Know what you want to see,
Where you want to see it,
When you want to see it.
The rest is patience.
β
@trading
Where you want to see it,
When you want to see it.
The rest is patience.
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β€64π10π―8π₯3
An unknown trader bought $12M worth of S&P 500 call options just hours before Trump announced a ceasefire on Tuesday.
The position:
6,800 SPX 6950 calls (expiring May 8), opened when the index was at 6556.
After the announcement, equities jumped.
The trade turned into ~$35M, locking in about $23M profit in a single day.
At the same time, someone dumped ~8,600 lots of Brent and WTI futures worth ~$950M ahead of the news.
Oil dropped 15%, falling below $100 per barrel.
This isnβt the first time.
On March 23, traders sold ~$500M in oil futures just 15 minutes before Trump announced a delay in strikes on Iranβs energy infrastructure.
Same reaction: oil down ~15%.
Same pattern: positioning before headlines.
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U.S. core CPI increased 2.6% year-over-year, also below the 2.7% estimate.
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US warships are being rearmed in the event negotiations collapse.
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The stock is now down 22% over the past four days.
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π₯30β€21π7π«‘3
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He opened a trading account at 16 by 20, Goldman Sachs hired him.
Give him your time and watch carefully.
β
@trading
Give him your time and watch carefully.
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β€58π27π6π―3π2
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Understand this short video from Rande Howell and your trading will become measurably better.
βYou donβt MAKE things happen in Trading.β
β
@trading
βYou donβt MAKE things happen in Trading.β
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β€72π18π₯6π2π―1
If you find that you lack discipline and keep taking low quality trades out of boredom, have you ever tried acting like a fucking professional?
β
@trading
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Trump is looking at resuming "limited military strikes" in Iran in addition to the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, per WSJ
β
@trading
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π’28β€16π11π4
The week is centered around inflation signals and Fed communication. At the same time, the main driver remains the Iran conflict and tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Oil is already reacting, and that feeds directly into inflation and market sentiment, often overriding macro data.
β March Existing Home Sales
This shows housing demand under current rates. It reflects how sensitive consumers are to financing conditions.
β March PPI Inflation data
Producer prices give an early signal of inflation pressure and can shape expectations ahead of CPI and Fed decisions.
β Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
β Initial Jobless Claims
The Philly Fed index gives a read on manufacturing activity. Jobless claims provide a fast signal on labor market conditions.
β Multiple Fed speakers
A busy week of Fed commentary. Markets will watch for any shift in tone, especially with oil rising and inflation risks building.
Main focus: Iran headlines and oil, with macro data playing a secondary role.
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A trader ended up with a physical position and now has to take delivery of 2000 barrels from the Cushing terminal in Oklahoma before April 14.
They were offered two options: rent tanker trucks or arrange pipeline transport to move the oil.
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