As I said. I want to be honest, I think, and this is only my assumption… It is too late for triggering WW3:
The Ukrainian human potential is almost gone. And soon it WILL BE GONE.
The Europeans have been demilitarized. And they will be demilitarized further until this is over. There is not much which could be used to actually fight the Russians.
The Americans would withdraw its equipment to America or Asia. This is an important region. Europe lost its significance, and with it, the obligation to NATO.
Article 5 says that the allies should consult on whether and how to support the member under attack. The decision of the single member states could be to send medical equipment or simply to do nothing. This applies to America as well. America wouldn’t do much for Eastern European states. And it certainly would NOT fight Russia over them. I’m not yet sure, about central and west Europe, since America will need them, for reindustrializing over their resources and industries.
Until this war is over, NATO will only be four letters on a piece of paper. To be honest, I didn’t expect it that way. I will point out my assumption, how NATO could be dismembered, in the “strategic outlook” chapter. But as it turns out, the NATO military branch will soon be done and gone. Left will be a club of people, that are meeting regularly to issue some threats out of a parallel universe in the direction of Russia. As I said, I’ll go deeper into this later.
I want you all to keep in mind, what the ultimate goal of Russia is. Russia’s ultimate goal is to secure its strategic security in the western direction, by forcing the West to accept the new draft treaty for European security. Either voluntarily or by force. Force can be military, economic or revolutionary. Don’t forget that part. In case of failure, we all are simply going to die.

As I pointed out in the quoted article, who is cheering for Russia to lose, is cheering for his own death.

The lynchpin – Odessa

The strategic lynchpin, whether there will be a Ukraine, going forward, or not, is Odessa. With Odessa, Ukraine could sustain some kind of economy, by accessing the Black Sea. Probably it would be enough, to continue an existence as a classic American failed state, like Libya and some others that I won’t name so as to not insult the people living there.
If Russia takes Odessa, or defeats the Ukrainian army somewhere else, so that Odessa could no longer be defended, then the war is over. Odessa is more important to Ukraine than Kiev itself.
Odessa is also one of the strategic goals, named by President Vladimir Putin, before he started the SMO. 

One of these goals is to bring justice to what happened in Odessa in 2014, when some fifty Russians were burned to death by Ukrainian nationalists. It is a personal goal of Vladimir Putin to take the city and seek justice for these deaths. Here are more reasons:
It is a strategic city. Without it, there could never be something like “Ukraine” again. It wouldn’t be economically sustainable.
It would give Russia the control of a big part of the Black Sea. In fact, Russia’s dominance in the Black Sea couldn’t be contested anymore. Not only not from the Sea, but also not from the land or air.

Russia would have a deep outpost within the east flank of NATO, which is crucial. Think of radars, air bases, air defences, missile bases, fleet bases, marshalling grounds, etc.
Odessa is a Russian city. Not just any Russian city. It is a highly important Russian city. It was built by a very popular Russian emperor, Katherine the Great. Moreover, it is a hero city. (See WW2 hero cities).
Ukraine and the West will never accept peace with Russia as long as Russia holds territory that the West claims as well, such as Kherson, Crimea, etc. If the Russians would leave Odessa to Ukraine, under some kind of treaty, there would always be the danger that Ukraine rearms and uses Odessa and its access to the Black Sea to harm Russia. As we all know, and Russia knows even more, the West breaks ALL treaties that it signs.

⚡️Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation
(7 March 2023)

💥In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by Army Aviation and the artillery of the 'Zapad' Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Grianikovka, Peschanoye, Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region), and Stelmakhovka and Rozovka (Lugansk People's Republic). 1 tank, 1 Polish-manufactured Krab self-propelled artillery system, 1 Akatsia self-propelled howitzer and over 30 Ukrainian servicemen have been eliminated.

💥In Krasniy Liman direction, artillery attacks, launched by the units of the 'Tsentr' Group of Forces, as well as the attacks, launched by aviation resulted in the elimination of the enemy units near Nevskoye, Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People's Republic) and Grigorovka (Donetsk People's Republic).
The enemy lost up to 125 Ukrainian personnel, 2 infantry fighting vehicles, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, as well as D-20, and D-30 howitzers.

💥In Donetsk direction, the active operations of the 'Yug' Group of Forces, as well as the attacks by air strikes, artillery have resulted in the neutralisation more than 75 Ukrainian servicemen, 2 tanks, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, 2 pickup trucks, 1 Smerch multiple-launch rocket system and 1 D-30 howitzer. 1 U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-37 counterbattery warfare radar has been destroyed near Markovo (Donetsk People's Republic). 1 munition depot of the AFU 110th Mechanised Brigade has been destroyed near Avdeyevka (Donetsk People's Republic).

💥In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, Operational-Tactical and Army Aviation, as well as artillery of the 'Vostok' Group of Forces have launched a complex fire attack against the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Ugledar, Pavlovka, Novosyolovka (Donetsk People's Republic), and Dorozhnianka and Malaya Tokmachka (Zaporozhye region). The enemy losses were over 60 Ukrainian servicemen, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, 2 pickup trucks, 1 U.S.-manufactured M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery system, 1 U.S.-manufactured M777 artillery system, and 1 D-30 howitzer.

💥In Kherson direction, as many as 35 Ukrainian servicemen, 4 motor vehicles and 2 D-30 howitzers have been destroyed.

💥Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 74 AFU artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and hardware in 128 areas.

💥Aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down 1 Su-24 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Druzhkovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

◽️Air defence facilities have shot down 1 Su-25 airplane of Ukrainian Air Force near Krynki (Kherson region). Furthermore, 14 projectiles of HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system, as well as 11 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles have been intercepted near Chervonopopovka, Novosyolovskoye (Luhansk People's Republic), Peski, Kirillovka, Valeryanovka, Gorlovka, Makeyevka, Novoandreyevka (Donetsk People's Republic), Mirnoye (Zaporozhye region), Gorobyovka and Tabayevka (Kharkov region).

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⚡️Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (10 March 2023)

◽️ In Kupyansk direction, the Zapad Group of Forces' artillery has hit enemy manpower close to Stelmakhovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Gryanikovka, Sinkovka, and Timkovka (Kharkov region).

💥 Up to 40 Ukrainian military and two motor vehicles were hit in this direction over the past 24 hours.

◽️ In Krasny Liman direction, Missile Troops and Artillery of the 'Tsentr' Group of Forces have inflicted fire damage on enemy units close to Ampolovka, Krasny Liman, Grigorovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People's Republic).

💥 The enemy's losses in this direction during the day amounted to 120 Ukrainian troops, two pickup trucks, a D-30 howitzer, and one US-made M777 artillery system.

◽️ In Donetsk direction, more than 120 Ukrainian troops, seven armoured fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, a D-20 and D-30 howitzer, as well as a Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit have been neutralised as part of active operations of the 'Yug' Group of Forces, air strikes, and artillery fire.

◽️ In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye districts, Operational-Tactical and Army aviation and artillery of the 'Vostok' Group of Forces carried out a complex shelling of AFU units in the areas of Ugledar (Donetsk People's Republic), Gulyaipole, Preobrazhenka and Shcherbaki (Zaporozhye region).

💥 More than 50 Ukrainian servicemen, one tank, three pick-up trucks, and a D-30 howitzer have been destroyed during the day.

◽️ In Kherson direction, up to 20 Ukrainian servicemen, four vehicles, and a Gvozdika self-propelled artillery unit have suffered casualties during the day as a result of the shelling.

💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 83 AFU artillery units at their firing positions, enemy's manpower and hardware in 127 areas during the day.

💥In addition, a Ukrainian S-300 anti-aircraft missile system was obliterated close to Petropavlovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

💥 Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces has shot down one Su-27 aircraft of Ukrainian Air Force near Maryinka (Donetsk People's Republic).

💥 During the day, air defence forces have shot down nine HIMARS MLRS shells and destroyed seven Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles near Sinkovka (Kharkov region), Rusin Yar, Stepnoye, Staromayorskoye, Vladimirovka, and Ugledar (Donetsk People's Republic), as well as Pologi (Zaporozhye region).

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⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (11 March 2023)

💥 In Kupyansk direction, the attacks, launched by the aviation and artillery of the 'Zapad' Group of Forces, have resulted in the neutralisation of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) near Gryanikovka (Kharkov region) and Rozovka (Lugansk People's Republic).

◽️ The enemy has lost up to 50 Ukrainian personnel, 5 armoured fighting vehicles, 3 motor vehicles, and 1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer.

💥 In Krasny Liman direction, the active action of the units, and the artillery operation of the 'Tsentr' Group of Forces have resulted in the neutralisation of the enemy manpower and hardware near Nevskoye and Chervonaya Dibrova (Lugansk People's Republic).

◽️ Up to 90 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, 2 pickups, 1 D-30 howitzer, and 1 Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system have been eliminated.

💥 In Donetsk direction, the active action of the units, and the artillery operation of the 'Yug' Group of Forces have resulted in the elimination of over 140 Ukrainian personnel, 2 armoured fighting vehicles, 4 pickups, 3 motor vehicles, and 2 D-30 howitzers near Zaliznyanskoye, Krasnoye, and Tonenkoye (Donetsk People's Republic).

💥 In South Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, the aviation and artillery operations of the 'Vostok' Group of Forces have resulted in the neutralisation of the AFU units near Prechistovka and Ugledar (Donetsk People's Republic).

◽️ The enemy has lost up to 70 Ukrainian personnel, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, 1 motor vehicle, and 1 D-20 howitzer.

💥 In Kherson direction, firepower operations have resulted in the elimination of over 50 Ukrainian personnel, 3 armoured fighting vehicles, 14 motor vehicles, as well as the ordnance depot of 124th Territorial Defence Brigade of the AFU.

✈️💥 Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have neutralised 75 artillery units at their firing positions, manpower and hardware in 114 areas.

◽️ The U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-36 and AN/TPQ-50 counterbattery warfare radars have been destroyed near Konstantinovka and Privolye (Donetsk People's Republic).

💥 Air defence facilities have shot down 4 rocket-propelled projectiles, launched by HIMARS and Uragan multiple-launch rocket systems, as well as have intercepted 4 HARM anti-radiation missiles.

◽️ Moreover, 11 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles have been destroyed near Pershotravnevoye (Kharkov region), Raygorodok, Oborotnovka, Ploshchanka (Lugansk People's Republic), Staromayorskoye, Shevchenko (Donetsk People's Republic), Kamenskoye, and Balochki (Zaporozhye region).


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Special forces units of the formation of the Southern Military District and artillerymen of the Second Army Corps thwarted an attempt to rotate the personnel of the battalions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Spirne and Belohorivka
#Seversk Bulge
#Russia #Ukraine

Scott Ritter:

https://youtu.be/scweS4z1h_A

Nabil Ariaye on Twitter, Persian/English language content:

https://twitter.com/nabilariaye/status/1672677802083008512?s=12&t=oSGEymfv433JwT330gexaw

Thus, we can see how the Russian strategy for Avdeevka has changed, which could have come as a surprise for NATO’s planners. Note that Ukraine has more or less “hard-wired” logistics routes to its main frontlines. If a new frontline or an intensification of the battle in a certain area occurs, then it is no easy task to reroute operations to such an area, especially logistics infrastructure, supply lines and frontline depots.
In brief, I see the activation of another vector of attrition, or theatre of war, to release the pressure on Marinka and Ugledar. Or, if Ukraine is able to sustain all the frontlines, then Russia will try to shorten the war with increased attrition of men and matériel.
As for the Belarussian theatre of war, we can assume that the Ukrainians’ ability to keep up the fight has been overestimated for several months. If the Ukrainians pull troops away from the northern border to replace their losses in Donbass, then the situation will be dire. I expected a vector of attrition near the border. But there might not be much left to wear down there.
As soon as the frontlines in Donbass collapse, there is a real possibility that Russia could use the Belarussian border to put pressure on Kiev and to take it in a pincer, thus forcing negotiation of a Ukrainian surrender. More about that eventuality in the last section.

Sino-Russian peace proposal

President Xi of China and President Putin will meet next week amid rumours that China will propose to Ukraine a peace deal agreed upon by the Russians.
Readers of my blog know that I see no chance on Earth that Ukraine will not entirely fall to Russia. Yes, some parts of it could be given pseudo-independence after denazification and demilitarization, especially parts of Western Ukraine. My assessment has not changed in any way.
Especially because the Russians’ overall goal is implementation of the New Draft Treaty for European Security.
Remember that if Russia does not achieve its geopolitical goals, it will automatically lose the war, even if some kind of temporary peace is achieved, and Novorossiya, including Odessa, joins Russia. Remember the threat of NATO, which would still be too close to Russia’s large cities and could lead to automated Armageddon if Russia’s “Perimeter” (or “Dead Hand”) system were switched on in automatic mode.
So, what could the Chinese offer be? And why is it being offered at all?
Why is it being offered? Well, I could explain it politely but I won’t. In a nutshell, it’s a public relations exercise.
What could the offer be? I have no way of knowing but I will make an assumption. Given that all of Ukraine will have to surrender, and then some parts could be given pseudo-independence, I can speculate that the question is whether Kiev will be part of Russia or of the new pseudo-independent country. If Kiev is still part of it, it would mean the preservation of “Ukraine”, despite its dependence on Russia.
If Kiev is incorporated into Russia, Ukraine is done for. And with it the Western dream of restarting the whole adventure and infiltrating the pseudo-independent state again to bring it back under the West’s influence. If Kiev is not part of the farce, then there will be nothing viable or interesting for the West, except the land bridge to Hungary and Serbia, which of course is a geopolitical necessity for Russia in order to break up NATO.
Do you think China will formulate its proposal as bluntly as I have here? That’s not how diplomacy works. There will be an X-point plan that is beautiful but meaningless. The real terms of surrender will be communicated behind closed doors. Do I expect the Ukrainians to accept such an offer? Well, given that the Ukrainians have nothing to say (only the Americans do), I have two different considerations:
The West wants to fight to the last Ukrainian. See the “Scorched earth” section. Hence, any ceasefire that would save even a single Ukrainian life is unacceptable to the leaders of the United States. By the way, I don’t blame the people of the US.

https://youtu.be/VAPW7s7r5eQ?si=20YU3U7ctfWlvAZZ

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This report analyzes the development and production of Russian Lancet drones. The audio was translated by the team at Slavyangrad on telegram. Alexander Zakharov designed the drones as well as the production processes outlined in the video. Interestingly, the drones are considered the new "Kalashnikov," as Zakharov lived with Kalashnikov at one point. The video also gives a sneak peak at the development of "product-53," which is basically a swarm drone based on the lancet design.

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https://youtu.be/kayK0QdtOqA?si=q7PabsR3GXhb_qxw

Well, I, as а snowflakes , should not talk about black people at all (in Russia all these insulting names of each other do not work - because okay, I am a snowflakes and you have black eyebrows). Let the black people themselves talk about how they feel here.
As long as the person is nice. And what color your skin is secondary.
The first question Russia asks is: What can you do? How will you be useful to everyone? And these people are doing it.
You need to understand one simple thing: here in Russia, the perception of justice is different. It has to satisfy both sides.

There will be black Russia, there will be black Russia.

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