Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi

Contact: @invoyager

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✴️#BTC #crypto #analogy
another analogy ...
⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #analogy
another analogy:

Dow Jones (1987) and Nasdaq (present days)
⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #tech #bubble #history
U.S. tech sector versus other sectors in the S&P 500 during the Dot-com Bubble in 1999-2000
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the current scenario appears strikingly similar #analogy
🇺🇸#stocks #us #tech #bubble #analogy #history
another analogy:

Nasdaq 100 (present days) and Nasdaq 100 ( 1999 - in the days of dotcom mania)
✴️🌕#BTC #gold #etf #crypto #analogy
another analogy:

Gold ETF (2004) vs. Bitcoin ETF (present days)

gold has surged more than 6X since the launch of its initial ETF, while Bitcoin is projected to reach $500,000 by the end of 2025.
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earlier: based on the history of gold ETP launches, Standard Chartered sees significant potential for the price of bitcoin
⚠️🇺🇸#NVDA #analogy #bubble
another analogy:

Nvidia (present days) and Cisco (in the days of dotcom mania)
⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #analogy #warning
another analogy:

SP500 (present days) vs. SP500 (1929)
⚠️🇺🇸#NVDA #bubble #analogy
Nvidia looks a lot like Cisco in the final phase of the dot-com bubble
⚠️🇺🇸#us #inflation #history #analogy
the current inflation dynamics in the US closely resemble those of the 1970s.
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the markets fear a second wave of inflation akin to that of the 1930s or 1970s (chart)

MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
⚠️🇺🇸#inflation #us #analogy #macro
the current inflation dynamics in the US closely resemble those of the 1970s.
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US consumer inflation expectations are rising rapidly (chart)

the Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)
⚠️🇺🇸#NVDA #bubble #analogy
Nvidia's stock currently resembles Cisco's stock in the final phase of the dot-com bubble.
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Nvidia's stock has risen by 22,000% over the past 10 years.
⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #analogy #warning
a favorite pastime in the market is searching for historical analogies.

another analogy: S&P 500 (2020s) vs. S&P 500 (1960s).

the current dynamics of the S&P 500 index surprisingly mirror its movement in the early 1960s.

In 1969, with the onset of stagflation, the S&P 500 began a prolonged and volatile decline. It took the index 20 years to recover.
Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
🇺🇸#stocks #monetarypolicy #us #analogy
the current market closely resembles 2007's dynamics: two corrections in six months, the second bigger than the first, followed by a rapid recovery to previous highs and the first Fed rate cut in September.

BofA views the first Fed rate cut as a negative event. Historically, the market tends to hit its bottom on average 12 months after the first rate cut #history

ElliotWave: historically, U.S. stocks have experienced significant declines when the Federal Reserve shifts from a rate-hike cycle to a rate-cut cycle (chart).

Scorpi18|Investment Adviser