FOMC Meeting Takes Center Stage
We anticipate that upcoming trading sessions will be characterized by high intraday volatility with a neutral risk balance. Investors' attention will be focused on the Federal Reserve System's last meeting of the year. The consensus suggests that the key interest rate will remain unchanged.
Investor focus will also be on Jerome Powell's final press conference of the year. We do not expect any changes in his rhetoric. Additionally, new "dot" forecasts of rate dynamics from FOMC representatives will be of interest in terms of clarifying the timeline for the beginning of monetary policy easing. After the previous decision, Jerome Powell reminded investors that the deflation process looks "uneven."
The November Consumer Price Index came in line with forecasts, showing a slight increase, confirming the unstable nature of the return of price growth to the regulator's target of 2%, especially in the services sector, which is concentrated as the "last mile" in the fight against inflation.
#USreview #FOMCmeeting #JeromePowell #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketOutlook
We anticipate that upcoming trading sessions will be characterized by high intraday volatility with a neutral risk balance. Investors' attention will be focused on the Federal Reserve System's last meeting of the year. The consensus suggests that the key interest rate will remain unchanged.
Investor focus will also be on Jerome Powell's final press conference of the year. We do not expect any changes in his rhetoric. Additionally, new "dot" forecasts of rate dynamics from FOMC representatives will be of interest in terms of clarifying the timeline for the beginning of monetary policy easing. After the previous decision, Jerome Powell reminded investors that the deflation process looks "uneven."
The November Consumer Price Index came in line with forecasts, showing a slight increase, confirming the unstable nature of the return of price growth to the regulator's target of 2%, especially in the services sector, which is concentrated as the "last mile" in the fight against inflation.
#USreview #FOMCmeeting #JeromePowell #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketOutlook
#TradingEvents #FinancialNews #GBPUSD #FOMC #BankOfEngland #InterestRates #Dollar #Unemployment #PMI #TreasuryBonds #Trading #Forex
📅 Events of the Day:
1. 12:30 Moscow Time - UK: PMI Index for the Services Sector.
2. 16:30 Moscow Time - USA: Initial Jobless Claims.
💷 GBPUSD: The FOMC meeting minutes from December 12-13 provided no hints about when the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle might begin, supporting the dollar. Pessimistic assessments of the UK business leaders stimulate the Bank of England towards potential rate cuts. Trader expectations include around a 140 basis points reduction in rates by 2024. Dollar strengthening acts as an obstacle to the rise of GBPUSD.
📉 TechnicalAnalysis: It's preferable to remain cautious due to the mixed fundamental background. Traders are noting the retreat from the five-month peak around 1.2825-1.2830.
🔍 Analytics: Ahead of the release of the monthly US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, investors prefer to observe Thursday's economic indicators, including PMI for the UK and the US, as well as the ADP employment report for the US private sector.
📈 TradingRecommendation: When the level reaches 1.2682, it is recommended to open long positions. The Take Profit level is set at 1.2700.
📊 AdditionalInformation: More analytics is available on the [FreshForex](https://freshforex.org/analitics/fresh-forecast/?ff_mrk=analytics&utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssfun&ff_mrk=rss) website. #Trading #Forex #MarketAnalysis
📅 Events of the Day:
1. 12:30 Moscow Time - UK: PMI Index for the Services Sector.
2. 16:30 Moscow Time - USA: Initial Jobless Claims.
💷 GBPUSD: The FOMC meeting minutes from December 12-13 provided no hints about when the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle might begin, supporting the dollar. Pessimistic assessments of the UK business leaders stimulate the Bank of England towards potential rate cuts. Trader expectations include around a 140 basis points reduction in rates by 2024. Dollar strengthening acts as an obstacle to the rise of GBPUSD.
📉 TechnicalAnalysis: It's preferable to remain cautious due to the mixed fundamental background. Traders are noting the retreat from the five-month peak around 1.2825-1.2830.
🔍 Analytics: Ahead of the release of the monthly US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, investors prefer to observe Thursday's economic indicators, including PMI for the UK and the US, as well as the ADP employment report for the US private sector.
📈 TradingRecommendation: When the level reaches 1.2682, it is recommended to open long positions. The Take Profit level is set at 1.2700.
📊 AdditionalInformation: More analytics is available on the [FreshForex](https://freshforex.org/analitics/fresh-forecast/?ff_mrk=analytics&utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssfun&ff_mrk=rss) website. #Trading #Forex #MarketAnalysis
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Event to watch today: 18:30 MSK. USD - Crude Oil Inventory Data.
The GBP/USD pair is in focus, oscillating around 1.2710 during the Asian session on Wednesday. After a recent decline, interrupting a four-day winning streak, the British Pound (GBP) found support against the U.S. Dollar (USD). Market risk-on sentiment, fueled by comments from Federal Reserve (FRS) members suggesting a possible rate cut by the end of 2024, contributed to the weakening of the USD. However, a sudden shift in risk aversion sentiment added extra pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
Furthermore, the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Michelle W. Bowman, stated that the current policy appears sufficiently tight but may eventually need a rate cut if inflation approaches the 2% target. Recently, the GBP/USD pair has shown strength, primarily influenced by divergences in monetary policies between the Bank of England (BoE) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (FRS). While the BoE maintains its stance on further rate hikes, despite signs of weakening inflation and wage growth, expectations are growing that the FRS might initiate an easing cycle as early as March.
Trading recommendation: Keep a close eye on the 1.2700 level.
#GBPUSD #CrudeOil #FRS #BankofEngland #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingRecommendation #Finance #Forex #CurrencyPairs
The GBP/USD pair is in focus, oscillating around 1.2710 during the Asian session on Wednesday. After a recent decline, interrupting a four-day winning streak, the British Pound (GBP) found support against the U.S. Dollar (USD). Market risk-on sentiment, fueled by comments from Federal Reserve (FRS) members suggesting a possible rate cut by the end of 2024, contributed to the weakening of the USD. However, a sudden shift in risk aversion sentiment added extra pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
Furthermore, the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Michelle W. Bowman, stated that the current policy appears sufficiently tight but may eventually need a rate cut if inflation approaches the 2% target. Recently, the GBP/USD pair has shown strength, primarily influenced by divergences in monetary policies between the Bank of England (BoE) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (FRS). While the BoE maintains its stance on further rate hikes, despite signs of weakening inflation and wage growth, expectations are growing that the FRS might initiate an easing cycle as early as March.
Trading recommendation: Keep a close eye on the 1.2700 level.
#GBPUSD #CrudeOil #FRS #BankofEngland #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingRecommendation #Finance #Forex #CurrencyPairs