October started will be careful few days of high lev trading for first week
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BTC/USDT — 1W | Mid-Term Market View
Bitcoin has been in a clear weekly downtrend since October 2025, characterized by a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The market then entered a prolonged accumulation/range phase, lasting approximately 230–240 days, with price consolidating between roughly $57,000 and $85,000.
The key structural development has now occurred:
BTC has broken above the previous major weekly swing high around $82,500.
This represents a significant break of the previous bearish market structure.
The weekly breakout suggests that the market is transitioning from distribution/downtrend → accumulation → potential new uptrend.
The breakout becomes more meaningful because it occurred after an extended accumulation range rather than a short-term consolidation.
🔑 Key Level: $82,500
$82,500 is now the critical level to watch.
For the bullish thesis to remain valid, BTC should ideally hold above $82,500 on weekly closes.
If the level acts as support after the breakout, it strengthens the case for continuation toward higher weekly highs.
If BTC loses $82,500 and starts accepting back below the level, the breakout could become a false breakout, requiring reassessment of the bullish structure.
Mid-Term Bias
Current bias: Bullish — provided $82,500 holds as support.
The market structure has shifted, but I would not call the entire move a confirmed long-term bull market solely from this breakout. The next important confirmation is how BTC behaves on the retest of the $82,500 area and whether it establishes a new higher low.
Structure → Breakout → Retest → Higher Low → Continuation
That is the structure I would be watching for the next phase of BTC’s mid-term trend.
Bitcoin has been in a clear weekly downtrend since October 2025, characterized by a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The market then entered a prolonged accumulation/range phase, lasting approximately 230–240 days, with price consolidating between roughly $57,000 and $85,000.
The key structural development has now occurred:
BTC has broken above the previous major weekly swing high around $82,500.
This represents a significant break of the previous bearish market structure.
The weekly breakout suggests that the market is transitioning from distribution/downtrend → accumulation → potential new uptrend.
The breakout becomes more meaningful because it occurred after an extended accumulation range rather than a short-term consolidation.
🔑 Key Level: $82,500
$82,500 is now the critical level to watch.
For the bullish thesis to remain valid, BTC should ideally hold above $82,500 on weekly closes.
If the level acts as support after the breakout, it strengthens the case for continuation toward higher weekly highs.
If BTC loses $82,500 and starts accepting back below the level, the breakout could become a false breakout, requiring reassessment of the bullish structure.
Mid-Term Bias
Current bias: Bullish — provided $82,500 holds as support.
The market structure has shifted, but I would not call the entire move a confirmed long-term bull market solely from this breakout. The next important confirmation is how BTC behaves on the retest of the $82,500 area and whether it establishes a new higher low.
Structure → Breakout → Retest → Higher Low → Continuation
That is the structure I would be watching for the next phase of BTC’s mid-term trend.
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Trader DC
my trading career of 8 years I’ve never seen market conditions of this magnitude. The impact surpasses what we saw during Covid crash in 2020 Wow
Last year same date around
Worst ever crash in crypto
10 october’25
Worst ever crash in crypto
10 october’25
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