Failure is part of success.

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So what are they talking about?

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Warren Buffett shares advice on becoming successful:

"If you can’t communicate, it’s like winking at a girl in the dark, nothing happens"

Clip worth saving, you’ll want to remember this.

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The wildest part of trading is how nothing happens for ages, then everything hits at once.

You grind, study, follow your rules, and your account barely moves.

Then suddenly the progress that took months starts showing up in weeks, then days.

It isn’t luck or some secret strategy.
It’s the quiet compounding of your discipline, your pattern recognition, your emotional control.
All the reps you put in when no one was watching finally click.

The breakthrough doesn’t even feel magical.
You just wake up and realize you’re different now.

If you’re in that phase where you work hard but see nothing yet, keep going. You’re closer than you think.
The only way to miss the breakthrough is to stop showing up.

Process over profits.
Always.

✅ @trading

One trade feels huge only when you forget how many you still have ahead of you.

Zoom out and the mistake loses its power.

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🔽The Yen Shock Behind Bitcoin’s Drop

Bitcoin did not crash. It was executed by a global macro unwind that began in Japan. Rising yields ended decades of free money and flipped the largest leverage engine in modern markets.

⚡️ The Trigger

On December 1, Japan’s 10 year yield hit 1.877 percent and the 2 year reached 1 percent. That spike broke the yen carry trade, a strategy that pushed anywhere from $3.4 trillion to more than $20 trillion of cheap yen into global assets. Once yields rose and the yen strengthened, leveraged positions became unprofitable and began to unwind.

🕯 The Domino Effect

The reversal moved mechanically. Selling triggered margin calls and margin calls triggered liquidations.
● October 10 saw $19 billion wiped out in crypto liquidations.
● November recorded $3.45 billion in Bitcoin ETF outflows, including $2.34 billion from BlackRock.
● December 1 added another $646 million in liquidations before lunch.
Bitcoin traded like a direct measure of global liquidity rather than an uncorrelated hedge.

❓ A Quiet Accumulation

Even while prices fell, whales accumulated 375,000 BTC. Miner selling dropped from 23,000 BTC per month to just 3,672. Forced sellers left. Deep pocket buyers stepped in.

💸 The Next Pivot

The key date is December 18 when the Bank of Japan sets policy.
If they hike, Bitcoin likely retests $75,000.
If they pause, a short squeeze could push BTC back toward $100,000 within days.

This was not a crypto specific collapse. It was the price of leverage in a world where money suddenly costs something again. The widow maker finally came collecting. Position accordingly.

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CME getting ready to have another "cooling" issue

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JUST IN: Michael Burry says Tesla stock is "ridiculously overvalued"

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🗓 Key Events This Week

A heavy macro week with data points that shape the outlook for growth, inflation and the labor market. Several releases cluster around midweek, setting the tone for yields, the USD and overall risk appetite.

🟡 Monday

● ISM Manufacturing PMI gives the first read on activity momentum this month. Rising manufacturing signals expanding demand while weaker prints point to ongoing softness in goods production.

● Fed Chair Powell speaks in the afternoon. Markets will listen closely for any shift in tone on inflation progress and the timing of potential rate cuts.

🔴 Wednesday

● ADP payrolls offer an early look at private sector hiring. Strong hiring reinforces labor market resilience while soft numbers suggest the cooling trend continues.

● ISM Services PMI shows the health of the largest part of the US economy. Strength supports higher yields and firmer growth expectations while weakness pressures the broader outlook.

● Salesforce earnings drop after the bell. Guidance is key since large cap tech sentiment still leans heavily on enterprise spending trends.

🟡 Thursday

● Weekly jobless claims give the cleanest real time view of labor stress. A rise in claims signals pressure building while stable numbers point to ongoing strength.

🔴 Friday

● Core PCE inflation lands in the morning. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure and the most important data point of the week. Sticky PCE keeps policy tighter for longer while softer readings support easing in yields.

● UMich consumer sentiment follows shortly after. Improving sentiment supports spending momentum going into year end while declines hint at fatigue.

This week delivers a full spectrum of signals across growth, jobs and inflation. Wednesday and Friday carry the highest impact, setting the direction for the market into the first half of December.

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📚 5 Psychology Books Every Trader Should Read

Holiday breaks are perfect for leveling up your trading mindset. These five books are not trading manuals but powerful psychology tools that sharpen discipline, awareness and decision making.

✔️ Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior

Ori and Rom Brafman break down the invisible forces that distort judgment. Diagnostic bias, the chameleon effect and deep-rooted motivators around danger and risk all show how easily traders can get trapped in flawed thinking. It is a quick, surprisingly gripping read for understanding why we act against our own logic.

✔️ The Art of Thinking Clearly

Rolf Dobelli maps out 99 short chapters on the thinking errors almost everyone makes. Availability bias, hindsight bias and outcome bias are all central to trading mistakes. Each chapter is only a few pages, making it an ideal book to dip into between sessions and catch the bias you did not notice creeping in.

✔️ Think Again

Adam Grant’s book is a blueprint for rethinking assumptions, controlling emotional reactions and staying flexible. Traders who can question their beliefs and detach from ego adapt faster and avoid the tunnel vision that ruins good setups. It is one of the cleanest guides to self awareness in fast moving environments.

✔️ High Performance Habits

Brendon Burchard distills research from high performers across 190 countries into six core traits. Clarity, energy, necessity, productivity, influence and courage. These habits make routines intentional rather than reactive. For traders, that shift often becomes the difference between randomness and consistency.

✔️ The Emotion Code

Dr. Bradley Nelson goes deeper into subconscious emotional blocks. The style is more metaphysical, but the exercises help identify buried reactions and unresolved stress that quietly influence decisions. Understanding emotional triggers makes handling losses and surprises far easier.

These books sharpen the psychological edge that separates strategy from execution. Better awareness, cleaner thinking and stronger habits lead to better trades. If you want to work on the inner game during the holiday lull, this list is a strong start.

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There’s no secret.

Only discipline repeated until it looks like talent.

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President Trump says he will be making a big announcement at 2:00 PM ET today.

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You start trading and think you'll figure it out in a few months.

Six months later you're still losing. You tell yourself it's fine. You just need more time.

A year goes by. You know more now. You've watched endless videos. Taken hundreds of trades. Your account is smaller than when you started.

Two years. You understand charts better. You follow your rules most of the time. But you're still not making money. Not consistently.

People stopped asking how trading is going. Your family thinks it's a phase. Some days you think so too.

Three years in. You've thought about quitting more times than you can count. You've watched others give up and move on. You see traders posting wins and wonder if you're just broken.

You're exhausted. This has taken more from you than you expected. Time. Money. Confidence.

Yet you keep showing up every single day. You don't even know why anymore. Maybe you're stubborn. Maybe you've lost too much to walk away. Maybe some part of you still believes.

Then one day you take a trade and it just feels normal. You're not shaking. You're not overthinking. You see it, take it, manage it. It works.

You do it again the next week. And again. You still lose trades. But you're not falling apart anymore. You're just trading.

You can't say when it changed. There was no moment where everything clicked. Just a lot of small things adding up until one day you weren't fighting yourself anymore.

That's what no one tells you. It takes longer than you think. Longer than feels possible.

Most people quit when they're tired. The ones who make it quit when they're done. Those aren't the same thing.

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What do you prefer?

Accept the stop loss and live to trade another day... or ignore it and watch your entire account evaporate?

The answer is obvious.

Yet 99% of traders still choose liquidation over discipline.

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President Trump effectively announces that Kevin Hassett will be the next Fed Chair.

2026 is going to be a wild year.

✅ @trading