‼️ Peter Thiel Just Nuked His NVIDIA Position

Peter Thiel wiped out his entire NVIDIA stake in one move. More than half a million shares gone. Zero left. For someone known for spotting bubbles before they burst, this shift is loud.

🔊 Thiel Macro dumped 537k NVIDIA shares in Q3

🔊 Cut Tesla by more than seventy percent at the same time

🔊 Portfolio size collapsed from 212 million to 74.4 million

🔊 Rotated into Microsoft and Apple instead of riding the AI hardware wave

🔊 NVIDIA still trades far above its long term valuation norms

Palantir, a company tied to Thiel and one of the biggest AI winners this year, is soaring. Yet he still bailed on AI hardware.

Thiel has seen hype cycles turn brutal. He watched Cisco lose most of its value after the dot com frenzy. His latest move hints he sees the same pattern forming around chips and training rigs today.

With NVIDIA earnings landing soon, big money is already shifting to safety. Thiel just moved first. The signal is clear enough for anyone who wants to see it.

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💸 Japan Just Killed the Global Money Printer

Japan’s bond yield hit 1.71 percent, the highest since 2008. Sounds small, but this number is shaking global markets more than most people realize. The country spent decades flooding the world with near-free money, and that flow just flipped.

🔊 Japan used to pump trillions into global bonds, keeping mortgages cheap and markets inflated

🔊 Rising yields turned the math upside down, adding billions in interest to Japan’s own debt

🔊 Japanese pension funds are now selling US Treasuries instead of buying

🔊 The yen carry trade is unwinding and forcing leveraged positions to close

🔊 Higher US yields risk hitting stocks, emerging markets and corporate credit

If Japan keeps tightening in December, markets won’t shrug it off. The world relied on Japanese liquidity for years, and that cushion is disappearing fast. This shift won’t stay under the radar for long.

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❕ Slowly, Then All at Once

🔴 Nancy Pelosi is retiring
One of the longest-serving political power players stepping off the stage.

🔴 Warren Buffett is ending the Berkshire annual letter
The voice of “old-school markets” going quiet after decades of setting the tone.

🔴 Michael Burry is closing his fund
The original “Big Short” guy tapping out instead of trying to time the next crash.

🔴 Peter Thiel just erased his entire NVIDIA position
Silicon Valley’s coldest reader of bubbles dumped his whole stake in one move and shifted to safer tech.

🔴 The White House says the last jobs report “would not be released to the public”
When core macro data goes dark, confidence in the story around the economy takes a hit.

🔴 Bitcoin is under 100k
Flagship risk asset losing altitude right when uncertainty is rising elsewhere.

🔴 Verizon is cutting fifteen thousand jobs
Big corporate cost-cutting, a classic tell that management is bracing for a weaker environment.

🔴 Kalshi traders price a thirty percent chance of recession next year
Real-money prediction markets quietly marking up the odds of a hard landing.

Moves like this don’t pile up by accident. When the headlines start to rhyme, the cycle is already turning.

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JUST IN: Bitcoin has dipped below $91,000 for the first time since April 22, reflecting a 28% drop from its all-time high. In the last seven days, total cryptocurrency liquidations have surpassed $5 billion in losses.

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Most traders are chasing profitability when they should be chasing consistency.

Profits don’t build consistency, but consistency builds profits.

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💣 Amazon Raises 12B To Fuel Its AI Buildout

Amazon is joining the biggest debt binge in tech history as companies race to build AI data centers before borrowing costs rise.

The Amazon numbers:

🔊 125B projected capex for 2025, up from 89.9B through Q3
🔊 Six tranche offering with maturities up to forty years, AA minus rated
🔊 Pricing around 115 bps over Treasuries with spreads sitting near the historic low of 81 bps

Tech firms borrowed 75B in September and October 2025 which is more than double the annual average of the past decade. Meta’s October sale pulled in 125B in orders for 30B in debt which shows massive investor appetite.

JPMorgan expects tech to borrow 252B in 2026 which would push total US corporate issuance to a record 1.81T.

Tech companies are locking in cheap debt now because the infrastructure demands are only getting heavier.

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📉 Unusual market signal from the selloff

US stocks led the move down, but the usual safety flows never showed up. Neither the dollar nor Treasuries reacted the way they normally do in risk-off.

🔊 EM equities outperformed while US equities dragged

🔊 This behavior looks more like an emerging-market dynamic inside the US market

🔊 The EM vs US ratio is bouncing from deeply undervalued levels

The message is simple: this shift is worth watching. Moves like this tend to repeat, not disappear.

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The real money in trading is made when a trend is young. When a stock is just coming out of a big base and starts moving up for the first time, that is where the strongest and cleanest moves happen. The stock is fresh. The buyers are just getting active. The energy is building.

This is the stage where smart traders enter quietly. Most people are still doubting the move or waiting for confirmation. But the early trend is where you get the best risk to reward and the smoothest swings.

As the trend gets older, the story changes. Now everyone can see it. The stock has already gone up a lot. Every breakout becomes choppier. Every pullback gets deeper. More people enter late and the move starts to lose strength. You can still make money here, but the easy part is over.

Your goal is simple. Learn to spot trends when they are young. Look for a stock that has been going sideways for a while, forms a base, and then starts breaking out with strength. That is where the clean move begins. That is where the probability is highest. And that is where most traders miss out because they wait for too much confirmation.

If you enter early, you ride the whole trend. If you enter late, you only get leftovers.

The big money always comes from catching the trend when it is just waking up.

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🧾 New SF Fed study flips the tariff narrative

A 150-year review of US tariff policy shows a surprising pattern: tariffs push inflation up in the short term, but the recessionary drag that follows is stronger and ends up pulling inflation down over a 1–3 year window.

🔊 Tariffs are both inflationary and recessionary

🔊 The recessionary effect dominates over time, lowering inflation

🔊 This aligns with what 2025 data already shows

🔊 These findings could influence upcoming FOMC decisions

Markets love simple narratives, but this one isn’t that simple. Tariffs may push prices up at first, but the slowdown they trigger ends up mattering a lot more for the Fed.

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⚡️ Nvidia’s Valuation vs The Entire US Energy Sector

Nvidia is now worth almost three times more than the whole US energy sector, yet it doesn’t generate more free cash flow.

Over the past year, the combined free cash flow of energy companies in the S&P 500 came in about twenty percent higher than Nvidia’s.

🔊 Nvidia market cap around 4.6T
🔊 US energy sector around 1.7T
🔊 Energy sector free cash flow roughly 898B
🔊 Nvidia free cash flow around 728B

Tech keeps rewriting the rules, but the chart is a reminder that real infrastructure still powers everything underneath the AI boom.

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