In the spotlight today: inflation.
A surge in volatility is expected at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the release of inflation data. The consensus anticipates a 4% year-on-year increase in the core indicator and a 0.3% month-on-month rise (October: +0.2% month-on-month). If the slowdown in consumer inflation persists, it will signal to the market that the Federal Reserve may transition to a more accommodative monetary policy in the second quarter of 2024. It's worth recalling that the previous easing in the Consumer Price Index growth in October sparked an active stock market rally.
Inflation data will be published a day before the conclusion of the last Federal Reserve meeting of the year, influencing the update of the regulator's macroeconomic forecasts. However, even if the statistics confirm the expected inflation slowdown, the Federal Reserve is likely to emphasize the need for further confirmation of trends indicating labor market cooling and inflation reduction for at least several months before considering a change in monetary policy. In this context, the Fed's decision is unlikely to catch investors off guard.
#Inflation #EconomicIndicators #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #MarketVolatility
A surge in volatility is expected at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the release of inflation data. The consensus anticipates a 4% year-on-year increase in the core indicator and a 0.3% month-on-month rise (October: +0.2% month-on-month). If the slowdown in consumer inflation persists, it will signal to the market that the Federal Reserve may transition to a more accommodative monetary policy in the second quarter of 2024. It's worth recalling that the previous easing in the Consumer Price Index growth in October sparked an active stock market rally.
Inflation data will be published a day before the conclusion of the last Federal Reserve meeting of the year, influencing the update of the regulator's macroeconomic forecasts. However, even if the statistics confirm the expected inflation slowdown, the Federal Reserve is likely to emphasize the need for further confirmation of trends indicating labor market cooling and inflation reduction for at least several months before considering a change in monetary policy. In this context, the Fed's decision is unlikely to catch investors off guard.
#Inflation #EconomicIndicators #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #MarketVolatility