External factors to seismic activity deserve attention.

"average variation of the cosmic ray detection rates correlates with the global seismic activity"
https://sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364682623000664

statistical confidence level is more than six sigma
https://scitechdaily.com/seismic-signals-from-space-intriguing-correlation-between-earthquakes-and-cosmic-radiation-discovered/

We're currently using AI to find a correlation between M ≥ 7.4 earthquakes and clustering of planetary conjunctions. We used the period 2000-2024.

The statistical analysis shows:

- Baseline probability of a major earthquake in any 7-day period: 12.27%
- Expected clusters with earthquakes: 72.14
- Actual clusters with earthquakes: 103
- Chi-square test: p-value = 0.014452

This result is statistically significant (p < 0.05), indicating a positive correlation between conjunction clusters and major earthquakes.

This aligns with our own research and earlier statistics.

Training AI to let it define conjunction clusters reveals a statistically significant correlation for the period 2000-2024. This cluster definition is slightly different from our previous definition.

The results show:
- Total extended window duration: 4,344.31 days
- Total observation duration: 8,878.62 days
- Expected probability: 48.93% (the proportion of time covered by extended windows)
- Observed successes: 92 out of 156 earthquakes (59.0%)
- Binomial test p-value: 0.0129

AI conclusion: "This means we can reject the null hypothesis that earthquakes occur randomly with respect to planetary conjunction clusters."

Image illustrates 2016.

A significant temporal cluster of stronger (M≥5.5) earthquakes occurred with the green peaks (lunar conjunctions), which I discussed in detail in the latest video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvD0-JWhNpA&t=339s

Looking at the last 25 years, we see an obvious absence of magnitude 8+ earthquakes since 2021. Average occurrence is 1.08 per year.

There is not just an absence of magnitude 8+ earthquakes since 2021. This quake drought is also reflected in magnitude 7.8+ earthquakes.

Preliminary results show notable temporal clustering on the 13th. This time-frame was discussed in the April 7 video at 3m48s:
https://youtube.com/watch?v=J_Nqkz2HYnU&t=228s

While Earth's atmosphere is a different medium with different mechanisms than Earth's crust, there are interesting parallels to consider between earthquakes and lightning, as both manifest as a sudden discharge resulting from energy built-up.
https://ssgeos.org/articles/earthquake-and-lightning-parallels.htm

On this day in 1906 San Francisco was devastated by a M 7.9 #earthquake. At that time, 3 M ≥ 7.0 earthquakes occurred in just 5 days.

To date 1906 is seismically still the most active year on record with no less than 22 magnitude ≥ 7.0 and 7 magnitude ≥ 7.8 earthquakes, 5(!) of which reached magnitude ≥ 8.

At the time, Uranus and Neptune were on opposite sides of the Solar System. Large earthquakes occurred repeatedly when Earth and the Moon made critical geometry with these outer planets. The San Francisco earthquake is just one example.

Uranus and Neptune are on opposite sides of the Solar System roughly every 172 years.
https://ssgeos.org/archive/a1906/19060418131226-offshore-northern-california-79.htm

Strong clusters of M ≥ 5.5 #earthquakes in this time-frame. Latest video for more information: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2hfCIyJra0

A 2004 study estimated a 35-70% probability of a Mw > 7.0 earthquake in the Sea of Marmara near Istanbul in the next 30 years (2004-2034). The seismic gap is indicated on the map by red arrows. Based on this study we can conclude that there is reason for concern.
https://earth-planets-space.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40623-017-0648-9

The strongest #earthquake in the last two weeks was M 6.6 at the Southeast Indian Ridge. Note the temporal clustering of M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes depicted on the #SSGI graph. Stronger earthquakes tend to occur in clusters, rather than on average.

Some clustering of stronger (M ≥ 5.5) tremors today, following yesterday's lunar geometry.

Yesterday's video explanation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tK3udLd4O-o

An obvious cluster of stronger (M ≥ 5.5) #earthquakes occurred yesterday following the sequence of planetary and lunar geometry from 9 to 12 May. Stronger tremors tend to occur in temporal clusters (without spatial component), i.e in a short time in different regions.

For a detailed analysis of this #SSGI graph, check out
https://youtube.com/watch?v=ezv20mRKdSg

In this time-frame clustering of stronger (M ≥ 5.5) #earthquakes occurred primarily after lunar peaks (green). The largest #earthquake was M 6.5 near the north coast of New Guinea, P.N.G. on the 20th. #SSGI