Fed Chair Powell getting ready to keep interest rates unchanged at today's FOMC meeting despite World War 3 popping off in the Middle East.

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The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates at 3.50%–3.75%.

All eyes are now on Powell’s speech in 30 minutes.

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Powell: Inflation could go higher in the near-term

Powell: No rate cuts until Fed sees inflation progress

This is hawkish language.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The US Pentagon has asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, per the Washington Post.

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⚡️ JUST IN: France, Germany, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan say they are ready to join efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran strikes Israel’s largest oil refinery in Haifa.

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🧠 Why most traders quit

CME floor trader Lewis Borsellino explains why trading is different from any normal job.

You can work all week, do everything right, and still get paid nothing. That pressure is what most people can’t handle.

It’s not about being smart. It’s about handling losses and still showing up.

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⚡️Energy markets break apart as global prices diverge

US crude is now trading at a $20+ discount to Brent, one of the widest gaps on record, while physical oil in Oman is priced above $150 per barrel.

At the same time, European natural gas jumped another +30% in a day, pushing the region deeper into an energy squeeze as the US ramps up production and taps reserves.

❗️ US vs Oman oil spread near $70 per barrel
❗️ European gas surging sharply again
❗️ Market now pricing 2 rate hikes in 2026 for Europe
❗️ US rate cuts largely priced out as Core PPI hits highest since Feb 2023

Energy is pulling macro in opposite directions across regions, and policy expectations are shifting fast.

That kind of divergence usually doesn’t stay quiet for long.

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😮‍💨 The Economist: Trump’s Iran conflict is backfiring

The Economist released a new cover story titled “Operation Blind Fury”, arguing that Trump’s military move against Iran is weakening his position.

The longer the conflict drags on, the more it erodes his key political advantages and puts additional pressure on the White House.

War is starting to cost more politically than it gains.

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“If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed. If you do read it, you’re misinformed.”

- Denzel Washington

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