Hello TVT Traders!
As you are already used to, we will analyze what interesting had happened during the previous week. Also, as always, we make predictions and put priorities based on the tick data and key changes in #COT positions.
🔸 On Friday evening we saw a perfect buying signal on US Treasury Bonds (ZB). A couple of divergences between CD and CDQ + HFT Volumes on the bottom. The first target is the previous red HFT and then we will see how healthy buyers will be there. I want to remind you, that hedge funds opened a big long position in ZB, that's why I am also are interested to play this game (See)
#ZB #treasures #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Japanese Yen (6J), it seems to me that this week we will see the same as in treasures - breakout the downtrend and move to commercial level 0,008150. Hope that we came to the lower boundary of the future range and now are ready to go to the upper one. Previous changes in COT data are minimal and do not influence the picture. (See)
#6J #JPY #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Mexican peso (6M) really made a new top and it's good for me, that I thought of putting a stop loss above the volume levels Sep 21 and Jun 21. I believe that it is a temporary correction and the price will go further downside to commercial level 0,00487 and lower. (See)
#6M #MXP #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Gold (GC) as we discussed, made several pullbacks from the lower boundary of the channel, and this attempt looks stronger than the previous one. My opinion is that gold will proceed to move higher during the next week. (See)
#GC #Gold #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 The Canadian dollar (6C) - of course, it was not without shakeout, but the idea was absolutely right. During the week we overviewed serious seizing of the initiative by sellers.
As I wrote before “CallBlocks on extremums and a very big amount of divergence between CD and CDQ made their job for us as swing traders. And I think this dynamic will continue this week.” (See)
🔸 Now the price of the Canadian dollar is on technical support and I believe after small correction will be the next downside wave. We saw how on Friday evening traders were enforced to close their hedge because of the expiration of the options contract, that's why the market can involve hedgers in the new contract before going up.
#6C #CAD #CFTCdata #tickdata
As you see sometimes the price after my report can make inertial movement in a priority direction. But as Jessie Livermore said: the most important thing is the skill to define the turnaround point and then it's a matter of techniques.
🔸 For example ase I wrote 2 weeks ago about S&P 500 “Previous week we saw a strong fall of VIX (fear index) with a breaking uptrend. Be careful, I think that soon we will see falling in the broad market index!!! Hedge funds dramatically increased shorts. I put sell priority on S&P 500 (ES) for the next week (See) ” In fact we saw the correction a bit later (See)
#ES #S&P500 #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Together with the rest, we can observe some pullback in the Australian dollar (6A), hedge funds are quite bullish here (See)
#6A #AUD #CFTCdata #tickdata
As a result:
US treasuries (ZB) - buy
Japanese Yen (6J) - buy
Gold (GC) - hold purchases
Mexican peso (6M) - keep sales
Australian dollar (6A) - buy
Trade the plan and plan the trade, and do not accept this information as financial, investment, trading or other advice or recommendation. Be very attentive to your decisions and make them by yourself!
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
As you are already used to, we will analyze what interesting had happened during the previous week. Also, as always, we make predictions and put priorities based on the tick data and key changes in #COT positions.
🔸 On Friday evening we saw a perfect buying signal on US Treasury Bonds (ZB). A couple of divergences between CD and CDQ + HFT Volumes on the bottom. The first target is the previous red HFT and then we will see how healthy buyers will be there. I want to remind you, that hedge funds opened a big long position in ZB, that's why I am also are interested to play this game (See)
#ZB #treasures #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Japanese Yen (6J), it seems to me that this week we will see the same as in treasures - breakout the downtrend and move to commercial level 0,008150. Hope that we came to the lower boundary of the future range and now are ready to go to the upper one. Previous changes in COT data are minimal and do not influence the picture. (See)
#6J #JPY #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Mexican peso (6M) really made a new top and it's good for me, that I thought of putting a stop loss above the volume levels Sep 21 and Jun 21. I believe that it is a temporary correction and the price will go further downside to commercial level 0,00487 and lower. (See)
#6M #MXP #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Gold (GC) as we discussed, made several pullbacks from the lower boundary of the channel, and this attempt looks stronger than the previous one. My opinion is that gold will proceed to move higher during the next week. (See)
#GC #Gold #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 The Canadian dollar (6C) - of course, it was not without shakeout, but the idea was absolutely right. During the week we overviewed serious seizing of the initiative by sellers.
As I wrote before “CallBlocks on extremums and a very big amount of divergence between CD and CDQ made their job for us as swing traders. And I think this dynamic will continue this week.” (See)
🔸 Now the price of the Canadian dollar is on technical support and I believe after small correction will be the next downside wave. We saw how on Friday evening traders were enforced to close their hedge because of the expiration of the options contract, that's why the market can involve hedgers in the new contract before going up.
#6C #CAD #CFTCdata #tickdata
As you see sometimes the price after my report can make inertial movement in a priority direction. But as Jessie Livermore said: the most important thing is the skill to define the turnaround point and then it's a matter of techniques.
🔸 For example ase I wrote 2 weeks ago about S&P 500 “Previous week we saw a strong fall of VIX (fear index) with a breaking uptrend. Be careful, I think that soon we will see falling in the broad market index!!! Hedge funds dramatically increased shorts. I put sell priority on S&P 500 (ES) for the next week (See) ” In fact we saw the correction a bit later (See)
#ES #S&P500 #CFTCdata #tickdata
🔸 Together with the rest, we can observe some pullback in the Australian dollar (6A), hedge funds are quite bullish here (See)
#6A #AUD #CFTCdata #tickdata
As a result:
US treasuries (ZB) - buy
Japanese Yen (6J) - buy
Gold (GC) - hold purchases
Mexican peso (6M) - keep sales
Australian dollar (6A) - buy
Trade the plan and plan the trade, and do not accept this information as financial, investment, trading or other advice or recommendation. Be very attentive to your decisions and make them by yourself!
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
FIASCO in gold!
Good evening, TVT Traders!
🔻 In previous analyses, I was very predictive about Gold (GC), the prediction was so strong, that I ignored to react on multiple ask HFTs’ that told me at least cut 50% of my position. In fact, I did even not exit from this position at breakeven and got a stop loss.
Now on these cheap levels, we see more distribution, as OI falls. I see block trades on options on the Daily chart, they rather often say about the potential reversal of gold.
But for now, on the 15 m chart the path of least resistance for gold is to the downside, but, 1750 is the key point where we will say for sure about trend reversal. (See)
🔻 As opposed to gold prediction, the Swiss franc (6S) successfully reached the 1.25 target and even created a perfect ask HFTs’ for sellers. As you see the market is not so chaotic as someone used to think so.
Take note of the strong attack of a big quantity of orders on June 28, CDQ fell significantly and we had an imposing divergence (See) That was good signal that something interesting is expected soon.
Even OI rose that day and the next.
🔻 The Dollar Index (DX) now reached the local zone of support, and a very big amount of delta was accumulated. OI felt, and this means that bears were kicked out of the market. From the #COT perspective we see that hedgers closed 11% off their short position. Maybe some involvement in longs was on Friday as OI rose.
Be very attentive to 106.7 price level, in case of breakdown we will immediately reach 105.5 price level and lower. (See)
🔻 And the Australian dollar (6A) is in a very important accumulation zone. This energy can give us some entry points. You can see how the price respected tick ask and bid imbalances before. So we can use if there will fake breakouts of this zone. (See)
Have a nice Sunday traders!
📹 All details are in this 8 minutes video ⬇️
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
Good evening, TVT Traders!
🔻 In previous analyses, I was very predictive about Gold (GC), the prediction was so strong, that I ignored to react on multiple ask HFTs’ that told me at least cut 50% of my position. In fact, I did even not exit from this position at breakeven and got a stop loss.
Now on these cheap levels, we see more distribution, as OI falls. I see block trades on options on the Daily chart, they rather often say about the potential reversal of gold.
But for now, on the 15 m chart the path of least resistance for gold is to the downside, but, 1750 is the key point where we will say for sure about trend reversal. (See)
🔻 As opposed to gold prediction, the Swiss franc (6S) successfully reached the 1.25 target and even created a perfect ask HFTs’ for sellers. As you see the market is not so chaotic as someone used to think so.
Take note of the strong attack of a big quantity of orders on June 28, CDQ fell significantly and we had an imposing divergence (See) That was good signal that something interesting is expected soon.
Even OI rose that day and the next.
🔻 The Dollar Index (DX) now reached the local zone of support, and a very big amount of delta was accumulated. OI felt, and this means that bears were kicked out of the market. From the #COT perspective we see that hedgers closed 11% off their short position. Maybe some involvement in longs was on Friday as OI rose.
Be very attentive to 106.7 price level, in case of breakdown we will immediately reach 105.5 price level and lower. (See)
🔻 And the Australian dollar (6A) is in a very important accumulation zone. This energy can give us some entry points. You can see how the price respected tick ask and bid imbalances before. So we can use if there will fake breakouts of this zone. (See)
Have a nice Sunday traders!
📹 All details are in this 8 minutes video ⬇️
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
🎬 The perfect #Sugar #trade #trading #analysis #cot
Hope you will enjoy this 11 minutes of video I have recorded for you,
and do not forget to put the like button and subscribe to a NEW english youtube channel.
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
Hope you will enjoy this 11 minutes of video I have recorded for you,
and do not forget to put the like button and subscribe to a NEW english youtube channel.
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
🎬 Bears grabbed the Dollar 😬 #cumulativedelta #HFTvolumes #COT #orderflowtrading
See the NEW 10-minute video.
If you will enjoy this review, please don’t forget to put the like button and subscribe to the NEW English youtube channel. Thank you for your attention!
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
See the NEW 10-minute video.
If you will enjoy this review, please don’t forget to put the like button and subscribe to the NEW English youtube channel. Thank you for your attention!
(Previously published in TVT School)
Sincerely, Taras Sviatun
Team Trading Volume Terminal
