ukrainian elite is, did the US leak only Zelensky or the whole #Ukraine? If they change the leader, will they give money again, or is it over, #Ukraine is alone with #Russia? Is it time to run to Moscow to negotiate?
📌 The time for reflection is one or two months, that is how long the stocks of Western military equipment and ammunition will be enough to hold back the onslaught of the Russian army. After that, everything: arrows, catapult and preservation.
📜 Archangel of Special Forces Z🇷🇺; 7 Oct 2023, 17:20👼
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🔹Kiev is paying for the failure of the counteroffensive. The #US, followed by #UK, #Poland, #Slovakia, and other Western countries have already rolled back or will roll back military support for Zelensky.
🔹Everyone has defiantly remembered about national interests, the need to take care of their citizens and similar blah blah blah. Was it a surprise to us? No! This is the predictable finale of the clown president.
🔹Zelensky got his last Chinese warning at the #NATO summit.: Either real results or dig your grave, husky. But the Ukrainian elite got so naked, got used to it, everything is worth asking for, that he ignored the black mark and on the contrary increased the brazen pressure on the West: Give money!
🔹But the white masters need results, they are progmatic cynics, they want profit, not losses. Promises must be matched with deeds. No victories, let's look for someone who will bring them to us. Even Pashinyan.
🔹Now the main question that hovers over the entire Ukrainian elite is, did the US leak only Zelensky or the whole #Ukraine? If they change the leader, will they give money again, or is it over, #Ukraine is alone with #Russia? Is it time to run to Moscow to negotiate?
📌 The time for reflection is one or two months, that is how long the stocks of Western military equipment and ammunition will be enough to hold back the onslaught of the Russian army. After that, everything: arrows, catapult and preservation.
📜 Archangel of Special Forces Z🇷🇺; 7 Oct 2023, 17:20
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🇺🇦🇵🇱Zelensky is worthless in Poland
The biography of the Ukrainian dictator was initially sold for 30 zloty. Then 25.99. Then 4.99. And now the price of the Ukrainian cadger is down to 2 zlotys.
Soon Zelensky won't be worth a penny.
@ukraine_watch
The biography of the Ukrainian dictator was initially sold for 30 zloty. Then 25.99. Then 4.99. And now the price of the Ukrainian cadger is down to 2 zlotys.
Soon Zelensky won't be worth a penny.
@ukraine_watch
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 26 Oct 2023, Main; pub. 19:16⚡️
▪️ SMO fighters may be able to go on holiday more often if the number of contract soldiers grows, Moscow's military commissar Maxim Loktev said;
▪️ The conflict in #Ukraine will continue while the #US is "pouring oil on the fire", nevertheless #Russia will achieve the SMO goals, Peskov said;
▪️ In the #US, a group of Republicans has unveiled a bill to separate aid to #Israel and #Ukraine that would allow "billions" to be given to #Israel rather than Kiev, the Wall Street Journal reported;
▪️ Bratislava will not provide military aid to #Ukraine, Slovak Prime Minister Fitzo said. He called Zelensky's plan unrealistic, #Russia and the US should negotiate, and the #EU should become a peacemaker, not an arms supplier to Kiev. Fitzo will also not support #EU sanctions against #Russia without analysing their impact on #Slovakia;
▪️ Budapest will block the allocation of additional money to #Ukraine from the EU budget until it receives a clear justification for the measure, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said;
▪️ Ukrainians are selling weapons and explosives previously supplied to Kiev by the West, in particular, a kg C4 charge can be bought from $800, according to ads on the darknet;
▪️ Ukraine is selling off domestically and abroad humanitarian aid sent by the #EU to Kiev, a former Ukrainian border guard told RIA Novosti. They trade in night vision devices, thermal imagers, night sights, and foodstuffs;
▪️ The RF Armed Forces repelled another AFU attack near #Rabotino in #Zaporozhye region, during which 2 Leopard tanks were destroyed, the Russian Ministry of Defence said;
▪️ Also 6 attacks were repelled in #Kupyansk, 4 in Krasnyliman, and one in the #Donetsk directions. The total losses of the AFU for the day amounted to about 1,450 militants in all directions;
▪️ During the arrest, the FSB eliminated an Ukrainian agent who was planning a terrorist attack at a military registration and enlistment office in #Tver and who was transmitting data about military and energy facilities to the Ukrainian side, the service reported.
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▪️ SMO fighters may be able to go on holiday more often if the number of contract soldiers grows, Moscow's military commissar Maxim Loktev said;
▪️ The conflict in #Ukraine will continue while the #US is "pouring oil on the fire", nevertheless #Russia will achieve the SMO goals, Peskov said;
▪️ In the #US, a group of Republicans has unveiled a bill to separate aid to #Israel and #Ukraine that would allow "billions" to be given to #Israel rather than Kiev, the Wall Street Journal reported;
▪️ Bratislava will not provide military aid to #Ukraine, Slovak Prime Minister Fitzo said. He called Zelensky's plan unrealistic, #Russia and the US should negotiate, and the #EU should become a peacemaker, not an arms supplier to Kiev. Fitzo will also not support #EU sanctions against #Russia without analysing their impact on #Slovakia;
▪️ Budapest will block the allocation of additional money to #Ukraine from the EU budget until it receives a clear justification for the measure, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said;
▪️ Ukrainians are selling weapons and explosives previously supplied to Kiev by the West, in particular, a kg C4 charge can be bought from $800, according to ads on the darknet;
▪️ Ukraine is selling off domestically and abroad humanitarian aid sent by the #EU to Kiev, a former Ukrainian border guard told RIA Novosti. They trade in night vision devices, thermal imagers, night sights, and foodstuffs;
▪️ The RF Armed Forces repelled another AFU attack near #Rabotino in #Zaporozhye region, during which 2 Leopard tanks were destroyed, the Russian Ministry of Defence said;
▪️ Also 6 attacks were repelled in #Kupyansk, 4 in Krasnyliman, and one in the #Donetsk directions. The total losses of the AFU for the day amounted to about 1,450 militants in all directions;
▪️ During the arrest, the FSB eliminated an Ukrainian agent who was planning a terrorist attack at a military registration and enlistment office in #Tver and who was transmitting data about military and energy facilities to the Ukrainian side, the service reported.
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🇷🇺⚔️ RIA - Special Operation - Situation on 26 October 2023
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 27 Oct 2023, Main; pub. 18:30⚡️
▪️ The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced a"critically low level of morale and psychological state" of Ukrainian troops in the #Soledar-#Bakhmut and #SouthDonetsk directions. During the week, 54 militants from six different AFU brigades voluntarily surrendered there.
▪️ The losses of the AFU on all sections of the front for the period of October 21-27 amounted to more than 5,500 militants, 15 military aircraft and 1 helicopter, 208 drones, 182 tanks and other armored vehicles, 4 MLRS, 56 artillery pieces and mortars, and 221 military vehicles, MoD's weekly summary said.
▪️ The #EU leaders failed to agree at a summit in #Brussels on financing #Ukraine in the amount of 50 billion euros for the period from 2024 to 2027 because of the position of #Hungary and #Slovakia, Politico reported.
▪️ #US House Speaker Johnson said the administration's request for $105 billion in aid to #Israel and #Ukraine should be split, while Americans are expecting an report on the money spent on Kiev.
▪️ Orban said, citing the opinions of military experts, that #Ukraine could not win on the battlefield, "only Western politicians wouldn't admit it."
▪️ Putin held an operational meeting of the Russian Security Council, during which he discussed the problem of illegal arms trafficking in #Russia, including those coming from #Ukraine.
▪️ The FSB conducted a special operation in the #Zaporozhye region, during which it liquidated three large agent groups of the Ukrainian Defence Ministry's GUR.
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▪️ The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced a"critically low level of morale and psychological state" of Ukrainian troops in the #Soledar-#Bakhmut and #SouthDonetsk directions. During the week, 54 militants from six different AFU brigades voluntarily surrendered there.
▪️ The losses of the AFU on all sections of the front for the period of October 21-27 amounted to more than 5,500 militants, 15 military aircraft and 1 helicopter, 208 drones, 182 tanks and other armored vehicles, 4 MLRS, 56 artillery pieces and mortars, and 221 military vehicles, MoD's weekly summary said.
▪️ The #EU leaders failed to agree at a summit in #Brussels on financing #Ukraine in the amount of 50 billion euros for the period from 2024 to 2027 because of the position of #Hungary and #Slovakia, Politico reported.
▪️ #US House Speaker Johnson said the administration's request for $105 billion in aid to #Israel and #Ukraine should be split, while Americans are expecting an report on the money spent on Kiev.
▪️ Orban said, citing the opinions of military experts, that #Ukraine could not win on the battlefield, "only Western politicians wouldn't admit it."
▪️ Putin held an operational meeting of the Russian Security Council, during which he discussed the problem of illegal arms trafficking in #Russia, including those coming from #Ukraine.
▪️ The FSB conducted a special operation in the #Zaporozhye region, during which it liquidated three large agent groups of the Ukrainian Defence Ministry's GUR.
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🇷🇺⚔️ RIA - Special Operation - Situation on 27 October 2023
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 What Results the AFU Achieved in Five Months of Offensive⚡️
⚔️Active combat operations began on 4 June. At the moment, the AFU offensive has not stopped, but it is clear that it is losing momentum and is being maintained more to create visibility than to achieve real goals.
🔹What was the Offensive Plan?
▪️ Initially, the AFU command planned to launch two dissecting strikes and reach two major cities, #Melitopol (and further to #Berdyansk) and #Mariupol on the coast of the Azov Sea.
▪️ It was assumed that in the course of the offensive the territory with a total area of about 23,000 km2 would be captured, and in a number of directions, including the Crimean and Donetsk ones, the threat of encirclement of Russian troops would be created.
▪️ In reality, a competently constructed line of defence and redesigned fire tactics prevented the AFU from succeeding.
▪️ At the moment, the total area of territory in which the AFU has managed to advance is about 140 km2 in the #Zaporozhye direction and 116 km2 in the #SouthDonetsk direction, which is almost 90 times less than it was supposed to occupy during the offensive.
🔹What other Problems does the AFU have?
▪️ In addition to problems with the failure to fulfil the offensive's main objectives, there are others. On 4 September, former Ukrainian Defence Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said that each day of combat operations costs Ukraine $100 million.
▪️ Thus, 153 days (five months) of the offensive cost Kiev $15.3bn, but this money did not bring results. It is noteworthy that almost immediately the previously created myth about the superiority of the AFU, NATO tactics and technical superiority collapsed. Most of the expectations from the nature of the AFU actions simply did not realise.
▪️ If the offensive had been successful, a number of #EU countries and the US would most likely have continued or increased the supply of military equipment. Now that almost all available conventional weapons options,- from small drones to man-portable air defence systems, have been tried, many have lost enthusiasm to continue deliveries.
▪️ In addition, favourable timing has been lost. In the winter of 2022 and spring of 2023, much expectation was placed on warm season warfare. It was thought that summer and warm weather would favour the AFU offensive, but this did not happen.
🔹What losses did the AFU suffer?
▪️ On 30 October, Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu said that the AFU had lost more than 90,000 people killed and wounded during the offensive. These are 36 brigades of 2.5 thousand men each. No other army in the world has suffered such losses since World War II. The fleet of foreign equipment supplied to the AFU has been largely confused. The experience of using American M2 Bradley BMPs, M113/YPR-765 and M1126 Stryker APCs, Leopard 2A4/A5 (Strv 122)/A6 and Challenger 2 tanks, PzH-2000, M109 and AS-90 UASs has shown that Western combat vehicles cannot fundamentally change the situation on the battlefield, while their destruction and damage have an immediate and negative impact on the situation at the front.
🔹What's the Result?
▪️ In addition, the failure of the AFU offensive has caused a split in the once united camp of #Ukraine's supporters. In the US, congressmen are asking questions about the prospects for aid to Kiev, while in #Europe some countries have already suspended or stopped military supplies to #Ukraine, among them #Slovakia and the main military donor in #Europe, #Poland.
▪️ Also, five months of intense fighting have depleted the stockpiles of arms and ammunition not only in #Ukraine, but also in the #EU, from where they were forcibly transferred in the spring of 2023. The EU will be able to replenish reserves to the level of 2022 not earlier than 2025. In the short term, therefore, one cannot count on increased supplies, and without them, the prospects for any offensive actions in 2024 look very illusory.
📜 Military Chronicles; 4 Nov 2023, 11:09
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⚔️Active combat operations began on 4 June. At the moment, the AFU offensive has not stopped, but it is clear that it is losing momentum and is being maintained more to create visibility than to achieve real goals.
🔹What was the Offensive Plan?
🔹What other Problems does the AFU have?
🔹What losses did the AFU suffer?
🔹What's the Result?
📜 Military Chronicles; 4 Nov 2023, 11:09
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 14 Nov 2023, Main; pub. 19:02⚡️
▪️ The aviation of the Russian troops' Centre grouping in the #Krasnyliman region has carried out strikes against Azov nationalists (a terrorist organization banned in Russia), the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ Air defence systems destroyed 4 Ukrainian drones over the territories of the #Moscow, #Tambov, #Bryansk and #Orlovsk regions, MoD said;
▪️ According to MoD, Kiev has lost about 895 militants killed and wounded in different directions over the day;
▪️ The activity of the AFU in the vicinity of the village of #Urozhaynoye in the #SouthDonetsk direction has significantly decreased, the commander of the artillery platoon of the operational and combat tactical formation "Kaskad" with the call sign "Zhuk" said;
▪️ #NATO and FBI instructors were training bomb-sniffing dogs to work in #Ukraine, LPR special services official said;
▪️ In #Chelyabinsk region, a supporter of Ukrainian nationalists who was planning a terrorist attack on an administrative facility has been detained, the regional FSB said;
▪️ In #Crimea, no mass events are planned on New Year holidays for security reasons, Aksyonov said;
▪️ The conflict in Ukraine may drag on for another five years. Such a forecast is increasingly popular among Western officials, the Economist has reported. The publication notes that the parties to the conflict are not ready to make concessions;
▪️ #Slovakia will no longer send weapons to #Ukraine, but offers a wide range of humanitarian and civilian aid, the country's defence ministry said.
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▪️ The aviation of the Russian troops' Centre grouping in the #Krasnyliman region has carried out strikes against Azov nationalists (a terrorist organization banned in Russia), the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ Air defence systems destroyed 4 Ukrainian drones over the territories of the #Moscow, #Tambov, #Bryansk and #Orlovsk regions, MoD said;
▪️ According to MoD, Kiev has lost about 895 militants killed and wounded in different directions over the day;
▪️ The activity of the AFU in the vicinity of the village of #Urozhaynoye in the #SouthDonetsk direction has significantly decreased, the commander of the artillery platoon of the operational and combat tactical formation "Kaskad" with the call sign "Zhuk" said;
▪️ #NATO and FBI instructors were training bomb-sniffing dogs to work in #Ukraine, LPR special services official said;
▪️ In #Chelyabinsk region, a supporter of Ukrainian nationalists who was planning a terrorist attack on an administrative facility has been detained, the regional FSB said;
▪️ In #Crimea, no mass events are planned on New Year holidays for security reasons, Aksyonov said;
▪️ The conflict in Ukraine may drag on for another five years. Such a forecast is increasingly popular among Western officials, the Economist has reported. The publication notes that the parties to the conflict are not ready to make concessions;
▪️ #Slovakia will no longer send weapons to #Ukraine, but offers a wide range of humanitarian and civilian aid, the country's defence ministry said.
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🇷🇺⚔️ RIA - Special Operation - Situation on 14 November 2023
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 5 Dec 2023, Main; pub. 19:03⚡️
▪️ Russian air defence shot down 26 Ukrainian drones on the night of 5 December, 15 more were intercepted over the Sea of Azov and Crimea, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said;
▪️ Another 74 drones and a HARM missile were shot down in various areas of the #LPR and #DPR, #Zaporozhye and #Kherson regions, MoD said;
▪️ Kiev lost two MiG-29 aircraft, an Mi-8 helicopter, up to 695 militants, 12 armoured vehicles, artillery units, including M777 and M109 Paladin, over the day, MoD said;
▪️ The #ZNPP administration announced the 14th rotation of #IAEA inspectors, they will meet at the plant on New Year's Day;
▪️ Russian presidential aide for international affairs Ushakov said Putin would discuss the special operation in talks with the heads of the #UAE, Saudi Arabia and #Iran;
▪️ #NATO will continue to provide assistance to #Ukraine despite the position of #Hungary, #Slovakia and the #Netherlands, the alliance's secretary-general Stoltenberg said;
▪️ The Ukrainian Defence Ministry said that after the talks between the Ukrainian and Belgian defence ministers, Brussels promised to hand over F-16 fighter jets in 2025.
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🇷🇺⚔️ RIA - Special Operation - Situation on 5 December 2023
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🗓 #Ukraine Digest 24 December⚡️
🔹Zelensky's office complains that six #EU countries never joined a joint declaration on security guarantees for #Ukraine. The countries in question are #Austria, #Croatia, #Poland, #Hungary, #Slovakia and #Malta. I would like to point out that the Hungarian and Slovak authorities openly oppose the supply of military aid to #Ukraine. However, Ukrainian officials are trying to keep a good face in a bad game and express confidence that sooner or later everything will work out for them. It should be recalled that the #G7 countries adopted a declaration on security guarantees for #Ukraine in July on the margins of the #NATO summit in #Vilnius. As we can see, so far it has not been possible to persuade six other #EU countries to join it. Of those that supported the declaration, only four countries - the #UK, #France, #Germany and #Italy - have handed over their draft agreements to #Ukraine.
🔹The Ukrainian media happily informed readers and viewers that the blockade of the Ukrainian-Polish border by Polish protesters had ended. According to information from the Border Guard of the Republic of Poland, today at 09:30 the protest action in front of the checkpoint "Medika - Shegini" ended. The passage of lorries entering #Ukraine is proceeding as usual. However, a closer look reveals that all is not so rosy. At the other three border crossings, Polish protesters are only going to intensify the blockade for Christmas. If before they allowed only three lorries per hour, now it will be even less: one lorry per three hours. The Ukrainian and Polish authorities have yet to agree on a solution to this painful issue. And the results of their agreements are unlikely to please Ukrainian hauliers even if the blockade is lifted.
🔹Meanwhile, in #Lvov, one of the popular local TV channels conducted a curious poll among its subscribers. According to the results of the poll, only thirty percent of #Lvov residents expressed their willingness to hand over summonses to their neighbours. The fact that the majority of respondents answered negatively has angered #Kiev activists. And I believe that the residents of #Lvov in this case can be understood. Firstly, summonses should be handed out not by neighbours, but by authorised bodies. Secondly, people are right not to want to spoil relations with those they live next to. There is little doubt what attitude after the end of hostilities will be to those who were very active and helped to drive their compatriots to the front.
🔹A team from #Lvov arrived in my native #Dnepropetrovsk to catch conscription evaders. They say that since the locals don’t want to grab their fellow countrymen, we’ll bring specialists from Western Ukraine. They set up checkpoints, walk through courtyards and apartments. People are hiding.
▪️ They expect that they will have to hide for a couple of months. They say that if you get directly to the frontline, the probability of surviving and not being wounded is about 15%. People are really close to shooting back at representatives of military commissions. Everyone has plenty of weapons at home.
🗓 This is what 24 December has become for #Ukraine.
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🔹Zelensky's office complains that six #EU countries never joined a joint declaration on security guarantees for #Ukraine. The countries in question are #Austria, #Croatia, #Poland, #Hungary, #Slovakia and #Malta. I would like to point out that the Hungarian and Slovak authorities openly oppose the supply of military aid to #Ukraine. However, Ukrainian officials are trying to keep a good face in a bad game and express confidence that sooner or later everything will work out for them. It should be recalled that the #G7 countries adopted a declaration on security guarantees for #Ukraine in July on the margins of the #NATO summit in #Vilnius. As we can see, so far it has not been possible to persuade six other #EU countries to join it. Of those that supported the declaration, only four countries - the #UK, #France, #Germany and #Italy - have handed over their draft agreements to #Ukraine.
🔹The Ukrainian media happily informed readers and viewers that the blockade of the Ukrainian-Polish border by Polish protesters had ended. According to information from the Border Guard of the Republic of Poland, today at 09:30 the protest action in front of the checkpoint "Medika - Shegini" ended. The passage of lorries entering #Ukraine is proceeding as usual. However, a closer look reveals that all is not so rosy. At the other three border crossings, Polish protesters are only going to intensify the blockade for Christmas. If before they allowed only three lorries per hour, now it will be even less: one lorry per three hours. The Ukrainian and Polish authorities have yet to agree on a solution to this painful issue. And the results of their agreements are unlikely to please Ukrainian hauliers even if the blockade is lifted.
🔹Meanwhile, in #Lvov, one of the popular local TV channels conducted a curious poll among its subscribers. According to the results of the poll, only thirty percent of #Lvov residents expressed their willingness to hand over summonses to their neighbours. The fact that the majority of respondents answered negatively has angered #Kiev activists. And I believe that the residents of #Lvov in this case can be understood. Firstly, summonses should be handed out not by neighbours, but by authorised bodies. Secondly, people are right not to want to spoil relations with those they live next to. There is little doubt what attitude after the end of hostilities will be to those who were very active and helped to drive their compatriots to the front.
🔹A team from #Lvov arrived in my native #Dnepropetrovsk to catch conscription evaders. They say that since the locals don’t want to grab their fellow countrymen, we’ll bring specialists from Western Ukraine. They set up checkpoints, walk through courtyards and apartments. People are hiding.
🗓 This is what 24 December has become for #Ukraine.
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Олег Царёв
Дайджест об Украине 24 декабря
Офис Зеленского жалуется, что шесть стран ЕС так и не присоединились к совместной декларации по гарантиям безопасности для Украины. Речь идет об Австрии, Хорватии, Польше, Венгрии, Словакии и Мальте. Отмечу, что власти Венгрии…
Офис Зеленского жалуется, что шесть стран ЕС так и не присоединились к совместной декларации по гарантиям безопасности для Украины. Речь идет об Австрии, Хорватии, Польше, Венгрии, Словакии и Мальте. Отмечу, что власти Венгрии…
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🗓 Behind the Scenes - #Ukraine Digest for 11 Jan⚡️
🔹The mobilisation bill has scandalously failed. We will see what will happen to it next. In the meantime, Arahamiya said that, following a meeting of faction leaders with the speaker, the document is returned to the initiator, i.e. the government. In reality, there is no such procedure in the regulations. The bill can be returned only by a vote of the Rada. Or the government can withdraw it itself. MPs are shocked. MP Zaliznyak said that this is the worst organisation of the bill process in the last ten years. And MP Goncharenko was even more categorical. He said that he had never seen such a mess with the adoption of the bill. He characterised the situation as a circus.
🔹Meanwhile, Maryana Bezuglaya, who has not yet been fired from the post of deputy chairman of the Committee on Defence, announced her resignation from the party "Servant of the People". She accused her colleagues of "stabbing her in the back". According to her, she does not need a post in the committee. But she is not going to leave it until the Rada votes. At the same time, of course, she remains loyal to Zelensky and remains an MP. In a burst of frankness she gave a gloomy but, as I think, accurate forecast, that "the AFU will turn into a conveyor belt for the disposal of citizens to maintain the status quo of the front."
🔹Polish Sejm deputy Kowal has thought about how to send conscripted refugees from #Poland to the AFU. According to the law, they cannot be deported. Therefore, he urges to create such unbearable conditions that they themselves would want to leave. For example, not to issue work permits, not to extend the period of stay in the country, not to pay benefits. It is clear that a person without a job, without money and in an illegal situation will not last long. In essence, he is offering his country to shoot itself in the foot. That is, to get rid of those emigrants who can benefit the Polish economy. Besides, he has not yet thought of what to do if such people want to go not to #Ukraine, but to #Germany, #Slovakia, or somewhere else.
🔹Anticorruption activists have reached PM Shmygal. Recently, the National Agency for the Prevention of Corruption announced that in 2023, the Cabinet of Ministers did not send 131 adopted resolutions to them for examination. Although many of them fall into the category of highly corrupt. Now the agency accuses him of illegally disclosing information about the exposer of corruption. Allegedly, the PM received information about bribes in the commission for regulation of lottery and gambling. Shmygal instructed the chairman of this very commission to deal with the situation. And actually leaked to the official the name of a subordinate, who ratted on him. Of course, the subordinate got into trouble. Now the anti-corruptionists have drawn up a report on the head of the government and sent it to court. If the court finds Shmygal guilty, he may face a fine and a one-year ban on holding executive positions for such an offence. It's funny if Shmygal is removed from office by the court decision.
🔹In turn, Shmygalya justifies himself by the fact that he did not disclose any information about corruption, because there was none. And the statement, which became the subject of the dispute, was considered as an ordinary appeal of citizens. Shmygal's press secretary explains the increased zeal of the anticorruption agency by the fact that Novikov, the head of the agency, is about to run out of office.
🇺🇦 This is what happened in #Ukraine on 11 January.
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🔹The mobilisation bill has scandalously failed. We will see what will happen to it next. In the meantime, Arahamiya said that, following a meeting of faction leaders with the speaker, the document is returned to the initiator, i.e. the government. In reality, there is no such procedure in the regulations. The bill can be returned only by a vote of the Rada. Or the government can withdraw it itself. MPs are shocked. MP Zaliznyak said that this is the worst organisation of the bill process in the last ten years. And MP Goncharenko was even more categorical. He said that he had never seen such a mess with the adoption of the bill. He characterised the situation as a circus.
🔹Meanwhile, Maryana Bezuglaya, who has not yet been fired from the post of deputy chairman of the Committee on Defence, announced her resignation from the party "Servant of the People". She accused her colleagues of "stabbing her in the back". According to her, she does not need a post in the committee. But she is not going to leave it until the Rada votes. At the same time, of course, she remains loyal to Zelensky and remains an MP. In a burst of frankness she gave a gloomy but, as I think, accurate forecast, that "the AFU will turn into a conveyor belt for the disposal of citizens to maintain the status quo of the front."
🔹Polish Sejm deputy Kowal has thought about how to send conscripted refugees from #Poland to the AFU. According to the law, they cannot be deported. Therefore, he urges to create such unbearable conditions that they themselves would want to leave. For example, not to issue work permits, not to extend the period of stay in the country, not to pay benefits. It is clear that a person without a job, without money and in an illegal situation will not last long. In essence, he is offering his country to shoot itself in the foot. That is, to get rid of those emigrants who can benefit the Polish economy. Besides, he has not yet thought of what to do if such people want to go not to #Ukraine, but to #Germany, #Slovakia, or somewhere else.
🔹Anticorruption activists have reached PM Shmygal. Recently, the National Agency for the Prevention of Corruption announced that in 2023, the Cabinet of Ministers did not send 131 adopted resolutions to them for examination. Although many of them fall into the category of highly corrupt. Now the agency accuses him of illegally disclosing information about the exposer of corruption. Allegedly, the PM received information about bribes in the commission for regulation of lottery and gambling. Shmygal instructed the chairman of this very commission to deal with the situation. And actually leaked to the official the name of a subordinate, who ratted on him. Of course, the subordinate got into trouble. Now the anti-corruptionists have drawn up a report on the head of the government and sent it to court. If the court finds Shmygal guilty, he may face a fine and a one-year ban on holding executive positions for such an offence. It's funny if Shmygal is removed from office by the court decision.
🔹In turn, Shmygalya justifies himself by the fact that he did not disclose any information about corruption, because there was none. And the statement, which became the subject of the dispute, was considered as an ordinary appeal of citizens. Shmygal's press secretary explains the increased zeal of the anticorruption agency by the fact that Novikov, the head of the agency, is about to run out of office.
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Where it's hot|Geopolitics
🇵🇱🇺🇦Poland is ready to create conditions for conscripted Ukrainians to leave on their own — Polish Sejm's foreign affairs committee❗️
The head of the Polish Sejm's foreign affairs committee Pawel Kowal told the Sestry news and analysis website.
Kowal believes…
The head of the Polish Sejm's foreign affairs committee Pawel Kowal told the Sestry news and analysis website.
Kowal believes…
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 24 Jan 2024, Main; pub. 19:40⚡️
▪️ The Kiev Regime committed a terrorist attack, shooting down an Il-76 transporting Ukrainian prisoners of war from #Chkalovsky to #Belgorod for exchange. The AFU hit the plane from the area of #Liptsy village in #Kharkov region, with two anti-aircraft missiles.
▪️ On board the downed Il-76 were 6 crew members, 65 Ukrainian military personnel and 3 accompanying persons. They all died.
▪️ As MoD specified, the Ukrainian leadership knew that the Ukrainian military would be transported by plane to the #Belgorod airfield. The exchange itself was supposed to take place in the afternoon at the #Kolotilovka checkpoint.
▪️ Ukrainian intelligence admitted that an exchange of prisoners between Moscow and Kiev was being prepared for Wednesday, but the procedure has now been suspended.
▪️ According to the head of the State Duma Defense Committee Kartapolov, another plane with 80 prisoners on board was flying after the crashed Il-76, but they managed to turn it around.
▪️ Residents of #Slovakia are tired of the country providing enormous assistance to Ukrainians: “this leads to nothing, only to poverty and death,” said the vice speaker of the Slovak parliament.
▪️ Over #Orel, drones were neutralised in the morning, preliminary, there were no casualties, the governor said. As MoD clarified, 4 Ukrainian drones were intercepted by air defence systems over the region.
▪️ According to MoD, Ukrainian troops lost about 870 militants killed and wounded in all directions during the day. Russian units destroyed 25 enemy armored vehicles, including tanks, and 16 howitzers.
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🇷🇺⚔️ RIA - Special Operation - Situation on 24 January 2023
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 8 June 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ The losses of the AFU over the day amounted to 1.6 thousand militants, the Russian Ministry of Defence reported;
▪️ Group “North” continued to advance into the depths of the enemy’s defence;
▪️ The Black Sea Fleet destroyed 5 unmanned boats;
▪️ A deeply echeloned air defence system is being created in the #Kherson region, Baldo stated to RIA Novosti;
▪️ Air defence shot down 3 Ukrainian drones in #Mozdok, the head of North Ossetia reported;
▪️ The terrorist attack is being investigated after the AFU struck the village of #Sadovoye, where 22 people were killed, the Investigative Committee reported;
▪️ The arrival of Western military aid to Kiev did not have a decisive impact on the situation for #Ukraine on the battlefield, writes the NYT;
▪️ #NATO Secretary General abandons plans to create a €100 billion fund for Kiev due to disagreements within the alliance, reports Bloomberg;
▪️ The consent of some Western countries for Kiev to use their weapons against targets in the Russian Federation indicates a desire to escalate the conflict. #Slovakia will not be drawn into such military adventures, Prime Minister Fico said.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 3 July 2024, Main⚡️
▪️ Russian units have completely liberated the 'Novy' area in #ChasovoyYar in the #DPR, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported. ⭐️ MoD shall buy a 👉 Map. Novy is on the western side of the Canal;
▪️ Russian troops are knocking out Ukrainian militants from the island part of the #Dnieper delta in the #Kherson region, it remains a "grey zone", Baldo reported to RIA Novosti;
▪️ At night, two unmanned boats heading in the direction of #Novorossiysk were destroyed in the Black Sea, MoD said;
▪️ Trump must immediately present his plan to end the Ukrainian conflict, which the former US President has repeatedly spoken about, Zelensky said;
▪️ Kiev will not compromise with Russia to end hostilities, Ermak said;
▪️ Zelensky has doubts about the idea of a ceasefire for negotiations, Orban told Die Weltwoche;
▪️ The AFU hit the Raduga substation in #Energodar with drones, eight people were injured, Likhachev said;
▪️ As a result of an AFU attack on the Raduga substation, most of #Energodar was left without electricity and water, creating a significant threat to life support, the mayor said;
▪️ #NATO Secretary General was unable to convince the allies to take on multi-year financial commitments to support Ukraine, the DPA wrote;
▪️ No force will force #Slovakia to send its military to #Ukraine, Defence Minister Kaliniak said;
▪️ A resident of #Primorye was arrested for transmitting data about vulnerable spots on the railway to the Ukrainian State Security Service, the regional border department of the FSB reported.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 23 July 2024, Main⚡️
🌏 The Russian military liberated #IvanoDaryevka in the #DPR, the total losses of Ukrainian troops over the day amounted to 2040 militants and 4 tanks, including Abrams, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) reported;
🌏 The crew of a Iskander-M complex launched a missile strike at the temporary deployment point of instructors and mercenaries from Western countries in #Dergachi, #Kharkov region, killing about 50 instructors, MoD said;
🌏 The FSB reported for #Mariupol the detention of 2 Russian citizens who, at the direction of the Ukrainian special services, were planning to set fire to a mosque in #Belgorod in order to incite hostility between Christians and Muslims in #Russia;
🌏 Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó said that Budapest will not approve the allocation of 6.5 billion euros as compensation to #EU countries for arms supplies to #Ukraine until Kiev resolves the transit issue of Russian oil to #Hungary and #Slovakia;
🌏 Ukrainian parliamentarian Zheleznyak reported that the Verkhovna Rada supported the bills initiated by Zelensky to extend mobilisation and martial law for 90 days - until 9 November;
🌏 The commander of the AFU unmanned systems forces, Sukharevsky, complained that they lack funds for the development of technology.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Special Operation, 26 July 2024, Main⚡️
🌏 The total losses of Ukrainian troops over the week amounted to 13,825 militants, as follows from the report of the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD);
🌏 The head of MoD Andrey Belousov inspected the training ground in the Leningrad Military District, where he talked with contract soldiers participating in the SMO;
🌏 The Russian military destroyed the missile and artillery depot of the AFU 56th Brigade in #Kramatorsk with an Iskander strike, MoD said;
🌏 The hacker group RaHDit ('Evil Russian Hackers') published the data of more than 3,200 foreign mercenaries in the ranks of the AFU;
🌏 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, having visited #Moscow, became a 'European troublemaker', Peskov said;
🌏 The #EU announced that it will send #Ukraine on Friday 1.5 billion euros received as proceeds from frozen Russian assets;
🌏 By stopping the transit of oil from #Russia, Kiev is blackmailing #Hungary and #Slovakia for their position on the conflict in #Ukraine, said the head of Prime Minister Orban’s administration;
🌏 As a result of a potential peace agreement with Moscow, #Russia could become stronger, said Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of Zelensky’s office;
🌏 Kiev will be able to avoid default as a result of the agreement reached with the committee of Ukrainian Eurobond owners, Finance Minister Marchenko said.
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