Thuletide
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Nationalist, Classical Liberal, moderate centrist (circa 1900). You can plagiarize any of my writing & content. Follow: t.me/racerealismchannel
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This is my most important message... the fate of our civilization hangs in the balance...
I don't think declining fertility is a huge problem in and of itself, since most Western countries were overpopulated even before the era of mass migration.

Our fertility-related problems are:
1) Mass migration forcing Whites into a breeding contest with the entire third world.
2) Dysgenic fertility among Whites causing us to become shorter, fatter, more mentally ill, and less intelligent.

Take Imperial Britain as a case study in the importance of quality over quantity:

At the peak of Britain's world domination, their empire of ~450 million subjects was ruled by ~150,000 ethnic Britons, including all civil and military personnel — one for every 3000 subjects, on average. In regions such as Africa, the ratio was as high as 1:5000.

For comparison, the Mongols ruled ~100 million with a ruler-to-subject ratio of 1:800 (ethnic Mongols only), the Romans ruled ~65 million with a ratio of 1:185, and the Ottomans ruled ~65 million with a ratio of 1:722.

The imperial Britons were men of incredible intelligence, courage, and discipline, operating a well-oiled machine that relied upon efficient systems and cutting-edge technology, both products of British excellence. This breed of man is practically extinct today.

The foundations of the British Empire were laid by centuries of mostly-incidental eugenics (see: A Farewell to Alms by Gregory Clark), whereby wealthier Britons had twice as many children as the poor, resulting in elite downward mobility, the diffusion of their genes/values across British society, and a significantly more intelligent and effective population overall.

Britain's long history of internal migration helped to spread these genes/values, but also reduced clannishness, producing a people who were predisposed to limited government, economic freedom, and innovative individualism; "nullius in verba" (take nobody's word for it) is the motto of the Royal Society.

These factors, combined with some luck (timing, geography, natural resources, political stability relative to continental Europe, etc.), culminated in Britain's scientific and industrial revolutions, and, ultimately, their world domination.

I'm oversimplifying, of course, but my point is that since the Proto-Indo-Europeans first expanded from the Pontic-Caspian steppe, the White man has always been outnumbered, but never outgunned.
Increasing men's wages increases their fertility. Increasing women's wages decreases their fertility.

"We use longitudinal register data on Danish couples and labor income tax reforms, especially in 2009/2010, to pin down how fertility decisions are affected by changes in the marginal net wage rates of men and women, analogous to the elasticity of taxable income literature... We find strong asymmetric effects: Increased marginal net wages of women reduce fertility of couples, while increased marginal net wages of men increase fertility. Our results imply that the substitution effect between children and labor supply is dominating for women while the income effect is dominating for men."

Source: Fertility and Family Labor Supply (2022) https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4118084
Western women are twice as likely as men to say that "good financial prospects" are important in a marriage partner.

Western men are more likely to say that looks are important, but the difference was less significant.

Western women prefer men 2.9 years older than themselves, while men prefer women 1.9 years younger.

As previously mentioned, older-male age gap relationships are more fertile, while older-female age gap relationships are less fertile.

"In the vast majority of the thirty-seven cultures considered in the international study on choosing a mate, women valued social status in a prospective mate more than men."

Sources:
- Sex differences in human mate preferences: Evolutionary hypotheses tested in 37 cultures (n=10,047; mean age of Western participants ~23, SD ~3)
- International Preferences in Selecting Mates: A Study of 37 Cultures
- Sexual strategies theory: an evolutionary perspective on human mating
- Figures from Evolutionary Psychology by David Buss
Being stuck in an evolutionary mismatch decreases fertility rates. This phenomenon is well documented in zoology:

"Captive-born animals have a 42% decreased odds of reproductive success in captivity compared to their wild-born counterparts" (1)

"Zoo population managers can improve the reproduction and health of captive species by addressing the evolutionary mismatch between the environment that their species are adapted for, and the captive zoo environment in which they currently exist" (2)

1. A meta-analysis of birth-origin effects on reproduction in diverse captive environments
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5849764/
2. Integrating evolution in the management of captive zoo populations
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4430766/
The amount of bad optics posting that will come out of Britain when Reform abolish "hate speech" laws will be astronomical.
Forwarded from Race Realism Channel
Catalog of genetic studies on ancient Europeans

Updated periodically. Older studies are often amended/refuted by newer studies, but still contain useful information.

EARLY ANATOMICALLY MODERN HUMAN EXPANSIONS

Genetics and Material Culture Support Repeated Expansions into Paleolithic Eurasia from a Population Hub Out of Africa (2022)

The role of genetic selection and climatic factors in the dispersal of anatomically modern humans out of Africa (2023)

The Persian plateau served as hub for Homo sapiens after the main out of Africa dispersal (2024)

PALEOLITHIC, MESOLITHIC

Population Genomics of Stone Age Eurasia (2022)

The genetic history of Ice Age Europe (2016)

Palaeogenomics of Upper Palaeolithic to Neolithic European hunter-gatherers (2023)

Late Pleistocene human genome suggests a local origin for the first farmers of central Anatolia (2019)

The genomic origins of the world’s first farmers (2022)

Early Neolithic genomes from the eastern Fertile Crescent (2017)

NEOLITHIC, BRONZE AGE

The Genetic Origin of the Indo-Europeans (2025)

A genomic history of the North Pontic Region from the Neolithic to the Bronze Age (2025, supplement to above paper)

Massive migration from the steppe was a source for Indo-European languages in Europe (2015)

Ancient genomics support deep divergence between Eastern and Western Mediterranean Indo-European languages (2024)

The formation of human populations in South and Central Asia (2019)

100 ancient genomes show repeated population turnovers in Neolithic Denmark (2024)

The genomic origins of the Bronze Age Tarim Basin mummies (2021)

Bronze and Iron Age population movements underlie Xinjiang population history (2022)

IRON AGE, ANTIQUITY, MEDIEVAL

Stable population structure in Europe since the Iron Age, despite high mobility (2024)

High-resolution genomic history of early medieval Europe (2025)

Steppe Ancestry in Western Eurasia and the Spread of the Germanic Languages (2025)

The Anglo-Saxon migration and the formation of the early English gene pool (2022)

Population genomics of the Viking world (2019)

Evidence for dynastic succession among early Celtic elites in Central Europe (2024)

Demography and life histories across the Roman frontier in Germany 400–700 ce (2026)

The genomic history of the Iberian Peninsula over the past 8000 years (2019)

Ancient Rome: A genetic crossroads of Europe and the Mediterranean (2019)

The origin and legacy of the Etruscans through a 2000-year archeogenomic time transect (2021)

Ancient DNA connects large-scale migration with the spread of Slavs (2025)

Genetic history of Rus’ (2025)

A genetic history of the Balkans from Roman frontier to Slavic migrations (2023, see supplements for detailed admixture analyses)

Ancient DNA reveals admixture history and endogamy in the prehistoric Aegean (2023)

Ancient DNA reveals the origins of the Albanians (2025)

Genetic history of Scythia (2025)

Ancient DNA reveals the prehistory of the Uralic and Yeniseian peoples (2025)

The genetic origin of Huns, Avars, and conquering Hungarians (2022)

Ancient DNA reveals reproductive barrier despite shared Avar-period culture (2025)

Genome-wide data from medieval German Jews show that the Ashkenazi founder event pre-dated the 14th century (2022)
Forwarded from Race Realism Channel
Modern Balkan populations descend from:
- Iron Age Balkaners
- Roman-era Western Anatolians
- Early Medieval Slavs
- Ottoman-era Western Anatolians


Their Slavic and Anatolian ancestry is inversely correlated.

Early Slavs had ~70% Baltic-related ancestry and ~30% Balkan-related ancestry (possibly Dacian, source population currently unknown).

Roman-era Anatolians were genetically ~40% Mycenaean Greek and ~60% Indo-European Anatolian (Hittie, Luwian, etc.).

Ottoman-era Anatolians descended directly from the Roman-era population, but had variable levels of Turkic ancestry.

The Oghuz Turks who conquered the Byzantine Empire were approximately half Scythian, half Mongolian/Siberian.

Admixture analysis source:
A genetic history of the Balkans from Roman frontier to Slavic migrations (2023)
There are more births in Nigeria than the entirety of Europe (including Russia).
Higher IQ correlates with patience and risk aversion.

"Intelligent people tend to be patient because they have long time horizons."

This is likely a contributing factor to lower fertility rates among the intelligent.

Source: Risk aversion, patience and intelligence: Evidence based on macro data
Intelligent people (≥130 IQ) have a lower risk of mental illness than average people (85-115 IQ), while unintelligent people (≤70 IQ) have a significantly higher risk.

"Studies reporting that highly intelligent individuals have more mental health disorders often have sampling bias, no or inadequate control groups, or insufficient sample size. We addressed these caveats by examining the difference in the prevalence of mental health disorders between individuals with high and average general intelligence (g-factor) in the UK Biobank."

Source: High intelligence is not associated with a greater propensity for mental health disorders (2022, n = >250,000)
"Brains don't fully mature until age 25!" is pseudoscience weaponized by feminists to justify bad behavior. It has been refuted by mainstream academics, libtard mainstream media, and it even has a Wikipedia refutation.

The concept of a "fully mature" brain is also pseudoscience. This is a complex topic so I will attempt to simplify...

Brain "maturation" = neural pathways becoming stabilized, large reduction in passive neuroplasticity (automatic rewiring), pruning of weak/unused pathways, and so on.

Different brain regions "mature" at different ages, with some individual variability (and presumably some variation between races and sexes).

Brainstem/hindbrain = infancy
Sensory & motor cortex = childhood
Limbic system = adolescence
Prefrontal cortex = early to mid 20s
Social cognition network = early 30s
Hippocampus = never.

Conversely, brain regions begin to decline at different ages/rates. The prefrontal cortex, which feminists constantly ramble on about, is the first to decline — a mere half decade after it "matures"! This is why fluid IQ (raw problem-solving ability) peaks during the early 20s.

Brain maturation does not necessarily equate to "more adult" behavior, it means that your brain no longer adapts automatically. If you have a dysfunctional brain when it reaches "maturity," it can be difficult to repair; I'm sure you've met many old farts who behave like little kids.

"Mature brain" pathways become more efficient, whether they are beneficial to the individual or not, and harder (but not impossible) to change. You can maintain active neuroplasticity via exercise, metabolic health, constant learning, etc., and in this way "repair" a dysfunctional brain, but it requires conscious effort.

Brains continually change throughout our lifetimes, geared toward different tasks at different stages. So, at what point do we define "full maturity"? The brain hardware + fluid IQ peak of early 20s-30s? Crystalized IQ peak of 60s-70s? "Emotional intelligence" peak of mid 40s?

Via Salon:

Kate Mills, a developmental neuroscientist at the University of Oregon, was equally puzzled. “This is funny to me—I don’t know why 25,” Mills said. “We’re still not there with research to really say the brain is mature at 25, because we still don’t have a good indication of what maturity even looks like.”


According to a 2016 Neuron paper by Harvard psychologist Leah Somerville, the structure of these and other brain areas changes at different rates throughout our life span, growing and shrinking; in fact, structural changes in the brain continue far past people’s 20s. “One especially large study showed that for several brain regions, structural growth curves had not plateaued even by the age of 30, the oldest age in their sample,” she wrote. “Other work focused on structural brain measures through adulthood show progressive volumetric changes from ages 15–90 that never ‘level off’ and instead changed constantly throughout the adult phase of life.”
Forwarded from Race Realism Channel
Sewall Wright, the inventor of Fst (fixation index, a method of measuring genetic differentiation between populations) said "there is no question" that human races should "be considered to be of different subspecies."

Many animal species have lower Fst (less genetic differentiation between subpopulations) than humans.

Humans (5 or 6 subspecies) = ~0.15
African buffalo (5 subspecies) = 0.059

"It does not require a trained anthropologist to classify and array of Englishmen, West Africans, and Chinese with 100% accuracy by features, skin color, and type of hair, in spite of such much variability within each of these groups that every individual can easily be distinguished from every other."