Scrooge McDuck: Becoming rich isn't about saving money, it's about multiplying money.

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⚡ JUST IN: Iran has declined to participate in the second round of negotiations with the US, according to Iranian state media.

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⚡ JUST IN: Trump says the US Navy struck an Iranian ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz, and US Marines have taken full custody of the vessel.

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Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz has completely stopped, with traffic at zero, according to BBG.

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⚡ JUST IN: Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters spokesperson says the armed forces will take necessary action against the “terrorist American army.”

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⚠️ Key Events This Week

🔴 US–Iran headlines

The situation around Iran remains the main driver. Any updates on negotiations, escalation, or actions around the Strait of Hormuz can move oil instantly and shift market sentiment.

Nothing else matter.

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⚡ JUST IN: The Trump administration will start refunding $166 billion in tariffs.

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❕ Money market funds saw record outflows of $172.2 billion last week.

This outflow is 320% above the average April weekly outflow of $41 billion over the past four years. The four-week moving average of withdrawals dropped to $30.0 billion, the largest since early 2024.

Some of the withdrawn funds moved into other assets, with $11.3 billion flowing into equity funds and $7.9 billion into bond funds. Gold and crypto funds each attracted $1.2 billion in inflows.

The outflows were likely influenced by tax-related cash withdrawals, as April typically sees increased cash movements for tax payments.

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⚡ JUST IN: Trump warns that "lots of bombs will start going off" if the US-Iran ceasefire expires without a deal.

The US-Iran ceasefire is set to expire in two days.

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ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini neural networks have stopped working worldwide, with ChatGPT and CodeX failing first, followed by Gemini and now Claude.

The cause of the outage is currently unknown.

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⚡ JUST IN: Iran will send a negotiating team to Pakistan on Tuesday for the second round of talks with the US.

The US delegation, led by Vice President JD Vance, is arriving in Pakistan for the discussions.

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⚡ JUST IN: Trump releases a statement on the deal reportedly being made with Iran.

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⚡ JUST IN: Amazon will invest $5 billion in Anthropic today, with up to $20 billion more pending.

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⚡ JUST IN: Apple is replacing CEO Tim Cook with Senior VP of Hardware Engineering, John Ternus.

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Traders in the oil market used to track "physical flows" for trading decisions, but now they follow Trump's tweets, says the head of commodity markets at hedge fund Citadel.

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⚡ JUST IN: Trump says Iran has violated the ceasefire multiple times.

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⚡ JUST IN: Iran has officially denied that any delegation has arrived in Pakistan for negotiations with the US, calling reports of such talks "baseless" and "fabricated."

Meanwhile, a US delegation has arrived in Pakistan.

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📈 Historic Rally in US Semiconductor Stocks

The Semiconductor Index, $SOX, has surged for 14 consecutive trading sessions, marking the second-longest winning streak in its history. The index is poised to surpass its record 15-day streak set in 2014.

During this run, $SOX has gained +34.4%, representing the strongest 14-day performance since 2002. The semiconductor index relative to the S&P 500 has reached 1.35, an all-time high.

This ratio is now 42% above the peak of 0.95 seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a significant surge.

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