40% of Russia's oil export capacity has been shut down following widespread Ukrainian drone attacks.

Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.

17% of QatarEnergy operations have been halted.

Energy crisis is getting worse only.

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Trump reveals the "very big present" which he says Iran gifted to the US on March 24th.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump announces a 10-day pause in the "period of energy plant destruction" in Iran, extending the delay until April 6th.

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London-based hedge fund Caxton Associates is down more than $1.3B in March. The fund run by Andrew Law dropped about 15% after betting on UK rate cuts and a rise in gold.

The Iran conflict flipped both trades. Gilt yields jumped to 2008 highs, while gold fell around 15% since the war began.

Even large funds get caught on the wrong side when the macro shifts fast.
So don’t stress over a -5% on a virtual prop account.

This was a tough month across the board.

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🚨 UBS halted withdrawals on a $469 million real estate fund for up to 3 years.

Translation: “Sorry, we don’t have your money.”

This is how it starts.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump and senior White House officials have been informed that Iran's counter-proposal to the US peace plan will be announced today, according to CBS News.

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S&P 500 Loses $4.5 Trillion Since Iran War Began

Too much winning

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How crude oil is extracted from the ground

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Japan sending help to open Strait of Hormuz 😂

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⚡️ JUST IN: US prepares for possible ground invasion into Iran

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Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament accused the US of publicly promoting negotiations while secretly planning a ground attack.

He stated that Iran’s armed forces are prepared and waiting for the US to arrive.

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Traders trying to predict the market

The market:

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When someone tries to rob a crypto bro who’s already down, -90% this year.

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⚠️ Key Events This Week

The week is centered around US labor and consumer data. At the same time, the main driver remains the Iran conflict, now in its fourth week. Oil prices are already pushing higher and feeding into inflation and sentiment, which puts the Fed in a difficult position between rising prices and slowing growth

🔴 Monday

● Fed Chair Powell Speaks

Markets will watch for any shift in tone. With oil rising and uncertainty elevated, Powell’s comments on inflation and policy path can move rates and the dollar.

🟡 Tuesday

● March Consumer Confidence
● February JOLTS Job Openings

Confidence reflects how consumers react to higher energy prices. JOLTS shows labor demand. Together they give a read on whether the economy is holding up or starting to slow.

🔴 Wednesday

● March ADP Nonfarm Employment
● March Retail Sales

ADP gives an early signal ahead of the official jobs report. Retail sales show real consumer spending, which is key as higher fuel costs start to pressure demand.

🟡 Thursday

● Initial Jobless Claims

A fresh read on the labor market. Rising claims point to cooling conditions, while stable data supports continued strength in employment.

🔴 Friday

● March Jobs Report

The main macro release of the week. This will confirm whether the labor market is weakening or still holding. It directly impacts Fed expectations and market direction.

Main focus: Friday’s jobs report and Iran headlines, with oil driving the macro backdrop.

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