Reporter: "How far are you willing to go to acquire Greenland."

Trump: "You'll find out."

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Trump, Greenland, and the land grab math

Trump’s Greenland push is now being framed as a trade and geopolitics package, with EU retaliation risk layered on top.

If the US acquires Greenland and effectively controls Venezuela, the land mass involved is estimated around 1.18 to 1.20 million square miles. That is roughly one third of the current US land mass and about 42% larger than the Louisiana Purchase, the biggest US acquisition in history.

• Greenland is estimated at ~836,330 sq miles, about 23.7% of current US size
• Venezuela is estimated at ~340,560 sq miles, about 9.6%
• Louisiana Purchase in 1803 was ~837,987 sq miles
• Texas annexation in 1845 added ~389,166 sq miles

The economic angle is resources.

🟡 Venezuela is cited as holding over 300B barrels of crude oil reserves, with total natural resources estimated around $15T.

🟡 Greenland is cited at ~1.5M metric tons of rare earth reserves, ranked around 8th globally, but with near zero rare earth production in 2025 due to funding and infrastructure limits.

🟡 Greenland is also linked to iron ore, graphite, zinc, copper, gold, and potential offshore oil and gas, with resource estimates up to $5T.

Combined, the resource value being floated is around $20T, with most of it still untapped. Around $1.2T of annual US EU trade is now framed as being at risk if escalation continues.

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🚨 Trump announcement in 1 hour at 08:30 AM ET

Trump is set to make a “huge” announcement at the World Economic Forum in one hour. Markets are on alert given the current sensitivity around tariffs, geopolitics, and global trade.

Expect elevated market volatility.

How will the market react?
👍 Up
👎 Down

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TRUMP: The United States is in the midst of the fastest economic turnaround in our history.

"Core inflation has been just 1.6%, Q4 growth projected at 5.4%"

"U.S. inflation has been defeated"

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TRUMP: No nation other than the United States can secure Greenland.

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TRUMP: I am asking for a piece of ice, cold and poorly located

"It's a very small ask."

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TRUMP: This market dip is peanuts

"The stock market will double."

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BREAKING: The EU has officially suspended their trade deal with the US amid Greenland tariff tensions.

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‼️ Permanent underclass is becoming the main political theme of early 2026

The idea of a permanent underclass is moving into the center of global discussion. What it means is fairly blunt. As cognitive and physical labor becomes fully automated, the ability of people to earn additional capital starts to disappear.

This is not about the usual “95%”.
It is closer to 99.99% of the population, excluding a handful of billionaires and a very small group inside top AI labs.

Most people become economically obsolete, dependent, with limited agency and mobility.

Power concentrates inside a technocratic oligarchy of roughly ten thousand people. This includes leaders of AI and robotics companies and the political leadership of the US and China. The group is far narrower than any oligopoly seen before.

Where the discussion is moving:

🟡 Time pressure
There is a growing belief that there may be, at best, a two year window to build capital that will support you for the rest of your life.

🟡 Emotional discipline
Yes, if you work an office job, there is a real chance it will not exist in three to seven years. Panic and emotional collapse do not solve that problem.

🟡 Creation still matters
As it becomes easier to create new things, robots build houses and models write code, opportunities for entrepreneurs actually expand. Routine work disappears, but the ability to build large businesses does not.

🟡 Regulation and UBI
There is a strong belief that the state will step in and solve everything through redistribution and universal income. Many people believe in this. The probability of it working cleanly remains questionable.

🟡 The US strategy
The US response looks rational from a power perspective. After securing AI dominance, it tries to lock in resources by force or leverage, Venezuela, Greenland, Ukrainian resources, anything strategically available, while tightening immigration and preparing for turbulence.

🟡 The “nothing happens” camp.
Some argue that technology spreads slowly and economic systems are inert. This view is not insane, but it underestimates how fast nonlinear shifts can happen.

🟡 The open question.
What do you do if any financially interesting business will eventually be automated by whoever has more GPUs? Focus on things that cannot be automated? Ignore moral constraints and extract value aggressively? Or exit the system entirely and retreat from civilization? None of these answers are comfortable.

‼️ And yes, trading can look like one of the few places where adaptability still pays. But discipline is not optional here. If there really is a two year window, it is also a two year window to start trading like a fucking professional and build a proper capital base.

This is no longer a theoretical discussion. It is about positioning in a world where economic relevance is no longer guaranteed.

✅ @trading

BREAKING: Trump cancels European Union tariffs after agreeing to framework for a deal on Greenland.

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Europe holds record US assets and it cuts both ways

EU investors now hold a record ~$10T in US assets, according to Treasury data.

🟡 ~$6T in US equities, about 58% of total EU holdings
🟡 ~$2T in US Treasuries, about 19%
🟡 ~$2T in US corporate and other bonds
🟡 ~$225B in US agency bonds

Expanding beyond the EU, European countries including the UK, Norway, and Switzerland account for roughly 40% of all foreign Treasury holdings.

This is why recent talk about Europe selling US bonds matters, but also why it’s complicated. When Treasuries sell off, European sovereign bonds are falling even more. Europe’s exposure to the US is massive, and unwinding it would push stress back into its own bond markets.

Europe’s financial exposure to the US has never been larger.

✅ @trading

JUST IN: Trump warns of "major retaliation" if Europe sells US securities

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Trump on a polar bear and “NATO is gone”

The Economist has released a new cover focused on US claims over Greenland. The image shows Trump riding a polar bear, paired with a blunt message about the future of global alliances.

In its commentary, the magazine writes that the Greenland crisis offers a lesson for all countries. America’s allies should prepare for a world where they are on their own and NATO no longer exists.

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🔴 Japan’s bond market is flashing red

Liquidity in Japan’s government bond market is deteriorating fast.

The JGB Liquidity Index jumped to 9.5, the worst reading on record. The index has doubled over the last 12 months.

What is driving it:

🟡 Conditions in the $7.6T JGB market have worsened sharply since 2022 as yields posted one of the steepest increases in history.
🟡 Bank of Japan has significantly reduced bond purchases.
🟡 Japanese life insurers have sold a record amount of bonds.
🟡 Foreign investors now account for about 65% of monthly cash bond trading, up from 12% in 2009.
🟡 These investors hold bonds for shorter periods, which increases volatility and weakens liquidity.

The structure of the market has changed. Long term domestic buyers are stepping back. Short term foreign flows are filling the gap.

Japan’s bond market is moving closer to a real liquidity crisis, not just higher yields.

✅ @trading