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The hardest part of this game is not finding the edge.
It is believing in the edge during the exact stretch where it stops working.
Every edge has a drawdown shaped exactly like the reason you would quit.
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It is believing in the edge during the exact stretch where it stops working.
Every edge has a drawdown shaped exactly like the reason you would quit.
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Traders in the oil market used to track "physical flows" for trading decisions, but now they follow Trump's tweets, says the head of commodity markets at hedge fund Citadel.
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Meanwhile, a US delegation has arrived in Pakistan.
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The Semiconductor Index, $SOX, has surged for 14 consecutive trading sessions, marking the second-longest winning streak in its history. The index is poised to surpass its record 15-day streak set in 2014.
During this run, $SOX has gained +34.4%, representing the strongest 14-day performance since 2002. The semiconductor index relative to the S&P 500 has reached 1.35, an all-time high.
This ratio is now 42% above the peak of 0.95 seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a significant surge.
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When asked about the conflict, Trump said, "I have all the time in the world."
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Unknown parties placed a $760 million short bet on oil 20 minutes before the announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open. This follows a pattern of insider trades linked to key geopolitical events involving Trump and Iran.
On March 23, there was a $500 million short position taken just 15 minutes before Trump postponed strikes on Iran, after which oil prices dropped by 15%. On April 7, a $950 million short was placed hours before a US-Iran ceasefire.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is currently investigating these suspicious trades.
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BofA reports that its clients (large funds) are selling the rally in US stocks as the SP500 hits record highs.
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Trade Watcher
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This morning, Trump said he expected talks to start as soon as Friday.
Its so over.
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The volume of announced and authorized buybacks in US stocks has already broken the historical record this year, according to Goldman.
Buybacks have been the main growth drivers of the SP500 since 2011.
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Buybacks have been the main growth drivers of the SP500 since 2011.
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