Trade Watcher
3.09M subscribers
3.74K photos
279 videos
3.67K links
📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives.
📩 Reach out: @strategy
Download Telegram
Trade Watcher pinned a photo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
24👍10💯6🙏3❤‍🔥2👌1
💵 Tether, Gold and the Fragile Foundation Behind the Digital Dollar

Tether began as a trader tool, but with more than 180 billion USDT in circulation it has turned into critical infrastructure for people who cannot rely on local banks, unstable currencies or slow remittances. For millions, USDT is the only dependable dollar they can access.

How Tether Actually Backs USDT

Tether says every token is backed by reserve assets. In practice the reserve is a mix of Treasury bills, corporate paper, secured loans, Bitcoin and gold. These assets generate billions in profit, but they also carry risk.
Bitcoin and gold can move sharply. If they fall too much, the value of the reserves may no longer match all outstanding USDT.

📈 The Gold Buying Spree

Tether bought 26 tonnes of gold in Q3 2025, more than any single central bank in that period. It now holds around 116 tonnes, larger than the reserves of countries like Hungary or South Korea.
The goal is simple: signal safety to institutions and emerging markets using a classic store of value. With huge profits, Tether can keep adding dozens of tonnes per year, which has contributed to gold’s surge.

Why S&P Issued Its Lowest Rating

S&P Global rated Tether “weak” because volatile assets now make up a meaningful share of the reserve. Bitcoin represents more than five percent while Tether’s safety buffer is under four percent. A sharp drop could briefly undermine full backing.
S&P also highlighted poor transparency about who custodies the reserves and what protections users have if Tether fails. And small users cannot redeem directly unless they move six-figure amounts.

Tether is now powerful enough to influence global gold markets, yet the stability of USDT still depends on a reserve portfolio that is not perfectly stable. This does not imply collapse. It simply shows how much clearer the backing must be for a digital dollar that millions depend on daily.

The stronger the reserves, the stronger the trust.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
25😁4
Americans with college degrees now make up a record 25% of all unemployed.


White collar jobs are being replaced by AI now.
Blue collar jobs will be replaced by robotics tomorrow.

Manual skills won't save you.
Entrepreneurship will.

It should be clear that we are entering the era of builders, not the era of plumbers.

Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
33🤔21😁8🙏4👀3🤩1
How to Use Multi-Timeframe Alignment Like a Pro

Most traders stare at one chart and wonder why their setups fail. The real edge comes from aligning three timeframes so every entry follows the bias of a higher structure. This framework keeps you out of noise and inside clean, high-probability moves.

What Timeframe Alignment Really Means

You read the lower-timeframe structure through the lens of a higher-timeframe key level. Price reacts at weekly, daily and 4H levels, and the lower timeframes simply express that reaction in detail.

When you align the zones, the trade becomes obvious.

🕯 The Three-Timeframe Stack

A clean Market Maker Model forms when the higher timeframe provides the key level, the intermediate timeframe shows structure and the lower timeframe gives the entry trigger.

The usual flow looks like this 👇

● Weekly level to 4H structure
● Daily level to 1H structure
● 4H level to 15m structure
● 1H level to 5m structure
● 15m level to 1m structure

The higher timeframe gives bias. The intermediate timeframe confirms the model. The entry timeframe gives precision.

✔️ Choosing the Right Intermediate

The “right” timeframe isn’t fixed. It is simply the one that shows the model most clearly.
If volatility is high, the pattern forms lower.
If price is slow, it forms higher.
Clean structure always wins over rules.

❗️ The Timeframes That Matter Most

● Macro clarity comes from Monthly and Weekly.

● Bias and reaction come from Daily and 4H.

● Execution happens on 1H, 15m, 5m and sometimes 1m.

This hierarchy keeps you grounded and prevents overtrading.

Putting It All Together

You start with a higher timeframe key level showing discount or premium.
You move to the intermediate timeframe to map the SMR or continuation pattern.
You drop lower to take executions around IFVGs, breakers or clean displacement.

The three-step logic stays the same

● Identify the HTF reaction

● Confirm structure on the mid timeframe

● Enter on the LTF where candles are cleanest

Multi-timeframe alignment filters noise, clarifies bias and shows where the real liquidity sits. Once you train your eye to see the connection between higher-timeframe arrays and lower-timeframe structure, setups stop feeling random and start feeling inevitable.

This is how pros avoid random entries and only trade when the market is in agreement.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
58💯15🤝2🙏1
One Telegram notification while you’re analyzing charts or reviewing your plan steals the next twenty three minutes of your best thinking.

Check your phone 40 times a day, which is the average for most people, and you’ve burned 15 hours a week of peak cognitive performance.

Turn notifications off.
Your future self will thank you.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🤝44137😁5👌1💯1
⚠️ CME Halts Futures Trading Across Major Markets

A rare technical failure hit global markets after CME Group was forced to halt futures trading on stocks, currencies and commodities.

🔴 CME says a cooling issue at a CyrusOne data center triggered the shutdown
🔴 Trading froze across Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures
🔴 Gold, crude and even the CME-owned EBS FX platform also stopped updating
🔴 The halt landed on an already shortened Black Friday session
🔴 CME operates the world’s largest derivatives exchanges, so the outage hit globally connected markets at once

A cooling failure taking down the largest futures venue shows how fragile market plumbing can be. Even the strongest infrastructure relies on hardware that can simply… overheat.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
1👀2314😁4👍3🐳2🤝2🔥1
🗣️ Be Warren Buffett:

🟡 Becomes best friends with Bill Gates in the 1990s, but doesn’t invest in Microsoft and watches it grow into a $3.59 trillion company.

🟡 Passes on the opportunity to invest early in Google, despite GEICO (his insurance company) paying $10–$11 per click for Google ads.

🟡 Repeatedly mocks Bitcoin, calling it a speculative instrument and tells people to “stay away” in 2014 when BTC was trading for $600.

🟡 Continues to invest in CPG companies like Coca-Cola, and doubles down on his negative comments towards Bitcoin, calling it “rat poison squared."

🟡 Finally makes a major tech bet in 2016, buying $40B worth of Apple stock. Widely described as the most profitable investment ever, worth over $150B+ at its peak.

🟡 This month, his firm disclosed a $4.3 billion investment in Google. This position is already worth $5.7 billion.

95 years old, and still outperforming the market.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
33😁11💯62👨‍💻2👌1
Trade Watcher
⚠️ CME Halts Futures Trading Across Major Markets A rare technical failure hit global markets after CME Group was forced to halt futures trading on stocks, currencies and commodities. 🔴 CME says a cooling issue at a CyrusOne data center triggered the shutdown…
Something is brewing

CME has been down for more than 10 hours.
This isn’t just a “technical issue.”

Futures and options are the core hedging tools for funds, market makers and big players.
When CME is offline, real price discovery simply doesn’t exist.

🔴 Today is a shortened US trading day
🔴 The market closes early at 1 p.m. ET
🔴 Two full days of weekend ahead
🔴 Monday opens a new month

A perfect setup for a sharp move while the entire market is effectively unhedged and blind.


Subscribe to @trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
24🔥11👍6
JUST IN: The Chicago Mercantile Exchange says stock market futures and options trading will reopen at 8:30 AM ET after an 8+ hour disruption.

@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🤝10😁6
‼️ Michael Burry is flashing a 1999 warning

🟡 Back then he was a 27-year-old neurology resident at Stanford writing stock notes at night while Silicon Valley drowned in dot-com euphoria. He bought Apple when everyone thought it was dead, ran a public portfolio that returned 68 percent in 1999, and two weeks after his last post the Nasdaq peaked and began a collapse that took fifteen years to recover.

🟡 Today he’s resurfaced with Cassandra Unchained because he sees the same emotional pattern forming around AI. Exponential narratives, stretched valuations, capital chasing buzzwords, and business models whose economics lag far behind the hype, it all mirrors the late-90s playbook. The strongest companies are already showing early cracks in margins, cost structures and expectations.

🟡 Burry isn’t calling tech fake. He’s warning that markets misprice real revolutions too. When everyone believes a new paradigm abolishes old rules, that’s usually when discipline matters most. His message is simple:
The setup looks familiar, and ignoring that similarity has never ended well.


@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
133👍10😁3🔥2💯1
The edge comes from repeating the same simple loop without letting emotions rewrite it.

@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
28🔥1713🆒2🤝1
Forwarded from Startups & Ventures
🔔 AI and real‑time data platforms are rewriting the rules of economic news trading

Markets don’t wait for humans anymore, now AI‑driven algorithms react in milliseconds to news, sometimes before many traders have even opened their email. According to a recent article, that shift is changing the rhythm of economic‑data trading forever.

🔸 Economic news is no longer a “single moment.” Instead of a single release, markets move as the build‑up, leaks, sentiment, and narrative surrounding an event play out. Live news wires, sentiment trackers, order‑flow monitors, and AI‑flagged “unusual activity” combine to shape expectations well before the headline hits.

🔸 AI helps traders digest and act on information humans can’t handle fast enough: sorting massive news volume, flagging what’s important, comparing to past releases, and spotting volatility or liquidity patterns preceding a release.

🔸 Real‑time dashboards are becoming traders’ new “mission control”: liquidity heatmaps, order‑flow streams, sentiment gauges, volatility meters, tools that help decode whether markets are bracing for impact or drifting toward the event.

🔸 This applies beyond stocks or forex, crypto too is now reacting fast to macroeconomic indicators, rate changes, inflation data, and central‑bank sentiment, blurring the traditional separation between “crypto news” and “macro news.”

🔸 Still, technology doesn’t eliminate the need for judgment. Markets remain emotional, unpredictable, and prone to “fake outs”: initial spikes or drops can reverse if underlying signals are weak, and AI can’t always tell those nuances. Experienced traders, the piece argues, still have an edge if they understand context, fundamentals, and their risk appetite.

Trading around economic news has turned into a continuous, multi‑layered game not a single event. Those who combine AI‑driven speed with human judgement now have the edge.


📊 Powered by Crypto Insider
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
16👀6👍4💯2🤔1
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Know exactly who you want to become.

Then make decisions that match that version of you.


@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
130🔥15🙏5💯3👌1
Failure is part of success.

@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
1💯7636🏆10👍8🔥7🤝3❤‍🔥2😁2👌1
So what are they talking about?

@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
66🤔12🤝7
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Warren Buffett shares advice on becoming successful:

"If you can’t communicate, it’s like winking at a girl in the dark, nothing happens"


Clip worth saving, you’ll want to remember this.


@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
💯3216😁7🙏1👌1
The wildest part of trading is how nothing happens for ages, then everything hits at once.

You grind, study, follow your rules, and your account barely moves.

Then suddenly the progress that took months starts showing up in weeks, then days.

It isn’t luck or some secret strategy.
It’s the quiet compounding of your discipline, your pattern recognition, your emotional control.
All the reps you put in when no one was watching finally click.

The breakthrough doesn’t even feel magical.
You just wake up and realize you’re different now.

If you’re in that phase where you work hard but see nothing yet, keep going. You’re closer than you think.
The only way to miss the breakthrough is to stop showing up.


Process over profits.
Always.


@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
178🙏9💯9🔥4🤩2👍1🥰1👌1👨‍💻1🤝1
One trade feels huge only when you forget how many you still have ahead of you.

Zoom out and the mistake loses its power.


@trading
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
156🥰10🤝7👍1
Forwarded from Crypto Insider
🔽The Yen Shock Behind Bitcoin’s Drop

Bitcoin did not crash. It was executed by a global macro unwind that began in Japan. Rising yields ended decades of free money and flipped the largest leverage engine in modern markets.

⚡️ The Trigger

On December 1, Japan’s 10 year yield hit 1.877 percent and the 2 year reached 1 percent. That spike broke the yen carry trade, a strategy that pushed anywhere from $3.4 trillion to more than $20 trillion of cheap yen into global assets. Once yields rose and the yen strengthened, leveraged positions became unprofitable and began to unwind.

🕯 The Domino Effect

The reversal moved mechanically. Selling triggered margin calls and margin calls triggered liquidations.
● October 10 saw $19 billion wiped out in crypto liquidations.
● November recorded $3.45 billion in Bitcoin ETF outflows, including $2.34 billion from BlackRock.
● December 1 added another $646 million in liquidations before lunch.
Bitcoin traded like a direct measure of global liquidity rather than an uncorrelated hedge.

A Quiet Accumulation

Even while prices fell, whales accumulated 375,000 BTC. Miner selling dropped from 23,000 BTC per month to just 3,672. Forced sellers left. Deep pocket buyers stepped in.

💸 The Next Pivot

The key date is December 18 when the Bank of Japan sets policy.
If they hike, Bitcoin likely retests $75,000.
If they pause, a short squeeze could push BTC back toward $100,000 within days.

This was not a crypto specific collapse. It was the price of leverage in a world where money suddenly costs something again. The widow maker finally came collecting. Position accordingly.


Subscribe to @cryp
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
127🤝5🙏4