SATOSHI ° NOSTR ° AI LLM ML ° LINUX ° MESH ° BUSINESS ° OFFGRID | HODLER TUTORIAL
1.25K subscribers
17.1K photos
2.25K videos
255 files
33.4K links
#DTV Não Confie. Verifique.

#DYOR FONTES & PESQUISAS
tutorialbtc.npub.pro

📚DESMISTIFICANDO
#P2P Redes de Pagamentos
#Hold Poupança
#Node Soberania
#Nostr AntiCensura
#Opsec Segurança
#Empreender Negócio
#IA Prompt
#LINUX OS

#Matrix 'Corrida dos ratos'
Download Telegram
Crucial #Support

Bitcoin is now trading just above $110.8k, the average cost basis of 1m-3m old investors who accumulated during the May–July rally to new ATHs.

Historically, failure to hold above this level has often led to multi-month market weakness and potential deeper corrections.

@TutorialBTC
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

The nearest strong #support #zone is the 100K–107K range, where the #STH Realized Price and SMA 200D intersect.

Below that is additional support around 92–93K, a deeper support level reflecting the cost basis of short-term investors who held coins for 3 to 6 months.

This will become a key second line of defense if the market loses the 100K–107K level.

@TutorialBTC
Bitcoin Vector

Closing above $112K is constructive, but the real battle lies at $113.6K and $115.6K.

Take those levels with strength and volume → and bulls are back in control. #Support@TutorialBTC

PS. Já limpou a liquidez acima. Agora é $108.8K.
Is Bitcoin in Value Territory? Key Charts to Watch in September 2025 #Support

via Bitcoin Magazine Pro
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

Bitcoin Realized Price (Cost Basis): #Support

- #STH Cost Basis (Realized Price) = $107.4K
- US #ETF Cost Basis (WAC by NAV) = $78.9K
- Strategy (#MSTR) Cost Basis = $73 527
- #LTH Cost Basis (Realized Price) = $35.6K
Swissblock

RT bitcoinvector: $BTC boxed in compression with $110K hardening into strong #resistance.

🔸Risk has stabilized; the Risk-Off signal hovers near the regime boundary.
🔸No higher peaks → downside pressure is de-escalating.

Trigger: daily close above $110K = relief and structure repair.

If not, compression likely persists: watch for rising Risk-Off readings as the warning of emerging destabilization. #Support
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr Set/04/2025

On the #monthly TF, BTC is at $110.7K and holding just above #STH Realized Price $107.6K (key monthly bull #support level).

Overall Realized Price is $52.8K and #LTH RP $35.6K price is significantly above both, confirming the structural uptrend.

#NUPL 0.53 broad profit regime, but below extremes of previous cycles.

Higher TF remains bullish but in repair phase: market is sensitive to profit-taking, key reference point is STH RP $107K.

Holding this zone will support the uptrend continuation scenario; there are no signs of final euphoria in NUPL yet, which leaves room for #cycle continuation after consolidation.
Swissblock

RT bitcoinvector: $BTC broke out of compression but is now retesting $110K.

Risk-Off Signal is drifting back toward high-risk regime—a warning sign as price wavers at key #support. 👇

https://xcancel.com/bitcoinvector/status/1962974811229171975
Bitcoin Vector #Support

Forget the breakout: what matters is what happens after compression breaks.

$BTC is now pushing to reclaim the prior range lows at $112K–$121K. A daily close above $112K would be highly significant.

The real test comes at $113.6K and $115.6K. If BTC establishes in that zone, a bullish reversal could be in play.

The structure favors the bulls: if momentum flips into the positive quadrant, the bulls will have fully regained control.

#KeepStacking Set/09/2025
Consolidation Range

Bitcoin is currently trading at $111.1k, stuck between the 0.85 and 0.94 quantile cost basis band #Support (104.1k–$114.1k).

This range historically marks post-euphoria consolidation. A break below signals further exhaustion, while a reclaim above $114k could mark renewed demand strength.

@TutorialBTC
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

When the price falls below the cost basis level of Short-Term Holders #STH, a discount effect is activated in the market - coins become cheaper than their average price and a real incentive to buy appears. #support
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

The price is trading with a minimal markup of 4% from the average purchase price of Short-Term Holders. The Fed rate cut itself #support's risk assets, but don't forget about volatility and buy the rumor/sell the news. If the discount becomes obvious, real demand for cheap coins will form in the market.

Currently, at a 15-20% markup, holders start dumping the market, while at the last ATH the markup was only 13%. This isn't January 2023 or 2024 when the markup reached 40% and coins were still being bought, because hodlers understood they could sell higher in the future.

Now when the market is in the mature phase of the bull cycle, obvious discounts are needed to create demand - there are no fools to buy at the very highs and get stuck underwater for 2.5 years.