📰 TIME shows Trump under pressure from Iran conflict

TIME released a cover depicting Trump searching for a way out of the war with Iran, framing the situation as a conflict he failed to fully explain to the public.

The piece highlights that the war lacked a clear mandate and now puts his campaign promises at risk.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The US economy added 178,000 jobs in March, well above the expected 65,000.

The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, below the forecast of 4.4%.

This is the largest monthly job gain since March 2025.

The report shows a much stronger labor market than expected amid the Iran War.

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When it hurts, remember there are people who put $1B on oil going down.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran has officially informed mediators that it is unwilling to meet U.S. officials in Islamabad in the coming days and that U.S. demands are unacceptable.

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🐋 Polymarket whale doubles down on Iran bet

A trader who already made over $800K on Iran-related markets is back.

This time, he placed more than $500K on US troops entering Iran before April 30, with a potential payout above $800K.

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More information or confluences don’t make you a better trader.

It usually makes decision-making harder.

What you need is not more inputs.

You need better filters.

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A large formation of US Air Force C-17 transport planes is crossing the Atlantic en route to the Middle East.

A second wave is currently over Europe, heading toward the eastern Mediterranean.

The C-17s are carrying troops, heavy equipment, and armored vehicles.

This is the largest visible air troop movement since the start of the war.

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POV: Banks and hedge funds watching you draw lines on TradingView thinking you’ll be a millionaire.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Iran has 48 hours left to reach a deal before "real hell" begins.

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When you finally become a profitable trader.

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Star Wars 😂

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Trading can make you go crazy bro

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump demands reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump announced he will hold a news conference with the US Military at 1 PM ET tomorrow, just three hours after his “48 hour warning” to Iran expires.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says he believes he can "get a deal with Iran" by Monday and that Iran is "negotiating now."

He also says he is considering "blowing everything up" and "taking Iranian oil" if Iran does not make a deal "fast."

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament responds to Trump’s statement this morning:

“Your reckless moves are dragging the United States into a living HELL for every single family, and our whole region is going to burn because you insist on following Netanyahu’s commands. The only real solution is respecting the rights of the Iranian people and ending this dangerous game,”.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump appears to have moved the "48 hour deadline" on Iran to Tuesday at 8 PM ET, extending it by 34 hours from the original deadline.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US, Iran, and regional mediators are discussing terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war.

Negotiations are happening through Pakistani, Egyptian, and Turkish mediators, as well as text messages exchanged between Trump’s envoy Witkoff and Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi.

Sources say the chances of reaching a partial deal within the next 48 hours are slim.

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The most difficult part of trading is the work you have to do on yourself.

And no one else can do that but you.

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⚠️ Key Events This Week

This week is stacked with inflation data and Fed signals. CPI and PCE both land within 24 hours, which puts rate expectations in focus. At the same time, Trump’s Iran deadline adds geopolitical risk, with oil already feeding into inflation and market sentiment.

🟡 Monday

● ISM Services PMI

This shows the strength of the US service sector. Strong data supports growth, while weakness signals slowing demand.

🔴 Tuesday

● Trump’s Iran Deadline

This is pure headline risk. Any escalation can move oil quickly and spill into inflation expectations and risk sentiment.

🔴 Wednesday

● Fed FOMC Minutes

Markets will look for details behind the last Fed decision. The focus is on how concerned the Fed is about inflation and whether rate cuts are being pushed out.

🔴 Thursday

● Core PCE Inflation data
● Q4 GDP
● Initial Jobless Claims

A heavy macro day. PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, GDP shows growth momentum, and claims give a fresh read on the labor market.

🔴 Friday

● US CPI Inflation
● Consumer Sentiment

CPI is the key release of the week and the first to reflect the recent oil shock. It will directly impact rate expectations and market direction.

Main focus: Thursday–Friday inflation data and Trump’s Iran deadline, with oil as the key transmission channel.

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