ChartsBTC #Bottom to #Top vs. 4 & 8 Years Ago
RT BitcoinChartBot
Current Price: $107,398
Price 4 Years Ago: $31,598 (Scaled: $156,333)
Price 8 Years Ago: $2,502 (Scaled: $224,014)
as of 06/25/2025 $BTC
RT BitcoinChartBot
Current Price: $107,398
Price 4 Years Ago: $31,598 (Scaled: $156,333)
Price 8 Years Ago: $2,502 (Scaled: $224,014)
as of 06/25/2025 $BTC
Bitcoin will likely #bottom
in September.
I’m expecting BTC to form
a low between $94k-$100k,
making everyone believe
that $124k was the top and
then a massive breakout in
October #Q4 and $150k-$180k
by December 2025.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
in September.
I’m expecting BTC to form
a low between $94k-$100k,
making everyone believe
that $124k was the top and
then a massive breakout in
October #Q4 and $150k-$180k
by December 2025.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Raicher
Atualização #Indicador 7 Fases do #PiCycle.
Aproveitei e reajustei a posição dos números.
Vejam como estamos imitando a fase 4 Perfeitamente com esse dip Sub-média Inferior (Flechas Azuis).
Será que estamos caminhando para a fase 5, com rompimento da linha Verde (PiCycle #Bottom Average) e em seguida testaremos a resistência da média Superior?
#log
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Atualização #Indicador 7 Fases do #PiCycle.
Aproveitei e reajustei a posição dos números.
Vejam como estamos imitando a fase 4 Perfeitamente com esse dip Sub-média Inferior (Flechas Azuis).
Será que estamos caminhando para a fase 5, com rompimento da linha Verde (PiCycle #Bottom Average) e em seguida testaremos a resistência da média Superior?
#log
Por fim, numerei cada fase do comportamento do preço durante o PiCycle.
1 - Fundo abaixo da média Inferior
2 - Teste na média Superior acima da linha verde (fake out)
3 - Dip abaixo da média inferior (desespero)
4 - 2ª tentativa de ganhar a linha Verde (fake out)
5 - Ganhamos a linha Verde
6 - Ganhamos a média Superior
7 - PiCycle Top
Atualmente estamos na fase 4 tentando ganhar a linha Verde para subir pra fase 5. Não sei quando vamos chegar nela, nem quando vamos para a fase 6 e 7.
Temos um espaço enorme entre a média Inferior e Superior do PiCycle Top (58%), sugerindo que o topo ainda está LONGE daqui. #ATH@TutorialBTC
CryptoCon JAN/15/2026
Bitcoin data is clear, 80k was not a "#bear market #bottom."
The same traps that were set up in the last bear market for #FOMO investors are being put out in this one with different labels.
>> Rota Hodler
Bitcoin data is clear, 80k was not a "#bear market #bottom."
The same traps that were set up in the last bear market for #FOMO investors are being put out in this one with different labels.
>> Rota Hodler
CryptoCon #Cycle #4Years JAN/16/2026
If you're waiting on the downfall of the #Halving Cycles #Theory, good luck to you!
Here's HCT reinforced with #Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.
Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:
👍 Cycle #Bottom: November 2026 - January 2027
First Early Top: June - July 2027
Second Early Top: April - August 2028
First Cycle Top: January - June 2029
Cycle Top: October - December 2029
PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support SMA200.
⚡️ REVIEW
If you're waiting on the downfall of the #Halving Cycles #Theory, good luck to you!
Here's HCT reinforced with #Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.
Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:
👍 Cycle #Bottom: November 2026 - January 2027
First Early Top: June - July 2027
Second Early Top: April - August 2028
First Cycle Top: January - June 2029
Cycle Top: October - December 2029
PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support SMA200.
⚡️ REVIEW
⚠️Bitcoin has already fallen -37% from its all-time high.
This does not signal a market bottom, according to this metric.
In every major cycle, Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was completed.
📉 Historical drawdowns:
2011: -93%
2013–2015: -85%
2017–2018: -84%
2021–2022: -75%
📌 Historically, a -37% move represents only the early stage of the contraction phase.
As the market matures, drawdowns tend to become less severe — which is positive —
but they never disappear.
Statistically most likely zone for the #cycle #bottom (10/2025 - 10/2026)
➡️ -60% to -70%.
👇👇
>> F/F
This does not signal a market bottom, according to this metric.
In every major cycle, Bitcoin experienced much deeper drawdowns before the bearish phase was completed.
📉 Historical drawdowns:
2011: -93%
2013–2015: -85%
2017–2018: -84%
2021–2022: -75%
📌 Historically, a -37% move represents only the early stage of the contraction phase.
As the market matures, drawdowns tend to become less severe — which is positive —
but they never disappear.
Statistically most likely zone for the #cycle #bottom (10/2025 - 10/2026)
➡️ -60% to -70%.
👇👇
>> F/F
CryptoCon JUN/15/2026
#Calendar The collective consensus amongst crypto X seems to be that the #cycle #bottom is in. That alone gets me pretty disinterested in looking for the low here.
Of course, the bear market according to the Havling Cycles Theory is not over until November 2026 - January 2027.
It is no surprise that "this time is different" is coming back up. This time, the plausible story is data interpretation.
A potential bullish divergence is forming on Weekly RSI, just like November 2022. Some metrics are bottoming out. From my perspective, most have not.
So, I will once again take the contrarian position during this bounce and say the cycle bottom is not in.
The opportunity I'm looking for is the trifecta of psychology, data positioning, and cycle position.
#Calendar The collective consensus amongst crypto X seems to be that the #cycle #bottom is in. That alone gets me pretty disinterested in looking for the low here.
Of course, the bear market according to the Havling Cycles Theory is not over until November 2026 - January 2027.
It is no surprise that "this time is different" is coming back up. This time, the plausible story is data interpretation.
A potential bullish divergence is forming on Weekly RSI, just like November 2022. Some metrics are bottoming out. From my perspective, most have not.
So, I will once again take the contrarian position during this bounce and say the cycle bottom is not in.
The opportunity I'm looking for is the trifecta of psychology, data positioning, and cycle position.