Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi

Contact: @invoyager

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🌎#inflation #g7
consumer inflation in the G7 countries continues to fall
🌎#copper #macro
copper / SP500" ratio = historical low
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commodities / SP500" ratio = historical low (chart)
πŸŒ•#gold #macro
Bloomberg Intelligence: over the past 3.5 years, central bank gold purchases have far exceeded the 14-year average.

World Gold Counci: gold demand to hit record with central-bank buying

Citi: gold prices could soar to $3,000 within the next 11 to 17 months
πŸŒ•#gold #macro #history
BofA: the world's central banks are buying gold at a record pace.
πŸŒ•#gold #stocks #macro
gold mining stocks / gold ratio = historical low

either gold prices will drop or gold mining stocks will rise.
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WSJ: old miners are enjoying unrealistic profits amid record gold prices.
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #bubble #warninig #macro
Goldman: US households currently invest 48% of their financial assets in stocks = the highest level since the dotcom bubble of the 2000s.
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #bubble #macro
BofA: tech stocks are trading at record highs relative to the S&P 500, surpassing even the peak of the dotcom bubble.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #sentiment
Sundial: "small speculators" have record long positions in the S&P 500.
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#us #inflation #history #analogy
the current inflation dynamics in the US closely resemble those of the 1970s.
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the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
πŸŒ•πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#farmland #us #food #gold
over the past 30 years, farmland has boasted an average annual return of 10.52%, dwarfing gold's 5.67%.

#inflation farmland also acts as a potent hedge against inflation, with its value and the price of agricultural products typically rising in tandem with the cost of living.
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FT: investors plough record amounts into US farmland
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #bubble #warning #macro #commodity
Nasdaq 100 relative to commodity markets is now at Dot-com bubble levels of the 2000s.
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copper / SP500" ratio = historical low (chart)

commodities / SP500" ratio = historical low (chart)
🌎#metals #coal #forecast
BofA has updated its forecasts for metals, coal, and precious metals β€” research

⚠️#TGA
⚠️#stocks #us #dividends #history
the dividend yield of the S&P 500 is at historical lows

it was only lower before the dot-com crisis #bubble
πŸ’Ž Performance of the Scorpi18 portfolio:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈGamestop #GME
+565% Days: 1063

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈMacerich #MAC
+256% Days: 315

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊBank of Cyprus #BOCH
+91% Days: 1101

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
360 DigiTech #QFIN
+66% Days: 1163

πŸ‡­πŸ‡°OrientalWatch #00399
+63% Days: 219

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈSilvergate (Pref) #SICPL
+18% Days: 171

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈCBL #CBL
+9% Days: 164

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³Daqo New Energy #DQ
-5% Days: 352

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈSilvergate #SI
-28% Days: 377

πŸ‘‡ View the current portfolio πŸ‘‡

https://t.me/tribute/app?startapp=s5AY
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#food #inflation
fast food price inflation since 2014

#MCD McDonald's is a great business.
🌎#economy #worldtrade #macro
Morgan: world trade is slowing down amid increasing trade restrictions.
βš οΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#inflation #us #copper #correlation
the correlation between copper prices and US inflation signals the start of inflationary growth.
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
the current inflation dynamics in the US closely resemble those of the 1970s (chart)

the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
⚠️#bonds #us #inflation
the yield on 10-year US Treasuries continues to rise against the backdrop of potential inflation growth in the US.
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copper prices signal the start of US inflationary growth (chart)
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή#stocks #europe
JPMorgan: the Austrian stock market is the cheapest among developed European economies β€” research
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#economy #us #recession #macro
Ned Davis Research: the probability of US recession is close to zero β€” research