Trade Watcher
JUST IN: Massive U.S. airstrikes against military targets in Caracas, Venezuela. Dozens of U.S. helicopters are flying above the Venezuelan capital city. β
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β€34π18π10π9π₯3
The last 12 hours have been absolutely insane:
1οΈβ£ 10:30 PM ET: Chinese officials arrive in Venezuela to meet with President Maduro
2οΈβ£ 1:15 AM ET: Unexpected airstrikes in Venezuela begin
3οΈβ£ 2:40 AM ET: President Trump confirms he has ordered strikes
4οΈβ£ 4:20 AM ET: President Trump says the US has CAPTURED President Maduro and his wife
5οΈβ£ 7:25 AM ET: President Maduro and his wife are indicted in Southern District of New York
President Maduro has now been charged and is on US oil.
This all started just 6 hours after markets closed for the week.
Monday will be interesting to say the least.
β
@trading
President Maduro has now been charged and is on US oil.
This all started just 6 hours after markets closed for the week.
Monday will be interesting to say the least.
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β€30π18π6
Just 5 hours ago, Chinese officials arrived in Venezuela for talks with President Maduro.
4 hours later, the US launched large airstrikes on Venezuela's capital in a major escalation.
β
@trading
4 hours later, the US launched large airstrikes on Venezuela's capital in a major escalation.
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β€39π19π€―9π6π€1
Trade Watcher
Donald Trump claimed that Venezuelan president NicolΓ‘s Maduro has been captured. β
@trading
Exactly 36 years ago, on January 3, 1990, the U.S. carried out a similar operation.
The target then was Manuel Noriega, Panamaβs president, captured during Operation Just Cause and the U.S. invasion of Panama.
Like NicolΓ‘s Maduro today, Noriega was accused of aiding drug trafficking.
β
@trading
The target then was Manuel Noriega, Panamaβs president, captured during Operation Just Cause and the U.S. invasion of Panama.
Like NicolΓ‘s Maduro today, Noriega was accused of aiding drug trafficking.
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β€39π€18π9π2
This is absolutely insane:
Venezuela currently has 303 billion barrels of crude oil reserves, which Trump says the US now controls.
Oil prices are trading at ~$57/barrel, making Venezuela's total reserves worth $17.3 TRILLION.
Even if the US sells this oil for HALF of the market rate, that's still $8.7 TRILLION.
In other words, in 12 hours, the US has gained control of oil reserves worth more than the entire GDP of ALL countries in the world, aside from the US and China.
That's 4 TIMES larger than the GDP of Japan.
Most people do not realize how much the world just changed.
Oil markets will react to this news for the first time on Sunday at 6 PM ET.
The next few days will be critical.
β
@trading
Venezuela currently has 303 billion barrels of crude oil reserves, which Trump says the US now controls.
Oil prices are trading at ~$57/barrel, making Venezuela's total reserves worth $17.3 TRILLION.
Even if the US sells this oil for HALF of the market rate, that's still $8.7 TRILLION.
In other words, in 12 hours, the US has gained control of oil reserves worth more than the entire GDP of ALL countries in the world, aside from the US and China.
That's 4 TIMES larger than the GDP of Japan.
Most people do not realize how much the world just changed.
Oil markets will react to this news for the first time on Sunday at 6 PM ET.
The next few days will be critical.
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β€80π±18π14π€7π6π€―5π―5
You spend the first 2 years trying to learn everything, and the next 3 years trying to forget it all so you can trade simply.
β
@trading
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β€69π―24π5π€4π₯1π1
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π75β€19π―7π3
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π46β€10π―4π1
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π49π₯25π20β€16π€―6π―3π2π2π³2
Most of your losses donβt come from being wrong, they come from trading when thereβs nothing to do.
β
@trading
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β€67π14π₯5π―2π1π€1
Markets head into the first full trading week of the year with a heavy US data slate and CES in focus.
Rates, USD, and equities will take cues from labor and services data, while tech sentiment may be driven by headlines out of Las Vegas.
β US market open
Weekend headlines may lead to gaps and higher volatility at the open. Oil prices moved lower, which can support risk assets, so equities may see a positive start to the week.
β US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Early read on industrial demand. Above 50 supports growth and USD. Below raises slowdown concerns.
β ADP Employment Report
Private payrolls preview ahead of NFP.
β ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Key signal for services, inflation pressure, and Fed expectations.
β US Trade Balance
β Initial Jobless Claims
Labor stress check going into NFP.
β Non-Farm Payrolls (Dec)
Consensus around 150kβ200k. Any deviation can move stocks, bonds, and FX fast.
β Michigan Consumer Sentiment (prelim)
Tracks confidence and inflation expectations.
Potential catalysts for NVDA, AMD, and AI-linked names.
Despite geopolitical headlines around Venezuela, risk appetite remains firm. If the situation stays contained, US markets may open green, with tech and higher beta assets leading early flows.
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β€31π―5π1
JUST IN: Copper prices have extended gains to reach a new record high, rising 4.5% on the day.
@trading
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β€19π₯10π2π―2
Trade Watcher
The last 12 hours have been absolutely insane: 1οΈβ£ 10:30 PM ET: Chinese officials arrive in Venezuela to meet with President Maduro 2οΈβ£ 1:15 AM ET: Unexpected airstrikes in Venezuela begin 3οΈβ£ 2:40 AM ET: President Trump confirms he has ordered strikesβ¦
US Oil Stocks React To Venezuela:
π‘ Chevron, $CVX: +11%
π‘ Valero, $VLO: +11%
π‘ ConocoPhillips, $COP: +10%
π‘ Marathon, $MPC: +10%
π‘ Exxon Mobil, $XOM: +7%
π‘ Phillips 66, $PSX: +6%
π‘ Occidental Petroleum, $OXY: +4%
π‘ EOG Resources, $EOG: +4%
π‘ Devon Energy, $DVN: +4%
π‘ Kinder Morgan, $KMI: +3%
These stocks have now added +$100 BILLION in market cap on the news President Maduro being captured by the US.
US big oil has won again.
β
@trading
These stocks have now added +$100 BILLION in market cap on the news President Maduro being captured by the US.
US big oil has won again.
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β€23π12π5π₯5π€―1
Trade Watcher
β US market open
Weekend headlines may lead to gaps and higher volatility at the open. Oil prices moved lower, which can support risk assets, so equities may see a positive start to the week.
Weekend headlines may lead to gaps and higher volatility at the open. Oil prices moved lower, which can support risk assets, so equities may see a positive start to the week.
US stock market indices open sharply higher in their initial reaction to this weekend's events.
The S&P 500 is back above 6,900.
β
@trading
The S&P 500 is back above 6,900.
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β€16π₯4π3π2
JUST IN: The Venezuelan government has issued an emergency decree ordering police to locate and arrest individuals involved in supporting a U.S. attack.
@trading
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π29β€18π9π8π―1
JUST IN: Bitcoin has surged above $94,000, with leveraged short liquidations exceeding $200 million today. The cryptocurrency has risen nearly $6,000 since Friday night.
@trading
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π13β€7π₯7π1
TRUMP: βWE NEED GREENLANDβ
Kalshi markets now price a 31% chance that the US takes control of part of Greenland after Donald Trump said the issue could be revisited for national security reasons, citing Russian and Chinese presence and claiming EU understanding.
Do you think the US will actually take Greenland?
π Yes | π No
β
@trading
Kalshi markets now price a 31% chance that the US takes control of part of Greenland after Donald Trump said the issue could be revisited for national security reasons, citing Russian and Chinese presence and claiming EU understanding.
Do you think the US will actually take Greenland?
π Yes | π No
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π142π80β€11π3π€―3π€2π₯1
Most of you always try to find a reason why a certain trade ended up being a loss.
You keep adapting your system based on one single trade outcome.
Thatβs why you struggle with finding consistency.
Even your A+ setups will lose, accept it and move on.
β
@trading
You keep adapting your system based on one single trade outcome.
Thatβs why you struggle with finding consistency.
Even your A+ setups will lose, accept it and move on.
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β€49π―8π4π₯3π2
A recently created anonymous account on Polymarket placed a $34,000 bet that China will invade Taiwan before year end.
Last week, another anonymous account placed a $34,000 bet on the capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro before the end of January.
That bet paid out, with roughly $320,000 in profit.
Hard to call this coincidence.
β
@trading
Last week, another anonymous account placed a $34,000 bet on the capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro before the end of January.
That bet paid out, with roughly $320,000 in profit.
Hard to call this coincidence.
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β€14π€9π₯6π€―3