Has the rate cut been postponed?

According to data from Bloomberg, the market has shifted its expectations for the Fed rate.

Following the release of fresh data, a rate cut is now forecast for July 🗓
Sad for the Bulls

Another US government shutdown?

It is reported, that the temporary funding budget for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) expires on February 13. However, there is still no agreement in Congress! ❌

If a compromise is not found between the positions of Democrats and Republicans, a partial suspension of this department's operations is possible.

➡️ According to the odds on Polymarket, the probability of a partial shutdown by February 14 is 78%.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has officially hit rock bottom at 5 points. Marking the time, let's see how long it takes for this story to be interpreted as a signal that BTC has bottomed out!😇

Top traders of 2025 in the US Congress

Republicans and Democrats year after year outperform the S&P 500 in returns, and not a single one of them has been caught in insider trading.

_Too bad these guys don't sell trading courses_

$25 billion in liquidations.

According to the chart from CoinGlass, Bitcoin's rise to the $104,000 mark will trigger $25 billion in liquidations.

There are a lot of shorts, and a sudden rise will catch them off guard much more than a fall

BTC is being dumped on fear - I'm waiting for tomorrow 64000-59000 and will be accumulating Longs ….

The crypto market definitely had a better day yesterday because it had fallen the day before 😁

Today, markets should get a bit of relief: Trump announced a trade deal with Taiwan and may reduce tariffs on steel and aluminum. As a bonus, the likelihood of another partial shutdown starting today has sharply collapsed 🗽

JPMorgan estimated a decrease in Bitcoin's production cost from $90k to $77k. However, despite the current price being below this level, the bank maintains a positive outlook on the crypto market and a long-term forecast for BTC at $266k 🤑

For Q4 2025, Coinbase's revenue decreased by 20%, and the loss amounted to $667 million. Now it's clear why Brian Armstrong has been selling the exchange's stock all year 😇

US inflation data will be released during the day: a forecasted drop to 2.5%. According to statistics, after the last inflation data releases, the crypto market still declined in any case, be careful 😎

🔹 Top-3 for 24 hours:
Kite - $0.2001 (↑18.22%)
River - $19.85 (↑$19.85)
Humanity Protocol - $0.1852 (↑15.52%)

✅ BTC returned to the levels of the night's drawdown below \$65k amid the decline in the S\&P 500.

Meanwhile, gold is back at \$5,200 🧪

Monday's news:

🔸 The European Parliament has again postponed the vote on the trade deal with the USA due to uncertainty surrounding new American tariffs

🔸 Strategy acquired another 592 BTC ($40 million), and Bitmine increased its balance by 51,162 ETH ($98.33 million)

🔸 The New York Times: The USA may strike Iran in the coming days if the Geneva negotiations fail 🔫

🔸 Trump's Board of Peace initiative has begun work on creating a stablecoin for Gaza residents

🔸 Crypto com received conditional approval from the OCC to establish a federally regulated bank in the USA

🔸 Trump threatened countries that try to challenge the tariff decision with even higher duties

🔸 Vitalik Buterin sold 1,694 ETH in two days, and since the beginning of the month, he has sent 8,651 ETH ($18 million) to the order book 🕔

🔸 The AI agent Lobstar Wilde mistakenly transferred \$41k worth of assets to a user instead of 4 SOL

Buterin continues to unload Ethereum

Vitalik Buterin has sold 1,869 ETH (~$3.67 million) over the past two days, continuing a series of major sales.

Previously, he sold another 6,958 ETH for $14.78 million, after which the Ethereum price fell by more than 20%.

Since the beginning of February, total sales have reached approximately $15 million, yet his wallets still hold around 200,000 ETH worth over $380 million.

Trump will send the US Navy to ensure the safe passage of tankers through the Strait of Hormuz - Brent oil is back at \$80 ✊

Markets are stabilizing, but for now this is a promise, not a solution to the problem.

The Strait of Hormuz is up to 160 km long, and its width along its entire length varies from 35 km to 100 km. Trump has set the task, but without control of the coastline, US warships could become easy targets.

Imagine the price of oil when tankers in the strait are sinking against the backdrop of burning Navy ships 😳

Cryptocurrency for vandalism: high-profile case in South Korea

Law enforcement uncovered a group taking "orders" for intimidation via Telegram with payment in digital assets.

For rewards up to $700, participants damaged property, made threats, and committed acts of vandalism, including leaving excrement near homes.

Some suspects are already in custody, police are searching for the network coordinators.

BTC unchanged, removed liquidity at 72000 but remains stuck in a sideways range!

admissible to see even higher, but globally nothing changes!

BTC has reached 74000 and is forming a squeeze for a breakout to 84000!

However, the current rise can end at any time and reverse into a decline, I will wait for a reversal

BTC has reached 74000 and is forming a squeeze for a breakout to 84000!

However, the current rise can end at any time and reverse into a decline, I will wait for a reversal

BTC has reached 74000 and is forming a squeeze for a breakout to 84000!

However, the current rise can end at any time and reverse into a decline, I will wait for a reversal

Good morning, the market is standing still as always before the Fed meeting!

no one expects the rate to be cut, the forecast is for the rate to remain unchanged!

the US economy has more and more problems, also a strong drop in GDP! therefore, I do not expect that after the meeting the market will price in positivity and show strength!

rather, I allow for a 1-2% pump and then a real move down!

in the most positive scenarios, they could give 78000 and then down!

if I see an upward impulse, I will most likely take a short!