#YURI DAILY Yuri suggests Russian command was apparently caught off-guard with Balakleya offensive, possibly expecting it to happen elsewhere. The enemy managed to advance up to Shevchenkovo evading clashes, where its advance have been stopped by the Russian freshly transferred reserves, - the enemy was tasked apparently with taking as much ground as possible. The outcome of the battle will be decided tonight or tomorrow, when the main reserves of both sides will be apparently thrown into battles, and it will depend on the speed of reaction of the Russian command in transferring additional troops there.

Ukrainian planners apparently aim at cutting off the Russian group in Izyum. So far, the enemy was advancing with relatively small forces (around 1500 men), losses of both sides low so far.

Disponible también en Español @rpd_es

#YURI The focus moves to the south. A very likely diversionary attack repelled in Kherson region near Davydov Brod, where the enemy attacked with several infantry companies and several dozens tanks, unsuccessfully. Still, Yuri expects the main attack very soon between Tokmak and Pologi, where a 3000-men strong enemy group is observed, reinforced with tanks. The obvious intention is to repeat the success of Balakleya/Izyum offensive, break through to Melitopol and Berdyansk and bring down the entire Russian front in the south. If not successful, the situation for the enemy may become worse than before Izyum offensive, nullifying its previous gains.

Attacks on Krasni Liman start to weaken. In the first day, all that held off the most powerful strike, was a volunteer batallion from Kuban, that ended up saving the day. Wagner men advance near Bakhmut. Situation as of September 13, 18:00 CEST.

Disponible en Español @rpd_es

#YURI In a rare occasion, Yuri agrees with with the Russian MoD: the mobilization goes well, the newly trained units will start appearing on the front lines around New Year, and will be fully deployed in the coming spring. Third attempt to attack Krasni Liman in Kharkov oblast, key defense node, repelled for now. The situation is still quite dangerous, despite the unprecedented intensity of Russian missile attacks, never seen even in February, and the valor of Krasni Liman defenders: storming the town, the enemy already lost more men than in entire Balakleya/Izyum operation. Tonight or tomorrow the enemy will most likely try again to turn the battle of Krasni Liman in their favor and the battle will reach its turning point.

Meanwhile, Wagners advance well in Bakhmut, forcing the Ukrainian troops to withdraw to the western part of the city blowing the only bridge behind. Successfull missile attack thwarted another possible attack on Zaporozhye. The rout of the Andreevka bridgehead continues. Español: @rpd_es

#YURI WEEKLY Battles of Liman - two breakthrough attempts repelled by the Cossack volunteer units and the heroic 20th Army, the third one started several days ago, and still continues. Yuri considers, that we are past the most critical part of it. As of tonight, the situation is stably grave, but manageable, Liman and Kupyansk keep holding. Russian command had to send in reserves to prevent the Ukrainian troops, wedged significantly into our defenses, from breaking through.

Yuri explains the strategic goals and objectives of the Ukrainian Liman operation that went wrong from the very start, but if successful, it could have eclipsed their successes near Balakleya/Izyum.

Disponible en Español @rpd_es.

Here's an update from Yuri, optimistic as usual
https://t.me/war_subtitled_en/687

#YURI The situation in LIman worsens as enemy managed to create a number of crossings south of the city, and will apparently attack Zarechnoye, a village that holds the key to Liman, tomorrow. The battle for it will be very fierce. Both armies experience supply problems, but the tenacity of Liman garrison suggests that the Russian command is planning a counter-attack, moving the reinforcements. The battle cannot end in a draw anymore, it will be sink or swim for the AFU or the Russians.

Relative lull elsewhere. Andreevka bridgehead in Kherson oblast hit with a barrage of 500kg FAB bombs, leaving hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers dead or wounded. As a result, the bridgehead is reduced to a tiny patch by the river, if not relieved soon by the Ukrainian command, the bridgehead will cease to exist.

En Español: @rpd_es

#YURI Battle of Liman continues, its outcome will determine the whole course of hostilities. Despite fierce battles, the front lines haven't changed much during this day. Russian actions prevented the AFU from accumulating enough troops to attack the rear of the Liman fortified area by hitting the pontoon crossings over Severski Donets. Liman holds on, while eastern part of Kupyansk have been left by the Russian troops late night yesterday.

The enemy now has two quite comfortable bridgeheads over Oskol, and may well launch a next wave of offensive to wash off the political humiliation of the referenda, overwhelmingly in favor of joining Russia.

En Español @rpd_es.

#YURI The Ukrainian offensive towards Kherson have apparently began in earnest with a reconnaissance by combat of quite a significant forces. Weather factor, unusually early autumn rains, and increased density of defense, as well as artillery and air force allows for the Russian defense to hold on so far. But the coming weeks promise to be very hot there. Another Ukrainian offensive may commence any day now near Svatovo. There are Russian advances, albeit insignificant is some other places, as the enemy exposed most of the other parts of the front except for Kherson and Svatovo direction.

#YURI Attacks on Kherson continue against the lines where our troops retreated and entrenched recently. Today's attack, another recon by combat with forces of up to four battalions, was unsuccessful for the enemy that retreated with serious losses. Also, a threat exists in Zaporozhye direction, where the vecinity of the nuclear power station have been shelled heavily, and a significant enemy concentration is observed. The enemy group near Svatovo, near the new Russian border, did not manage to execute recon by combat as their formations were hit by missiles and drones. Russian missiles hit a number of power supply substations near Kharkov, to disable the railway junction of the city. Wagner men advance near Bakhmut, taking a number of settlements, and, if the impulse is maintained, an operational crisis similar to ours in Liman may happen to the enemy there. In Español @rpd_es.

#YURI WEEKLY Enemy offensive in Kherson, unsuccessful, in Kharkov oblast have not started in earnest as all enemy groups that deploying, were decimated by the airforce and artillery before they could attack, and in Zaporozhye without serious movement (although a successful attack of the enemy here could have caused serious problems to the Russian command). Donetsk: Russian forces successfully advance, taking the large part of Pervomayskoye, trying to wedge between Maryinka and Ugledar, and taking a number of villages south of Bakhmut, reaching the south-eastern suburbs of this key point of enemy defence. All in all, the most important news was that there were no news. First contingents of the mobilized are seen on the front, replenishing the active units personnel. Regular reserves arrive too.

Attack on Crimean bridge was the only truly important event of the week, although its effect was less than the enemy might have hoped for.

In Spanish: @rpd_es.

#YURI considers the continuation of the strikes on the infrastructure of Ukraine a reasonable solution to avoid the further and greater bloodshed on both sides. The “bloodsuckers” of Kiev, he says, were shown their place today, and expect the morning with the same feeling as the people they hold hostage, as their future depends on Russia’s decision whether to continue with the strikes or not. If the stikes continue, Ukraine will face a complete infrastructure collapse very soon, and “will be bombed back into the Stone Age”. The objetive of today’s missile stikes, Yuri considers, was to cause a large-scale black-out in Ukraine.

As of the fronts, the situation gradually stabilizes, although the enemy have achieved a tactical success near Svatovo, establishing a bridgehead on Zherebets river. In Kherson, the attempt of attack of the enemy was thwarted. The Russians keep advancing near Bakhmut and Donetsk.

Disponible en Español: @rpd_es.

#YURI Russians counterattack near Liman, pushing back the enemy away from Kremennaya to Terny-Torskoye line. If they manage to hold these strategic settlements, the third battle for Liman, with roles reversed, may happen. Wagner men enter south-eastern parts of Bakhmut. Attacks near Donetsk towards Pervomayskoye continue to reach the third line of defence of Avdeyevka and threaten its supply routes. No active actions of the enemy in Zaporozhye or Kherson, but a large-scale enemy offensive is possible in the comming days.

Missile stike on Ukraines power grid continue with the same intensity as yesterday. The countdown to a complete energetic collapse is estimated by the Ukrainian side as 7-10 days (if the strikes continue). Yuri considers that it may happen in much faster, subject to the same condition.

Disponible en Español: @rpd_es.

#YURI WEEKLY Enemy offensive in Kherson, unsuccessful, in Kharkov oblast have not started in earnest as all enemy groups that deploying, were decimated by the airforce and artillery before they could attack, and in Zaporozhye without serious movement (although a successful attack of the enemy here could have caused serious problems to the Russian command). Donetsk: Russian forces successfully advance, taking the large part of Pervomayskoye, trying to wedge between Maryinka and Ugledar, and taking a number of villages south of Bakhmut, reaching the south-eastern suburbs of this key point of enemy defence. All in all, the most important news was that there were no news. First contingents of the mobilized are seen on the front, replenishing the active units personnel. Regular reserves arrive too.

Attack on Crimean bridge was the only truly important event of the week, although its effect was less than the enemy might have hoped for.

In Spanish: @rpd_es.

#YURI Infrastructure across all Ukraine, from Lvov to Sumy and Kharkov, hit this afternoon in a massive Russian strike of missiles and drones, in apparent reponse to Ukrainian attacks of Belgorod city and Kursk region of Russia. Apparently, the exchange won’t stop in the coming days.

Battles in Bakhmut continue, no definitive outcome so far. The core of the defenders of Bakhmut on Ukrainian side are are not the AFU members anymore, but the mercenary units. Svatovo - Ukrainian attempts to probe the Russian defences, unsuccessful so far, but the enemy group there remains strong enough for at least a local offensive towards the town of Svatovo itself. Kherson - the distraction attack almost becoming customary, repulsed.

Increasing number of reports indicate that the AFU may attempt a serious offensive on Zaporozhye direction tomorrow, on the Ukrainian Army Day, or soon, towards Melitopol and Berdyansk.

En Español @rpd_es.

#YURI WEEKLY REPORT Missile strike on the ukrainian infrastructure was rather a warning and a test for the Ukrainian air defences that fared quite miserably. Apparently, for now Moscow does not have plans to disable the energetic infrastructure of Ukraine completely, but such plans may well arise later. Also, a number of air defense systems were transferred to the rear, opening a possibility for the aggressive actions of the Russian airforce on the front lines.

Kherson: first serious Ukrainian attack, repelled with significant losses. Svatovo without serious enemy movement, on the contrary, they’ve missed a tactical Russian counter-offensive towards Krasni Liman. Donetsk/Adveyevka - after the Russian attack towards Pervomayskoye, the enemy withdrew to the last, third line of defense on Vodyanoye/Optytnoye. Bakhmut - Russian troops finally entered the town, but it is still contested in fierce battles.

En Español: @rpd_es

Editing errors in the video file corrected.

#YURI Russian troops allowed the Ukrainians to collect the bodies of the dead in the north part of the Kherson oblast, after two days of their unsuccessful attacks. The number of KIA and WIA is estimated in about 250 men, some 25 tanks and around 50 of the lighter armored vehicles. According to Ukrainian sources, the units supposed to attack today declined to do so, seeing the utter defeat of the previous waves.

Prisoner exchange “110 for 110” took place between the sides of the conflict. The Russians returned 108 female POWs to the Ukrainians, and 2 more refused to return, and preferred to stay in Russia. In exchange, Russian civil sailors and some 30 servicemen of the Russian army, LPR and DPR militias returned home.

Calm in Zaporozhye, Ukrainian distraction attacks towards Svatovo. Wagner men continuing the assault on Bakhmut

En Español: @rpd_es.

#YURI The defensive battle for Kherson seems inevitable as the enemy concentrates more forces there to attack. There are several lines of defence built, but Yuri recommends all the civilians to leave the right bank of Dnieper, to avoid staying in the way of the military doing its job. The battle expects to be extremely fierce, the battles on the close approaches or even in the city itself, are probable. It may well become the decisive battle of the war.

Calm in Zaporozhye. Battles for Bakhmut continue, as well as in Pervomayskoye near Donetsk. Taking advantage of the Ukrainians withdrawing reserves from the area of Svatovo, another successful tactical counter-attack have been executed by the Russian forces near Kupyansk. This way, they started to deal with Dvurecnoye bridgehead, that have been causing them trouble last weeks.

En Español:  @rpd_es.

#YURI Resume of the events of October 21 and 22, made by Yuri today in the morning. Strategic strikes: Russia keeps on helping Ukraine to get rid of its communist legacy in form of the power plants and lines. For now, Moscow doesn’t mean to bring Kiev on their knees, but they want a situation when they can do it in any moment in the future they see fit.

Kherson, civilian evacuation continues. Zaporozhye: no movements. Donetsk: advances towards the third lines of defence. Bakhmut: Ukrainian resistance in Opytnoye have been suppressed. Thus, further slow but steady encirclement of Bakhumt will continue. If the Russian plan works out, the Ukrainian troops will have to leave the city, and the damage to its central part will be avoided. Increased activity in Solidar.

In Spanish: @rpd_es

#YURI Kiev may be preparing a dirty atomic bomb to make it look like a Russian use of tactical nuclear weapons. The goal is to make Russia a pariah state and alienate the rest of the world from her. If Kiev does it, large areas of land will remain contaminated for decades, and people won’t be able to live there. Russia raised a lot of noise internationally, and hopefully, the Ukrainian leadership won’t dare to use the bomb.

Ukrainian intelligence report that the Russian group in Kherson is being reinforced, and defense lines are being built. Also, Russian administration of Kherson invited the willing locals to join the territorial defence.

A large-scale enemy attack expected this week. Diversionary attacks on Svatovo. Russians continue pressing near Donetsk. No confirmation of the yesterday’s report about the enemy stronghold in Opytnoye near Bakhmut being surrounded. Slow but steady Russian advances in Solidar.

In Spanish: @rpd_es.

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #YURI: Operational Encirclement of #Artyomovsk - The next Step is Taken⚡️

🔹 Judging by the information coming in, the road from #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut) via #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye) to #Konstantinovka is already under our fire control (there is still unverified information that the Wagner PMCs have reached the outskirts of #Ivanovskoye.

🔹Thus, for the AFU there is only one safe road to the city, which runs slightly to the north, through the settlement of #Khromovo.

📌 In other words, slowly but surely everything here is approaching a disaster for the AFU, a la #Soledar, only with many times greater consequences for them.

t.me/sitreports /@yurasumy/#smo/
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