Announcement‼️
Last week to join at £199s for LIFETIME to the AlphaFX community.
Visit https://alphafx.eu/purchase to buy you membership for lifetime.
Happy Easter week 🐣 ⛪ 🍫 🐇
Last week to join at £199s for LIFETIME to the AlphaFX community.
Visit https://alphafx.eu/purchase to buy you membership for lifetime.
Happy Easter week 🐣 ⛪ 🍫 🐇
Retail Sales 🇺🇸
Retail sales matter because they’re one of the cleanest windows into real consumer demand — and in an economy where over two-thirds of GDP is driven by consumption, that makes them hard to ignore. With consumer spending accounting for roughly 68% of U.S. GDP, retail sales data provides critical insight into the trajectory of economic growth. Monthly fluctuations in this figure help economists and policymakers assess the strength of household consumption, which in turn influences employment, inflation dynamics, and central bank decisions. Strong retail numbers typically suggest robust demand, potentially fueling inflation and justifying tighter monetary policy, while weak sales can indicate economic slowdown or consumer strain.
Asset Market Implications (Pre-Release Setup)
💵 USD (Dollar Index - DXY)
• Bullish bias if data beats: A strong retail figure would push yields higher and support the dollar via delayed Fed cuts.
• The dollar remains range-bound, but sentiment leans firm due to recent hot CPI and strong labor prints.
• Watch: Key levels around 106.5–107.0 on DXY for breakout if the data surprises to the upside.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Gold sits near record highs, powered more by geopolitical tension (e.g., U.S.-China friction) and safe-haven flows than macro softness.
• A strong sales print could trigger short-term profit-taking, but longer-term momentum remains intact.
• Scenario: Unless paired with a major yield spike, gold likely sees shallow pullbacks as buyers step in on dips.
📊 U.S. Equities (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow)
• Retail sales growth is fundamentally positive for earnings, especially for discretionary and consumer cyclical names.
• But if the data reinforces Fed hawkishness, rate-sensitive sectors like tech could see pressure.
• Ongoing chip export restrictions to China are already weighing on tech sentiment—especially semiconductors (e.g., Nvidia).
₿ Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
• A modestly strong retail number might add to risk-off positioning, especially if it boosts the dollar.
• However, Bitcoin’s macro narrative remains dominated by ETF demand, halving dynamics, and liquidity outlook.
• Expect any dips from macro jitters to be bought quickly, unless paired with broader deleveraging or credit stress.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/kxyyag6w/
Retail sales matter because they’re one of the cleanest windows into real consumer demand — and in an economy where over two-thirds of GDP is driven by consumption, that makes them hard to ignore. With consumer spending accounting for roughly 68% of U.S. GDP, retail sales data provides critical insight into the trajectory of economic growth. Monthly fluctuations in this figure help economists and policymakers assess the strength of household consumption, which in turn influences employment, inflation dynamics, and central bank decisions. Strong retail numbers typically suggest robust demand, potentially fueling inflation and justifying tighter monetary policy, while weak sales can indicate economic slowdown or consumer strain.
Asset Market Implications (Pre-Release Setup)
💵 USD (Dollar Index - DXY)
• Bullish bias if data beats: A strong retail figure would push yields higher and support the dollar via delayed Fed cuts.
• The dollar remains range-bound, but sentiment leans firm due to recent hot CPI and strong labor prints.
• Watch: Key levels around 106.5–107.0 on DXY for breakout if the data surprises to the upside.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Gold sits near record highs, powered more by geopolitical tension (e.g., U.S.-China friction) and safe-haven flows than macro softness.
• A strong sales print could trigger short-term profit-taking, but longer-term momentum remains intact.
• Scenario: Unless paired with a major yield spike, gold likely sees shallow pullbacks as buyers step in on dips.
📊 U.S. Equities (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow)
• Retail sales growth is fundamentally positive for earnings, especially for discretionary and consumer cyclical names.
• But if the data reinforces Fed hawkishness, rate-sensitive sectors like tech could see pressure.
• Ongoing chip export restrictions to China are already weighing on tech sentiment—especially semiconductors (e.g., Nvidia).
₿ Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
• A modestly strong retail number might add to risk-off positioning, especially if it boosts the dollar.
• However, Bitcoin’s macro narrative remains dominated by ETF demand, halving dynamics, and liquidity outlook.
• Expect any dips from macro jitters to be bought quickly, unless paired with broader deleveraging or credit stress.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/kxyyag6w/
TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSD Chart Image by the_alphafx
EASY 133 pips profit on XAUUSD today for 30 minutes work 💵 🔥 📈
From next week (or after) the LIFETIME membership will come to an END.
ONLY monthly and annual memberships will be available. The price will be around GBP 90 per month and GBP 890 per annum.
Existing members won’t be affected by the new price changes. they paid life time they stay for lifetime.
You can take advantage to sign up this week for LIFETIME:
https://alphafx.eu/purchase
From next week (or after) the LIFETIME membership will come to an END.
ONLY monthly and annual memberships will be available. The price will be around GBP 90 per month and GBP 890 per annum.
Existing members won’t be affected by the new price changes. they paid life time they stay for lifetime.
You can take advantage to sign up this week for LIFETIME:
https://alphafx.eu/purchase
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The Alpha FX
Purchase
PRACTICAL METHODS, TRADE LIKE A PRO
The lifetime membership gives access to daily analysis, setups and live trading 3-4 Us sessions per week. What else? Daily morning briefing where macroeconomics and market moving fundamentals are explained in an easy to…
The lifetime membership gives access to daily analysis, setups and live trading 3-4 Us sessions per week. What else? Daily morning briefing where macroeconomics and market moving fundamentals are explained in an easy to…
Good morning Alpha’s,
“Easter is the only time when it’s perfectly safe to put all of your eggs in one basket.” 😉📈📉
I wish you a happy and relaxing Easter holidays. My friends who celebrate it, let’s honour the resurrection of Jesus and the traditions of Easter. 🙏🏼🐣
⛪️✝️🙏🏼
Kind regards,
Tamas
“Easter is the only time when it’s perfectly safe to put all of your eggs in one basket.” 😉📈📉
I wish you a happy and relaxing Easter holidays. My friends who celebrate it, let’s honour the resurrection of Jesus and the traditions of Easter. 🙏🏼🐣
⛪️✝️🙏🏼
Kind regards,
Tamas
Government intervention in Central Banking is a huge mistake. ❗️
Gold hit a record $3,500 a troy ounce for the first time and the dollar fell on Tuesday, as Donald Trump’s sustained attack on US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell added to fears over the prospects for the world’s largest economy.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/WqBJlUUH/
———————————
✔️ https://alphafx.eu/purchase
💬 @thealphafx #trading #xauusd #crypto @thealphafx
Gold hit a record $3,500 a troy ounce for the first time and the dollar fell on Tuesday, as Donald Trump’s sustained attack on US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell added to fears over the prospects for the world’s largest economy.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/WqBJlUUH/
———————————
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Good morning,
Most Asian stocks rose sharply on Wednesday, tracking an overnight rally on Wall Street after U.S. President Donald Trump flagged an eventual lowering in steep trade tariffs against China.
The President also downplayed his recent tirade against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, granting markets more relief.
U.S. stock index futures rose in Asian trade, with S&P 500 Futures rising 1.4%.
⸻
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Current Price: ~$3,500 (record high)
• Trend: Strong uptrend
• Context: Gold is at the center of a global reallocation, driven by dedollarization, central bank credibility concerns, and institutional ETF demand (240 tons added YTD). The shift from speculative to strategic buying suggests longer-term confidence in gold as a monetary hedge and safe-haven.
• Outlook: Bullish. Consolidation likely, but structural bid remains firm.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar (DXY)
• Trend: Modest bounce after sharp decline
• Context: Dollar rebounded slightly after Trump backed off threats to fire Fed Chair Powell. However, concerns remain over long-term U.S. fiscal stability and growing talk of tariff rollbacks with China. Foreign appetite for Treasuries is fading, which undermines traditional dollar strength.
• Outlook: Short-term relief, long-term bearish unless trust in U.S. policy improves.
⸻
📈 U.S. Equities (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow)
• Trend: Recovering after prior pullback
• Context: Stocks rose after Trump softened tone on both Powell and China, fueling a “relief rally.” Still, investor sentiment remains cautious due to sticky inflation (hot CPI) and the Fed’s uncertain path. Earnings season and geopolitical developments are key to near-term direction.
• Outlook: Mixed. Tactical upside possible, but macro risks cap broader trend.
⸻
———————————
✔️ https://alphafx.eu/purchase
💬 @thealphafx #trading #xauusd #crypto @thealphafx
Most Asian stocks rose sharply on Wednesday, tracking an overnight rally on Wall Street after U.S. President Donald Trump flagged an eventual lowering in steep trade tariffs against China.
The President also downplayed his recent tirade against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, granting markets more relief.
U.S. stock index futures rose in Asian trade, with S&P 500 Futures rising 1.4%.
⸻
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Current Price: ~$3,500 (record high)
• Trend: Strong uptrend
• Context: Gold is at the center of a global reallocation, driven by dedollarization, central bank credibility concerns, and institutional ETF demand (240 tons added YTD). The shift from speculative to strategic buying suggests longer-term confidence in gold as a monetary hedge and safe-haven.
• Outlook: Bullish. Consolidation likely, but structural bid remains firm.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar (DXY)
• Trend: Modest bounce after sharp decline
• Context: Dollar rebounded slightly after Trump backed off threats to fire Fed Chair Powell. However, concerns remain over long-term U.S. fiscal stability and growing talk of tariff rollbacks with China. Foreign appetite for Treasuries is fading, which undermines traditional dollar strength.
• Outlook: Short-term relief, long-term bearish unless trust in U.S. policy improves.
⸻
📈 U.S. Equities (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow)
• Trend: Recovering after prior pullback
• Context: Stocks rose after Trump softened tone on both Powell and China, fueling a “relief rally.” Still, investor sentiment remains cautious due to sticky inflation (hot CPI) and the Fed’s uncertain path. Earnings season and geopolitical developments are key to near-term direction.
• Outlook: Mixed. Tactical upside possible, but macro risks cap broader trend.
⸻
———————————
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• Monthly Plan: £59/month
• Access to weekly market analyses, trading signals, and community forums.
• Biannual Plan: £279 every 6 months (approx. £46.50/month)
• Access to weekly market analyses, trading signals, and community forums.
• Annual Plan: £499/year (approx. £41.58/month)
• All biannual features plus one-on-one coaching sessions and personalized trading reviews.
Lifetime option will be available for £997. One time payment for lifetime access.
For the old price of £199 visit https://alphafx.eu/purchase
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Capital Markets Outlook – April 25, 2025
Global markets are stabilizing following a volatile stretch driven by record-breaking gold prices, Fed interference fears, and U.S.-China trade uncertainty. A shift in tone from the White House—marked by Trump walking back his threats against Fed Chair Powell and hinting at possible tariff de-escalation—has sparked a modest relief rally in risk assets.
At the same time, safe-haven demand remains structurally elevated, with gold consolidating near $3,500, and Bitcoin holding firm as a parallel macro hedge. The dollar is bouncing short term, but credibility risks continue to simmer beneath the surface.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Price: ~$3,330
• After reaching $3,500+, gold is consolidating amid profit-taking and slightly improved sentiment.
• Despite near-term selling, institutional demand remains robust—ETF flows have exceeded $19B YTD, and central bank accumulation continues.
• The key narrative driving gold remains dedollarization, U.S. fiscal skepticism, and geopolitical hedging.
📌 Outlook: Short-term consolidation is healthy. Long-term uptrend remains supported by structural capital flows.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar (DXY)
• Rebound off recent lows after Trump’s softer stance on Powell and global trade.
• Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed no FX war intentions, which helped soothe global FX markets.
• Legal challenges to the tariff regime and persistent fiscal concerns cap the dollar’s upside.
📌 Outlook: Tactical bounce may continue, but structural headwinds remain. Long-term dollar skepticism persists.
⸻
📈 U.S. Indices (S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq)
• Stocks have recovered modestly, led by tech and industrials, as Trump tones down rhetoric on the Fed and China.
• Powell’s job appears secure for now, reducing immediate fears of Fed politicization.
• Lawsuits against tariffs and macro fragility (inflation + growth slowdown) keep investors cautious.
📌Outlook: Rebound lacks full conviction. Volatility likely to remain elevated heading into next week’s data and earnings.
———————————
✔️ https://alphafx.eu/purchase
💬 @thealphafx #trading #xauusd #crypto @thealphafx
Global markets are stabilizing following a volatile stretch driven by record-breaking gold prices, Fed interference fears, and U.S.-China trade uncertainty. A shift in tone from the White House—marked by Trump walking back his threats against Fed Chair Powell and hinting at possible tariff de-escalation—has sparked a modest relief rally in risk assets.
At the same time, safe-haven demand remains structurally elevated, with gold consolidating near $3,500, and Bitcoin holding firm as a parallel macro hedge. The dollar is bouncing short term, but credibility risks continue to simmer beneath the surface.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD)
• Price: ~$3,330
• After reaching $3,500+, gold is consolidating amid profit-taking and slightly improved sentiment.
• Despite near-term selling, institutional demand remains robust—ETF flows have exceeded $19B YTD, and central bank accumulation continues.
• The key narrative driving gold remains dedollarization, U.S. fiscal skepticism, and geopolitical hedging.
📌 Outlook: Short-term consolidation is healthy. Long-term uptrend remains supported by structural capital flows.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar (DXY)
• Rebound off recent lows after Trump’s softer stance on Powell and global trade.
• Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed no FX war intentions, which helped soothe global FX markets.
• Legal challenges to the tariff regime and persistent fiscal concerns cap the dollar’s upside.
📌 Outlook: Tactical bounce may continue, but structural headwinds remain. Long-term dollar skepticism persists.
⸻
📈 U.S. Indices (S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq)
• Stocks have recovered modestly, led by tech and industrials, as Trump tones down rhetoric on the Fed and China.
• Powell’s job appears secure for now, reducing immediate fears of Fed politicization.
• Lawsuits against tariffs and macro fragility (inflation + growth slowdown) keep investors cautious.
📌Outlook: Rebound lacks full conviction. Volatility likely to remain elevated heading into next week’s data and earnings.
———————————
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