⏳ Approximately 36 weeks remain until the Bitcoin Fractal #Cycle concludes. | JAN/25/2026
Intriguingly, the cycles continue to repeat, defying the narrative of many analysts who no longer believe Bitcoin follows a predictable #fractal structure.
Markets change. Participants change.
Yet human behavior and cyclical market structure continue to leave clear signals for those who focus on data, not just narratives.
📊 Cycles are not guarantees — but historically, ignoring them has been a costly mistake.
We continue to monitor closely. #Bear 2026 #Calendar
>> 3.125
Intriguingly, the cycles continue to repeat, defying the narrative of many analysts who no longer believe Bitcoin follows a predictable #fractal structure.
Markets change. Participants change.
Yet human behavior and cyclical market structure continue to leave clear signals for those who focus on data, not just narratives.
📊 Cycles are not guarantees — but historically, ignoring them has been a costly mistake.
We continue to monitor closely. #Bear 2026 #Calendar
>> 3.125
⚠️Bitcoin has already fallen -37% from its all-time high.
This does not signal a market bottom, according to this metric.
In every major cycle, Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was completed.
📉 Historical drawdowns:
2011: -93%
2013–2015: -85%
2017–2018: -84%
2021–2022: -75%
📌 Historically, a -37% move represents only the early stage of the contraction phase.
As the market matures, drawdowns tend to become less severe — which is positive —
but they never disappear.
Statistically most likely zone for the #cycle #bottom (10/2025 - 10/2026)
➡️ -60% to -70%.
👇👇
>> F/F
This does not signal a market bottom, according to this metric.
In every major cycle, Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was completed.
📉 Historical drawdowns:
2011: -93%
2013–2015: -85%
2017–2018: -84%
2021–2022: -75%
📌 Historically, a -37% move represents only the early stage of the contraction phase.
As the market matures, drawdowns tend to become less severe — which is positive —
but they never disappear.
Statistically most likely zone for the #cycle #bottom (10/2025 - 10/2026)
➡️ -60% to -70%.
👇👇
>> F/F
#Halving #Cycle MAY/13/2026
✍️ ABR/20/2024 >> ABR/21/2028
P2P | Support's | PRIORITY
- bullishcalc
- bitcalc
- counterflow
- svrgnty
- satsconverter
✍️ ABR/20/2024 >> ABR/21/2028
P2P | Support's | PRIORITY
- bullishcalc
- bitcalc
- counterflow
- svrgnty
- satsconverter
CryptoCon JUN/15/2026
#Calendar The collective consensus amongst crypto X seems to be that the #cycle #bottom is in. That alone gets me pretty disinterested in looking for the low here.
Of course, the bear market according to the Havling Cycles Theory is not over until November 2026 - January 2027.
It is no surprise that "this time is different" is coming back up. This time, the plausible story is data interpretation.
A potential bullish divergence is forming on Weekly RSI, just like November 2022. Some metrics are bottoming out. From my perspective, most have not.
So, I will once again take the contrarian position during this bounce and say the cycle bottom is not in.
The opportunity I'm looking for is the trifecta of psychology, data positioning, and cycle position.
#Calendar The collective consensus amongst crypto X seems to be that the #cycle #bottom is in. That alone gets me pretty disinterested in looking for the low here.
Of course, the bear market according to the Havling Cycles Theory is not over until November 2026 - January 2027.
It is no surprise that "this time is different" is coming back up. This time, the plausible story is data interpretation.
A potential bullish divergence is forming on Weekly RSI, just like November 2022. Some metrics are bottoming out. From my perspective, most have not.
So, I will once again take the contrarian position during this bounce and say the cycle bottom is not in.
The opportunity I'm looking for is the trifecta of psychology, data positioning, and cycle position.
Leo Heart Jun/17/2026 #Bear
The h-clock makes #cycle timing crystal clear.
Last two cycle minimums landed at 15:19 on the clock.
We hit 15 h-hours around October 13 → +19 days takes us to November 1, 2026.
Will the exact same pattern play out again. Time is close!
#ATL@TutorialBTC
The h-clock makes #cycle timing crystal clear.
Last two cycle minimums landed at 15:19 on the clock.
We hit 15 h-hours around October 13 → +19 days takes us to November 1, 2026.
Will the exact same pattern play out again. Time is close!
#ATL@TutorialBTC
CryptoCon
SOPR still says this is not good enough for the #cycle #bottom. The pattern looks spot on for mid-to-late #bear market activity.
Many people are waiting for the exact 1 year mark from the cycle top to buy in October, but again, the Halving Cycles Theory bottom range doesn't start until November.
The bear market that lasted for almost a year and two months (2014 at 410 days) is most times conveniently left out of "bear markets are always one year"
Personally, I think paitence for better prices is just worth it.
High Loss on SOPR marked the exact cycle bottom in two cycles, and the low before the cycle bottom in September 2014.
SOPR still says this is not good enough for the #cycle #bottom. The pattern looks spot on for mid-to-late #bear market activity.
Many people are waiting for the exact 1 year mark from the cycle top to buy in October, but again, the Halving Cycles Theory bottom range doesn't start until November.
The bear market that lasted for almost a year and two months (2014 at 410 days) is most times conveniently left out of "bear markets are always one year"
Personally, I think paitence for better prices is just worth it.
High Loss on SOPR marked the exact cycle bottom in two cycles, and the low before the cycle bottom in September 2014.