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Opinion piece from RYBAR

Ukrainian air defense is still alive: why is this and what will happen next?

In the afternoon, Ukrainian resources published a video with a Russian Su-34 bomber running on one engine: the authors claimed that the AFU managed to shoot down two Russian planes in a day.

Regardless of the veracity of the statements, the situation raises one extremely unpleasant question. Even during the AFU offensive in Kharkiv, we were often asked in feedback: why are the VKS working on targets only on the front line from extremely low altitudes, and not bombing columns in depth?

The reason is the still active Ukr air defense. The command protects the planes and does not send them to bomb the enemy's rear, and the crews have to "snuggle" to the ground in order to avoid detection.

Do you know what the saddest thing is? Even at the beginning of the SMO the RuAF comprehensively engaged in the destruction of Ukr air defense, but for some unknown reason completely stopped this work.

πŸ”» The offensive on Kiev and the fight against enemy air defense

In February-March, the VKS faced the task of countering the powerful echeloned air defense around Kiev. For these purposes, A-50U long-range radar surveillance aircraft, Il-22PP jammers and Su-35S fighters with X-31P anti-radar missiles were constantly in the air.

Some kind of interspecific interaction was established: artillery and even Iskander missile defense systems were used to destroy the identified SAMs, which successfully hit the S-300 AFU complexes even hiding in Kiev buildings.

Yes, it was not without losses. One Su-34 Regiment in March flew almost as far as Western Ukraine, bombing with cluster bombs manpower, command posts and bridges deep in the rear in the Zhytomyr region. And for some reason, no "Stingers" or "Starstreaks" favored by TV "talking heads" did not particularly interfere with this.

With the withdrawal of troops from Kiev, the successful experience of purposeful suppression of air defense and its improvement was simply forgotten. Why? Alas, we have no logical answer.

What will further connivance in the suppression of Ukrainian air defense lead to?

Let us repeat once again: the Armed Forces of the RF has the technical and organizational capabilities to perform this task. There are AWACS planes, there are EW planes, there are modern aircraft, there are anti-radar missiles. To the surprise of many, there are even gliding aerial bombs, which have already been repeatedly used by bomber crews.

The "Kiev experience" clearly demonstrates that everything is fundamentally solvable. Everything rests solely on the unwillingness of the command to engage in targeted suppression of enemy air defenses.

And if this continues, the VKS will not only work half-heartedly from their real capabilities, but also lose expensive modern aircraft. The stock of which is limited by production capabilities.

It's time to finally recall the spring experience, make decisions at the management level of the entire SVO and launch a separate operation to destroy the remaining Ukrainian air defense systems. With planning, interspecific interaction and allocation of forces and resources.

Moreover, very interesting products have recently arrived from Iran, which, with an adequate approach, greatly facilitate the task. This opportunity should not be missed!
#analysis #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
β—οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Battle for Avdeevka: active advance of the Russian Armed Forces from the south and north

Combined units of the Russian army continue the assault on the fortifications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces around Avdeevka.

On the northern flank, fighters of the Russian Armed Forces carried out several successful attacks along the railway northwest of Krasnogorovka, as a result of which Russian troops gained a foothold near the railway track.

On the southern flank, Russian troops achieved the greatest successes over the past 24 hours in the Severny direction, where, as a result of a successful assault along the front, they managed to significantly advance both to the Khimik microdistrict and to Severny (1 km remained to the village).

English version

#Avdeevka #digest #map #analysis #Russia #article #Ukraine
@rybar
Forwarded from Rybar in English
β—οΈπŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Battle for Avdeevka: Advancement in the Industrial Zone and Battles near AKHZ
Situation at the end of November 19, 2023

Russian military personnel are building upon their success in the Avdiivka sector of the front.

πŸ”»On the southern flank, Russian Army soldiers successfully broke through the enemy's defenses in the industrial zone near the Yasinovataya-2 station.

According to reports from the NGP Razvedka channel, this achievement was made possible through the effective coordination of assault groups, the support of the Russian Aerospace Forces, and artillery.

The Ukrainian formations have controlled the fortifications in this area since the beginning of the so-called "ATO" in 2014.

The enemy, caught off guard by the sudden breakthrough, has retreated. Currently, efforts are underway to clear and expand the zone of control to the west. However, it is premature to declare victory as the AFU is mobilizing reserves and preparing for a counterattack.

β–ͺ️ Reports claiming the complete liberation of the Tsarskaya Okhota campsite are premature; intense fighting continues in its vicinity.

πŸ”»There have been no significant changes on the northern flank of Avdeevka in recent days. Russian troops have managed to expand the zone of control around the treatment facilities near the coke plant and have occupied several enemy positions leading to the enterprise.

However, an immediate assault on this well-fortified target is not yet feasible. Artillery and the Russian Aerospace Forces are continuously suppressing enemy activity.

β–ͺ️ Additionally, fighting persists in the areas of Novokalynove and Stepovoy (Petrovsky).

πŸ”»The AFU, on the other hand, made another attempt to attack in the waste heap area near Gorlovka but were met with artillery fire and forced to retreat, suffering casualties. At present, neither side has control over the top of the waste heap.

For a high-resolution map or an English version, click the links.

#Avdeevka #digest #map #analysis #Russia #article #Ukraine
@rybar

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