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πŸš€ AlphaFX Macro Trading
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Another day, another dollar.πŸš€βœ…

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🟑 Gold Dip-Buy Play
β€’ Buy Zone: 3 325–3 330 (post-NFP pullback)
β€’ Stop: 3 315
β€’ Target: 3 360 (yesterday’s pivot)

Why?
βœ… Soft jobs + yield drop = tail-wind for XAU
βœ… CFTC shorts overstretchedβ€”ripe for a squeeze
βœ… Risk sentiment shaky on growth fears

Smash πŸ‘ if you’re in, πŸ’¬ with your levels!

βΈ»

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+215 pips profit on gold Today βœ…πŸš€

It was a painful trading session due to low liquidity which is normal during summers.

What’s the reason for price β€œflushes” and sudden spikes during summer season❓

Institutional desk and brokers are thin out their books so no one else is on the other side to match a large order with. Stop orders become market orders β€œFill me at the best available price” orders in an empty book. So whenever you hit β€œmarket” into a thin book, you risk slippage through multiple price levels.

β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Want to learn more❓
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Most retail traders see candles; we layer the entire macro narrative on top, then execute with disciplined risk. Yesterday that preparation paid off: we caught the wedge breakout +300 pips.

πŸš€ Want in on the next 300-pip move?

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MARKET BRIEFING for TRADERS πŸ’·

We’re heading into a macro-heavy week: US CPI Tue, PPI Thu, Retail Sales Fri. After Friday’s shock NFP +73K with –258K in two-month revisions, bonds rallied and the dollar easedβ€”keeping gold bid into CPI. Tariff noise still clouds the inflation path, so headline risk stays elevated.

πŸ”‘ Key Points
β€’ Gold holding above key supports as yields retreat post-NFP; CPI is the near-term driver.
β€’ USD softer with front-end yields lower; a hot CPI would likely flip this quickly.
β€’ Calendar: CPI Tue Aug 12, 08:30 ET, PPI Thu Aug 14, Retail Sales Fri Aug 15.

Key Events This Week (CET)

Tuesday, Aug 12
β€’ 16:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Rate Decision
β€’ 28:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Jobs Report (Wages, Unemployment)
β€’ 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CPI (Jul) β€” Main Event
Thursday, Aug 14
β€’ 38:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ GDP (Q2)
β€’ 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ PPI (Jul) & Jobless Claims
Friday, Aug 15
β€’ 44:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Industrial Production, Retail Sales
β€’ 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales (Jul)
β€’ 16:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Michigan Consumer Sentiment

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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🎯 Bias & Forecast (next 24–48h)
Leaning bullish XAU into CPI unless we get a hot surprise. Expect dip-buyers to defend into support; a cooler print could extend toward recent highs.

🟑 Signal – XAU/USD Long (pre-CPI tactical)
β€’ Buy zone: 3,335 – 3,345
β€’ Stop: 3,320
β€’ TP1: 3,375
β€’ TP2: 3,395
β€’ Invalidation: Stand aside if CPI runs hot (core > consensus) and price closes below 3,320.

Trade small, respect the data drop, and be ready to react at 08:30 ET Tuesday.

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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Stumbled on a goldmine for serious market readers:
UBS Global Wealth Management – Insights πŸ‘‰ https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealthmanagement/insights.html
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Breaking News ❗️

πŸ“Œ 90-Day Tariff Delay
β€’ Trump has agreed to a 90-day delay on the implementation of some new tariffs, reportedly to give negotiating teams more time and to avoid immediate consumer price spikes.
β€’ Market impact: Slightly reduces near-term inflation fears but uncertainty remains high β€” traders are cautious about assuming this will stick, given his history of reversing decisions.

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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πŸ“Œ Calendar to Trade Around (high-impact)

β€’ Wed: FOMC Minutes (tone/Fed splits).
β€’ Thu: US PMIs & Jobless Claims; watch for re-acceleration hints.
β€’ Fri: Powell at Jackson Hole (β‰ˆ14:00 GMT); later CFTC positioning for gold/Nasdaq.
β€’ All week: Ukraine/White House meetingsβ€”headline risk.

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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fomcminutes20250730.pdf
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FOMC meeting minutes summary

The July minutes highlight the Fed’s internal divide. Inflation risk from tariffs is front-loaded, but growth risks loom larger into H2. The Fed is playing for timeβ€”leaving gold and USD range-bound until CPI and jobs data break the stalemate.

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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The result from yesterday’s liveπŸš€
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Powell used his speech at the Kansas City Fed’s confab in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to signal that growing risks from high borrowing costs will damage the jobs market.

That means a rate cut could be warranted as soon as September.

βΈ»
🫑 Follow: @thealphafx
πŸ“ˆ Join the trades: alphafx.eu/purchase
πŸ”— Recommended broker: https://alphafx.eu/4xc
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