The trader who loves getting better at trading will always beat the trader who wants to get rich.


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‼️ Large US Bankruptcies Spike to Pandemic Levels

9 large US companies filed for bankruptcy last week.

The 3 week average now stands at 6, the highest since 2020. At least 18 firms with liabilities of $50M+ have gone bankrupt over the past 3 weeks.

Historically, only the post-2001 slowdown, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2020 pandemic saw higher readings.

The peak this century was a 3 week average of 9 in 2009.


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Politicians vs. Average Person’s Net Worth.


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Hedge fund manager addresses his clients after $150,000,000 loss.


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Underrated trading skill:

Catching tilt early and knowing when to step away.

One emotional session can undo months of solid work in a handful of bad trades.

Discipline isn’t just entries. It’s knowing when you’re not fit to play.


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The US collected a record $288 billion in customs duties over the last 12 months, which was over 3x higher than what was collected in the 12 months prior ($82 billion).

Who is paying this tax?


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⚠️ US CPI in 1 Hour

📊 Core inflation is expected at 0.3% month over month, slightly higher than last month.

📊 Headline inflation is seen at 0.3% month over month, unchanged.

📊 Year over year CPI is expected at 2.5%, down from 2.7%.

If inflation comes in hotter, yields and the dollar can rise while risk assets pull back.
If it cools, markets may price in easier Fed policy.

How does the market react?
👍 Up
👎 Down


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Headline CPI came in below expectations both m/m and y/y, pointing to easing price pressure. Core CPI matched forecasts, though it accelerated compared to the previous month.

Overall, the data is moderately positive for markets and may reinforce expectations of a softer Fed policy path.


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📈 A Practical Way to Eliminate Overtrading

Overtrading is rarely a discipline problem. It’s a structure problem.

When your rules are vague, your brain fills the gaps. The chart “looks good.” The move “feels strong.” You convince yourself it fits. That’s where most bad trades come from.

Here’s what actually works.

📊 Turn every rule into a clear yes or no

Your setup must be a checklist, not a feeling.
You should be able to look at a chart and decide quickly if it fits. If you need to debate it, it’s not your trade.

📊 Reduce exposure to random charts

The more you scan, the more “opportunities” you see.
Limit your watchlist to what you truly trade.
Check the market at predefined times.
Let alerts bring you to the chart instead of staring at it all day.

Less stimulus means fewer impulse entries.

📊 Add friction before execution

Before entering, write down:
Which rule is this trade following?
Where is the invalidation?
What is the target?

If you can’t answer clearly, you don’t click.
That short pause filters out a surprising number of garbage trades.

📊 Automate where possible

If your rules are clear enough, parts of the process can be automated.
Alerts, conditional orders, partial system execution.
The less you rely on emotion at the moment of entry, the fewer unnecessary trades you take.

Overtrading dies when the system becomes boring.
Boring is where money is made.

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Every successful investment strategy really comes down to two things:

1. Let your winners run
2. Cut your losers short

It’s simple to say but very hard to do.


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Always take profit before the screenshot


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"Money has no utility to me. Time has utility to me."

~ Warren Buffett


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The ability to do nothing is something.

Take notes


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After 2–3 years of trading, you’ll figure it out.

The hardest part of the trading skill is doing nothing.


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These are the quants you’re competing against in China.


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You don’t need perfect conditions to move forward.

You need consistency and intent.

Everything else is optional.

What’s your excuse?


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While we wait for the new week to kick off, we took a look at the crypto market.

$HYPE stands out. Price action is clearly stronger than most of the board.

The October 10 liquidation low was taken. Since that sweep, buyers have been in control.

The push toward the $52 range high looks programmed. The only real question is execution.

The idea is not just to buy a pullback, but to localize the entry on lower timeframes around the $26.5 area. That’s where the risk can be tightened and the upside maximized.

If the setup forms, the signal will be posted in premium channel.

🫶 Have a good weekend

trading is a j-curve business


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Your biggest trading flex isn’t a green day.

It’s taking consecutive small losses without revenge trading.

That’s elite execution.


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⚠️ Key Events This Week

Holiday-shortened week, but the real driver is inflation. Core PCE is the anchor, while FOMC minutes and heavy Fed communication shape how the market interprets it.

Around 15% of S&P 500 companies report earnings, and there are 10 Fed speaker events, so positioning risk stays elevated.

● Monday

- Presidents’ Day, US Markets Closed

US equities are shut. Liquidity is thinner and flows can build ahead of midweek releases.

🔴 Wednesday

- December Durable Goods Orders
- Fed FOMC Meeting Minutes

The minutes show how policymakers assessed inflation risks and rate timing. Any shift in tone feeds directly into rate pricing.

● Thursday

- Initial Jobless Claims

Claims act as a trend check for labor conditions. Sustained changes matter more than a single print.

🔴 Friday

- December Core PCE Inflation data
- Q4 GDP
- Services / Manufacturing PMI

Core PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and anchors rate expectations.
GDP confirms growth momentum, with composition more important than the headline.
PMIs provide a fresh read on activity and price pressures.

Main focus: Wednesday’s minutes and Friday’s Core PCE, as policy tone meets hard inflation data.

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🇺🇸 US Oil Output Turns Negative Year Over Year

US oil production has slipped into annual decline for the first time in 5 years.

At the same time, oil is one of the most heavily shorted assets in over a decade.

Supply tightening while positioning leans hard one way.


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