⚡️ JUST IN: The US Pentagon has asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, per the Washington Post.

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⚡️ JUST IN: France, Germany, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan say they are ready to join efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran strikes Israel’s largest oil refinery in Haifa.

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🧠 Why most traders quit

CME floor trader Lewis Borsellino explains why trading is different from any normal job.

You can work all week, do everything right, and still get paid nothing. That pressure is what most people can’t handle.

It’s not about being smart. It’s about handling losses and still showing up.

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⚡️Energy markets break apart as global prices diverge

US crude is now trading at a $20+ discount to Brent, one of the widest gaps on record, while physical oil in Oman is priced above $150 per barrel.

At the same time, European natural gas jumped another +30% in a day, pushing the region deeper into an energy squeeze as the US ramps up production and taps reserves.

❗️ US vs Oman oil spread near $70 per barrel
❗️ European gas surging sharply again
❗️ Market now pricing 2 rate hikes in 2026 for Europe
❗️ US rate cuts largely priced out as Core PPI hits highest since Feb 2023

Energy is pulling macro in opposite directions across regions, and policy expectations are shifting fast.

That kind of divergence usually doesn’t stay quiet for long.

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😮‍💨 The Economist: Trump’s Iran conflict is backfiring

The Economist released a new cover story titled “Operation Blind Fury”, arguing that Trump’s military move against Iran is weakening his position.

The longer the conflict drags on, the more it erodes his key political advantages and puts additional pressure on the White House.

War is starting to cost more politically than it gains.

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“If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed. If you do read it, you’re misinformed.”

- Denzel Washington

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🗣️ Trump over the last 36 hours:

Friday, 3:40 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran."

Friday, 5:15 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran.

Today, 2:00 PM ET: Axios reports Trump is planning "peace talks."

⚡️ Now: "If Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will obliterate Iran's power plants."

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⚠️ Key Events This Week

The week is centered around growth and inflation expectations, but the main driver remains the conflict around Iran. Oil is the key channel, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum tied to the Strait of Hormuz.

🔴 Tuesday

● March S&P Global Services PMI data

This shows how strong the service sector is right now. Strong data supports growth, while weaker numbers point to slowing demand.

🔴 Wednesday

● US Crude Oil Inventory data

This reflects supply and demand in the oil market. Large changes can move oil prices and shift inflation expectations.

🟡 Thursday

● Initial Jobless Claims data

A fast read on the labor market. Rising claims suggest cooling conditions, while stable data supports a stronger economy.

🟡Friday

● March MI Consumer Sentiment data
● March MI Inflation Expectations data

Sentiment shows how consumers view the economy. Inflation expectations matter because they influence spending and Fed policy outlook.

Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI data and Iran headlines, with oil as the key transmission channel.

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⚡️ BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Trump says Iran and US had productive conversations.

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