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πŸ“ˆWe track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives.
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To stop overtrading you have to reprogram your mind to not associate productivity with activity.

Most of you overtrade because you’re uncomfortable doing nothing.

You can’t sit on your hands.



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πŸ’° Buffett’s $382B Cash Pile

Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on about $382 billion in cash and Treasuries. That’s the biggest corporate cash reserve in U.S. history.

Why so big?

Berkshire’s businesses keep generating massive profits, and Buffett hasn’t found enough attractive deals. At the same time, he’s been selling stocks for eight straight quarters, including cutting Apple by roughly 75% and trimming Bank of America and others. He also slowed share buybacks.

The reason is simple: valuations look high. Buffett would rather hold cash than overpay.

He’s done this before. Before the dot-com crash. Before the 2008 crisis. Before the 2022 bear market. Each time, he built cash when markets were expensive and deployed it when fear created discounts.

The $382B isn’t hesitation. It’s dry powder.


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Trade Watcher
Nvidia, $NVDA, reports earnings after close. πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com βœ… @trading
$NVDA sinks at the open despite a Q4 earnings beat and optimistic guidance.


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JUST IN: PayPal stock, $PYPL, crashes as Semafor reports that the company is not currently in talks with Stripe.


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Forwarded from Quant Signals Free
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⚑️ We’re adding another tool to the Quant Signals ecosystem

Tomorrow, we’re releasing a lightweight MT5 position size manager.

No more manual lot calculations.
Just place your entry and stop lines on the chart, set your risk, and the EA automatically calculates the correct lot size.

We’ve also implemented partial TP functionality, something that isn’t available natively in MetaTrader.

Clean. Fast. No spreadsheets.

🫢 Premium members receive the app for free as part of their membership.

⚑️ Subscribe to get full access
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You need to be taking more risks.

Life is a game, and if you play with 0 risk and take the absolutely safe path 100% of the time, then 100% of the time you will lose to someone who is even 1-5% better who is doing the exact same thing.

But luckily life is kind of like poker in the sense that you can have a good hand and still lose, or a bad hand and still win.

So take risks.



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JUST IN: πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The U.S. Treasury bought back $745M of its own debt, bringing total buybacks this week to over $2.7B


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🚨 We just saw the first major layoff directly because of AI

Twitter founder Jack Dorsey laid off 4,000 people, 40% of the company’s headcount to go all in on AI and agentic workflows.

After the announcement, Block stock $XYZ surged 23% in 60 minutes, adding nearly $6 billion to its market cap.

Jack said what every CEO knows but won’t admit: β€œAI paired with smaller teams is enabling a new way of working. And that’s accelerating rapidly.”

The new math after AI is brutal:
100 people + AI = 1,000 people



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Trade Watcher
πŸ”΄ Friday

- January PPI Inflation data

PPI feeds into future CPI expectations and margin pressure assumptions. Core components matter most for rate pricing.
BREAKING:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US CORE PPI: 3.6%

EXPECTATIONS: 3%


This means inflation at the producer level is running above forecasts, which can signal persistent price pressures in the pipeline.

Higher PPI increases the risk that the Fed keeps rates elevated for longer.


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JUST IN: $650 billion has been added to precious metals in the past 3 hours as US-Iran situation is escalating.


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Forwarded from Venture Capital
Just In: OpenAI raises $110 billion at a $730 billion valuation.

βœ”οΈ Subscribe on @venture
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🚨 Middle East tensions escalate

Sweden and Germany have urged their citizens to leave Iran.
India is calling on its nationals to leave immediately.
The UK is evacuating personnel from Iran.
The US is evacuating its citizens from Iraq.

Meanwhile, DXY remains in consolidation.
The spring is tightening.



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JUST IN: Cancellation of flights from Istanbul to Iran tonight


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🎞 Top 12 Movies About Trading

These are the 12 best trading movies ever made, ranked by popularity and entertainment value.

πŸ“Š The Big Short (2015)

My all-time favorite. It follows a group of traders who bet against the U.S. housing bubble and made billions when it collapsed.

πŸ“Š Wall Street (1987)

A classic story about insider trading, greed, and the dark side of finance.

πŸ“Š Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (2010)

Gordon Gekko returns during the 2008 crisis. A modern take on market excess and redemption.

πŸ“Š Trading Places (1983)

A comedy where commodity traders attempt a bizarre social experiment by turning a street hustler into a market player.

πŸ“Š Margin Call (2011)

A tense drama set inside an investment bank during the early hours of the 2008 financial crisis.

πŸ“Š Floored (2009)

A documentary about Chicago floor traders and how electronic trading changed their world.

πŸ“Š Boiler Room (2000)

A look inside a high-pressure penny stock brokerage selling worthless shares to unsuspecting investors.

πŸ“Š The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)

Based on Jordan Belfort’s memoir. A wild, over-the-top story of fraud, excess, and manipulation in the penny stock world.

πŸ“Š Rogue Trader (1999)

The true story of Nick Leeson, whose unauthorized trades bankrupted Barings Bank.

πŸ“Š Too Big to Fail (2011)

A behind-the-scenes look at the 2008 financial meltdown and the government response.

πŸ“Š Dumb Money (2023)

The GameStop saga. Retail traders versus Wall Street, sparked by Keith Gill’s online posts.

πŸ“Š The Wizard of Lies (2017)

A movie about the fall of the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme that robbed $65 billion from its investors. The story of the largest fraud in the history of the U.S.


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Iran and Israel have both closed their airports.

Israel has declared a state of emergency.

Bitcoin has fallen on the news.



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