⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 Outcome of RF Strikes on Energy System⚡️

Satellite images of Ukraine on February 3 (left photo) and October 17 (right photo) show that the use of precision-guided weapons could deprive the country's power system of not 30% of power plants, as claimed by the country's authorities, but a much larger number of facilities.

Night lighting remained only in large cities: #Kiev, Ivano-Frankovsk, #Khmelnitsky, where the nuclear power plant is located, as well as in #Lvov. The rest of the large settlements, including industrial centers - #Zhytomyr, #Vinnitsa, #Kropyvnytsky, Krivoy Rog and #Nikolaev - are practically not illuminated at night.

This suggests that generation facilities in Ukraine are not damaged, but power lines are guaranteed to be out of action.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the Belarusian Direction until 18:00 on 13 Nov 2022⚡️

🩸 The Ukrainian command continues to prepare for possible action by Russian forces in the northeastern regions of #Ukraine and from the territory of #Belarus.

#Kharkov Sector:

▪️ A reconnaissance and sabotage group of the Russian Armed Forces made a a sortie on the positions of the 228th Battalion of the 127th Territorial Defence Brigade near #Ternova. During the ensuing battle, the Russian SRG failed to gain a foothold and withdrew to its initial positions.

▪️ Ukrainian reconnaissance groups are deployed to control the areas bordering the #Belgorod region near the #Uda settlement and on the #Mezenovka - #Slavgorod line in the #Sumy region.

▪️ In #Poltava, the 179th AFU training centre is recruiting volunteers for a two-month training course in the Marine Corps.

#Chernigov Region:

▪️ The 55th Artillery Brigade of the AFU is being trained at the 242nd Training Ground under the guidance of foreign mercenaries.

▪️ Over 30 armoured combat vehicles with personnel have been moved to the #Galaganovka and #Semenovka districts on the border with #Kursk Region.

#Kiev Region:

▪️ Several Ukrainian SRGs equipped with small UAVs are operating near Rudnya-Ilyinetskaya, Staryye Shepelichi and #Benevka.

#Zhytomyr Region:

▪️ Units of the 143rd Battalion of the 115th AFU Territorial Defence Brigade conduct reconnaissance on the activities of Belarusian soldiers near the border with #Ukraine.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 Massive Missile Strikes by the Russian Armed Forces in #Ukraine: What is known as of 18:00⚡️

🩸 In the afternoon, the Russian Armed Forces once again launched a series of strikes on targets across #Ukraine. The launches were carried out by long-range aircraft of the Russian Air Force and naval ships. As on previous occasions, the attacks caused electricity and water supply problems in Ukrainian cities.

Despite recent deliveries of Western-made air defence systems, the AFU was once again unable to repel a Russian massive air raid. So far, the following cities are reliably known to have been hit:

▪️ #Kiev: more than five cruise missile sorties. One five-storey building was damaged, which may be a consequence of Ukrainian air defence. Power outages have started in the city.

▪️ #Zhytomyr: two incursions into critical infrastructure, tentatively the Zhytomyrska 330 substation, which has previously been hit by missiles by the Russian Armed Forces. Electricity and water have been lost in the city.

▪️ #Kharkov: power cuts after incoming attacks, underground shut down. Local authorities reported hitting critical infrastructure in Chuguevsky district: probably the Zmievskaya TPP.

▪️ #Lvov: a series of explosions, power and mobile phone outages. According to preliminary reports, one of the targets was a 330kV substation.

▪️ #Sumy: explosions in the area and power outages.

▪️ #Odessa: at least one rocket flew in. Power outage in part of the area.

▪️ #Kirovograd: two sorties, power infrastructure damaged.

▪️ #Volyn: hit energy infrastructure in the region, tentatively a 330kV substation in Kovel.

▪️ #Rivne: explosion, city partially de-energised.

▪️ #KrivoyRog: at least two explosions after arrivals.

▪️ #Khmelnitsky: at least two explosions after incoming flights.

▪️ #Kremenchuk: incoming, infrastructure facility hit.

Although power cuts have begun in the country, it is not gone everywhere: this indirectly indicates that autotransformers, rather than general control points (GCPs), are once again targeted. This reduces the effectiveness of the impact on Ukraine's energy infrastructure.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 @Rybar's Analysis - Russian Armed Forces hit Ukraine's Energy System on 15 Nov 2022⚡️

🔎 Rybar's team continues its analysis of the consequences of a systemic fire attack on Ukraine's energy system.

#Kiev said today's raid was the largest such attack since the start of the SMO. According to Ukrainian resources, cruise missiles and kamikaze drones damaged 15 critical infrastructure facilities.

We have repeatedly written that strikes have a cumulative effect, with each successive raid resulting in increasingly grave consequences for the Ukrainian energy system. This is exactly what today's events have demonstrated:

▪️ Strikes on the #Zmiev thermal power plant in #Chuguev district temporarily completely de-energised the entire #Kharkov region.

▪️ Strikes on facilities in #Kiev led to massive overloads in the power grid and tripping of emergency frequency overload automatics, which was perfectly visible in the footage of pulsating power on and off.

▪️ Repeated strikes on the #Zhytomyr 330 substation resulted in power outages in this regional centre and areas around it.

▪️ Voltage surges and temporary power outages were reported in western regions of Ukraine after repeated strikes on the Lvov-South 330 substation in Lvov Region and the #Kovel 330 substation in #Volyn Region.

🔻 For the first time, #Moldova also experienced the consequences of Russian missile strikes: paradoxically, they were the consequence of the policies of the authorities themselves in #Chisinau.

➖ Restrictions of gas supply to #Transnistria led to decrease of generation of the Moldavian state district power station that with its capacity stabilized the situation in the south of #Odessa region and fed the energy deficit of #Moldova.

➖ Due to reduced capacity and increased consumption from Ukraine, exacerbated by a possible impact on the 330 substation in #Artsyz, an automatic protection was triggered at the TPP. The plant switched to self-powered operation, which caused consumers in Moldova and Transnistria to be disconnected.

➖ Also, a section of the 750kV high voltage transit line in #Romania was disconnected, which may indirectly indicate a possible short circuit from the 750kV switchgear of the South Ukraine NPP.

🔻 The lack of objective data from most of the hit locations made it impossible to determine exactly which elements of the energy facilities were targeted in each attack.

However, dense black plumes could be seen in photos and videos from the arrival areas. This indirectly indicates that it is highly likely that the strikes were again directed at power and automatic transformers rather than general control stations (GCPs).

🩸 Their preservation would once again allow Ukrainian power producers to reassemble emergency circuits and eliminate damaged equipment in a relatively short period of time. Yes, it will cause even more severe restrictions, but power supply to consumers will be restored.

The absence of strikes on the General Control Stations reduces the impact on the Ukrainian energy system, although even then its resilience drops with each attack.

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