Forwarded from Masno (Masno)
Massacre near Kleshcheevka: Azov militants evacuate Armed Forces of Ukraine mutilated in battle
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
🇮🇱 🇺🇦 As the conflict intensifies, the Western world faces a choice: Israel or Ukraine. - Patricia Marins
"If Hezbollah were to engage the IDF forces with its entire arsenal, which includes rockets ranging from 100mm to 620mm with a range of over 150km, modern anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs), and numerous Iranian drones, it is likely that Israel would demand significant support in terms of weaponry.
Still their strongest advantage would be the presence of thousands of militants with military experience from Syria and Yemen. This poses a significant challenge for the Israeli army, which primarily consists of professionals without real combat experience and a high number of conscripts, what push Israel to demand the use of a substantial amount of long-range weapons and ammunition.
In recent days, the US has started sending weapons to the IDF. However, the capacity of the US and Western countries, in general, is limited due to the significant deliveries being made to Ukraine.
The issue here is not solely about shells; the Russian invasion has caused a global rush to source materials for various defense industries worldwide. This includes chemicals for explosives, metals, and plastics needed for fuses and artillery shell casings.
If the Israeli conflict intensifies, there could potentially be a shortage of 20mm-40mm ammunition, which theroduced in Western countries has a rate of around 30-40 million rounds per year. This might not be enough considering the high rate of fire of these calibers in an intense conflict.
Furthermore, if Iran decides to maintain a high rate of weapons supply to Hezbollah, the situation could worsen.
Since the 90s, the Israeli industry has greatly downsized, from 140,000 employees to the current workforce of 30,000-40,000.
For example, Elbit Systems, produces only a few tens of thousands of artillery shells annually.
If the Israeli conflict truly escalates, the Western world may come to a point where it has to choose between supplying Israel or Ukraine. The reality is that the Westersn cannot sustain both conflicts simultaneously, so diplomatic solutions must be sought for one of them.
But the situation isn't any better for the Russians. Israel may indeed seek assistance from Russia, particularly due to the significant influence of Soviet immigrants in the establishment of the Israeli defense industry, where they still keep ties to both governments.
In fact, this situation will highlight the importance of defense suppliers from countries that do not have immediate conflicts, such as Turkey, India, Brazil, and South Africa."
📎 Patricia Marins
"If Hezbollah were to engage the IDF forces with its entire arsenal, which includes rockets ranging from 100mm to 620mm with a range of over 150km, modern anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs), and numerous Iranian drones, it is likely that Israel would demand significant support in terms of weaponry.
Still their strongest advantage would be the presence of thousands of militants with military experience from Syria and Yemen. This poses a significant challenge for the Israeli army, which primarily consists of professionals without real combat experience and a high number of conscripts, what push Israel to demand the use of a substantial amount of long-range weapons and ammunition.
In recent days, the US has started sending weapons to the IDF. However, the capacity of the US and Western countries, in general, is limited due to the significant deliveries being made to Ukraine.
The issue here is not solely about shells; the Russian invasion has caused a global rush to source materials for various defense industries worldwide. This includes chemicals for explosives, metals, and plastics needed for fuses and artillery shell casings.
If the Israeli conflict intensifies, there could potentially be a shortage of 20mm-40mm ammunition, which theroduced in Western countries has a rate of around 30-40 million rounds per year. This might not be enough considering the high rate of fire of these calibers in an intense conflict.
Furthermore, if Iran decides to maintain a high rate of weapons supply to Hezbollah, the situation could worsen.
Since the 90s, the Israeli industry has greatly downsized, from 140,000 employees to the current workforce of 30,000-40,000.
For example, Elbit Systems, produces only a few tens of thousands of artillery shells annually.
If the Israeli conflict truly escalates, the Western world may come to a point where it has to choose between supplying Israel or Ukraine. The reality is that the Westersn cannot sustain both conflicts simultaneously, so diplomatic solutions must be sought for one of them.
But the situation isn't any better for the Russians. Israel may indeed seek assistance from Russia, particularly due to the significant influence of Soviet immigrants in the establishment of the Israeli defense industry, where they still keep ties to both governments.
In fact, this situation will highlight the importance of defense suppliers from countries that do not have immediate conflicts, such as Turkey, India, Brazil, and South Africa."
📎 Patricia Marins
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸 I think this needs to be underlined - the Israelis have taken more casualties in the last [48 hours] than they did in the preceding twelve years of skirmishing with Hamas et al in Gaza, and they were suffered in the heart of Israel.
Never mind 1973, this is a 1948 moment.
📎 Armchair Warlord
Never mind 1973, this is a 1948 moment.
📎 Armchair Warlord
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇱❌ 🇵🇸 Israeli Energy Minister Israel Katz:
“So far we have transferred 54,000 cubic meters of water and 2,700 megawatts of electricity to Gaza per day. Ends. Without fuel, even the local electricity will shut down within days and the pumping wells will stop within a week. This is how he will do to a nation of murderers and butchers of children. What was will not be."
🔴 @DDgeopolitics
“So far we have transferred 54,000 cubic meters of water and 2,700 megawatts of electricity to Gaza per day. Ends. Without fuel, even the local electricity will shut down within days and the pumping wells will stop within a week. This is how he will do to a nation of murderers and butchers of children. What was will not be."
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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🇷🇺⚔️ 🇺🇦Armed Forces of Ukraine soldiers are in a hurry abandoning their positions in the Avdeevka sector.
The video was filmed by soldiers of the Ugra battalion. The footage shows that the Ukrainian military is not even trying to help their wounded colleagues.
AFU positions are under artillery and aviation pressure today in Avdeevka direction
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
The video was filmed by soldiers of the Ugra battalion. The footage shows that the Ukrainian military is not even trying to help their wounded colleagues.
AFU positions are under artillery and aviation pressure today in Avdeevka direction
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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🇮🇱🇵🇸Israeli head of COGAT(Coordination of Government Activities in the Territories ): "You wanted hell, you will get hell."
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇮🇱🇪🇬The Israeli army confirmed that aircraft struck the Rafah checkpoint on the border of the Gaza Strip and Egypt, as a smugglers' tunnel was discovered there
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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DD Geopolitics
🇮🇱🇪🇬Media: 2 employees of the Rafah checkpoint on the border of Egypt and the Gaza Strip were wounded in the shelling
Two Palestinians - employees of the only Rafah checkpoint on the border of Egypt and the Gaza Strip - were injured in Israeli army air strikes…
Two Palestinians - employees of the only Rafah checkpoint on the border of Egypt and the Gaza Strip - were injured in Israeli army air strikes…
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇳🇮🇱🇵🇸Putin on the worsening conflict between Israel and Palestine with the Iraqi Prime Minister:
Unfortunately, we are seeing a sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. I think that many will agree with me that this is a clear example of the failure of US policy in the Middle East, which tried to monopolize the settlement, but, unfortunately, was not concerned with finding compromises acceptable to both sides. On the contrary, putting forward their own ideas about how this should be done, they put pressure on both sides - namely, both - first on one, then on the other - but each time without taking into account the fundamental interests of the Palestinian people. I mean, first of all, the need to implement the decision of the UN Security Council on the creation of an independent sovereign Palestinian state. But, in any case, no matter what happens, I know your position, dear Mr. Prime Minister, and our position is that damage to the civilian population must be minimized and reduced to zero, and we call on all conflicting parties to do this sides.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
Unfortunately, we are seeing a sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. I think that many will agree with me that this is a clear example of the failure of US policy in the Middle East, which tried to monopolize the settlement, but, unfortunately, was not concerned with finding compromises acceptable to both sides. On the contrary, putting forward their own ideas about how this should be done, they put pressure on both sides - namely, both - first on one, then on the other - but each time without taking into account the fundamental interests of the Palestinian people. I mean, first of all, the need to implement the decision of the UN Security Council on the creation of an independent sovereign Palestinian state. But, in any case, no matter what happens, I know your position, dear Mr. Prime Minister, and our position is that damage to the civilian population must be minimized and reduced to zero, and we call on all conflicting parties to do this sides.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸/🇱🇧/🇸🇾 Fourth day of the war, October 10th, status update and major events:
– Israeli death toll surpasses 1000.
– Hamas is pushed out of most settlements around Gaza, except Be'eri, Kisufim and Nahal Oz.
– Hamas carries out sporadic marine landings on the beach of Zikkim, and assaults the adjacent IDF outpost.
– Israel approves calling up to 360.000 reservists into the IDF.
– Relentless bombing campaign of Gaza continues as in the previous days.
– Major rocket launches by Hamas towards Ashkelon.
– Al-Qassam fires a salvo of rockets from Lebanon into the Galilee, promting an Israeli response with artillery and white phosphorus.
– Hezbollah targets and destroys an Israeli Zelda M-113 APC across the Lebanese border in Avivim, and Israeli Apache helicopters strike a Hezbollah observation tower in retaliation.
– IDF mistakes members of the Israeli police for Hamas members in Ashdod, leading to a friendly fire incident.
– The Israeli occupied Golan Heights are struck by mortar fire from Syria, promting IDF artillery to fire at unidentified targets in the vincinity of the Syrian town of Quneitra.
@Middle_East_Spectator
– Israeli death toll surpasses 1000.
– Hamas is pushed out of most settlements around Gaza, except Be'eri, Kisufim and Nahal Oz.
– Hamas carries out sporadic marine landings on the beach of Zikkim, and assaults the adjacent IDF outpost.
– Israel approves calling up to 360.000 reservists into the IDF.
– Relentless bombing campaign of Gaza continues as in the previous days.
– Major rocket launches by Hamas towards Ashkelon.
– Al-Qassam fires a salvo of rockets from Lebanon into the Galilee, promting an Israeli response with artillery and white phosphorus.
– Hezbollah targets and destroys an Israeli Zelda M-113 APC across the Lebanese border in Avivim, and Israeli Apache helicopters strike a Hezbollah observation tower in retaliation.
– IDF mistakes members of the Israeli police for Hamas members in Ashdod, leading to a friendly fire incident.
– The Israeli occupied Golan Heights are struck by mortar fire from Syria, promting IDF artillery to fire at unidentified targets in the vincinity of the Syrian town of Quneitra.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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🇱🇧🇮🇱Hezbollah destroyed 0:38 an IDF M113 on the border of Lebanon and Israel...Most probably it was the Tharallah ATGM system that hit the M113.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇷🇺⚔️ 🇺🇦 Battle for Avdeevka : taking strategic heights near Krasnogorovka situation at the end of October 10, 2023 according to @rybar
Russian troops continue the operation to storm the Avdeevsky fortified area .
▪️Fights are still going on near the outskirts of the village of Berdychi . Soldiers of the Russian army have gained a foothold on the northeastern approaches after crossing the railway track and are awaiting a counterattack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
▪️Assault groups managed to break through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at a waste heap located southwest of Krasnogorovka . This is a commanding height from where Russian troops will be able to control the approaches to the Avdeevka fortified area from the north and west, facilitating the encirclement of Avdeevka. At the moment, the cleaning of the waste heap continues.
▪️In the southern sector, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting assault operations towards Severny and Tonenky . It has not yet been possible to reach the outskirts of populated areas, but several enemy strongholds have come under the control of Russian fighters.
▪️Fierce fighting is taking place in the southeast of the Avdeevsky fortified area. Due to dense mining and serious resistance from Ukrainian formations, it is not yet possible to reach the outskirts of the settlement.
🔻In general, the task of fire blocking and encircling the Avdeevsky fortified area is being accomplished . In less than 24 hours , Russian troops managed to make a significant breakthrough, which, against the backdrop of advances in previous months, looks very surprising and indicative.
At this stage, it is difficult to make any forecasts, but if everything continues at the same pace, we can probably witness a full-fledged operation to take the Avdeevsky fortified area under the control of Russian troops.
This, in turn, will reduce the intensity of shelling of cities in the Donetsk agglomeration by Ukrainian forces.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
Russian troops continue the operation to storm the Avdeevsky fortified area .
▪️Fights are still going on near the outskirts of the village of Berdychi . Soldiers of the Russian army have gained a foothold on the northeastern approaches after crossing the railway track and are awaiting a counterattack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
▪️Assault groups managed to break through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at a waste heap located southwest of Krasnogorovka . This is a commanding height from where Russian troops will be able to control the approaches to the Avdeevka fortified area from the north and west, facilitating the encirclement of Avdeevka. At the moment, the cleaning of the waste heap continues.
▪️In the southern sector, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting assault operations towards Severny and Tonenky . It has not yet been possible to reach the outskirts of populated areas, but several enemy strongholds have come under the control of Russian fighters.
▪️Fierce fighting is taking place in the southeast of the Avdeevsky fortified area. Due to dense mining and serious resistance from Ukrainian formations, it is not yet possible to reach the outskirts of the settlement.
🔻In general, the task of fire blocking and encircling the Avdeevsky fortified area is being accomplished . In less than 24 hours , Russian troops managed to make a significant breakthrough, which, against the backdrop of advances in previous months, looks very surprising and indicative.
At this stage, it is difficult to make any forecasts, but if everything continues at the same pace, we can probably witness a full-fledged operation to take the Avdeevsky fortified area under the control of Russian troops.
This, in turn, will reduce the intensity of shelling of cities in the Donetsk agglomeration by Ukrainian forces.
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Forwarded from Two Majors - English Channel
Ukrainian channels compared the Gaza Strip with Kharkov.
⭐️ It’s unlikely that they would want Kharkov to be treated the same way as the Gaza Strip.
Two Majors
⭐️ It’s unlikely that they would want Kharkov to be treated the same way as the Gaza Strip.
Two Majors
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸The US is conducting military planning in case of further escalation in the Middle East
The United States is conducting military planning in case of further escalation of the situation in the Middle East. This was stated at a briefing by the assistant to the American president for national security, Jake "Al Qaeda is on our side in Syria" Sullivan.
"The President also instructed us to plan actions in case of any scenarios of escalation of the situation," he said. Sullivan added that such planning is already actively underway.
Sullivan also recalled that, on the instructions of US President Joe Biden, the aircraft carrier Gerald Ford has already been transferred to the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea. "We are ready to transfer additional forces as needed," he added.
The White House spokesman explained that American troops are being deployed in order to send a signal not to the Hamas movement, but to "other states or non-state actors who may try to expand this war."
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
The United States is conducting military planning in case of further escalation of the situation in the Middle East. This was stated at a briefing by the assistant to the American president for national security, Jake "Al Qaeda is on our side in Syria" Sullivan.
"The President also instructed us to plan actions in case of any scenarios of escalation of the situation," he said. Sullivan added that such planning is already actively underway.
Sullivan also recalled that, on the instructions of US President Joe Biden, the aircraft carrier Gerald Ford has already been transferred to the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea. "We are ready to transfer additional forces as needed," he added.
The White House spokesman explained that American troops are being deployed in order to send a signal not to the Hamas movement, but to "other states or non-state actors who may try to expand this war."
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Forwarded from ResistanceTrench (Delta)
If you really want a war with Iran, stop beating around the bush with this cheap propaganda and bring it on now
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇵🇸⚔️ 🇮🇱 Video footage shows Israeli forces shooting four surrendering Palestinians in the back, after which they placed weapons next to the unarmed bodies for a staged victory shot.
In the published video, at the moment of their attempt to surrender, the Palestinians are unarmed. However, in the photos taken after the shooting, each of them miraculously appears to have a rifle in their hands.
It's worth noting that the video was published by an official Israeli military media outlet.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
In the published video, at the moment of their attempt to surrender, the Palestinians are unarmed. However, in the photos taken after the shooting, each of them miraculously appears to have a rifle in their hands.
It's worth noting that the video was published by an official Israeli military media outlet.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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🇬🇧🇵🇸🇮🇱 One of Palestine's supporters in the UK, scaling Sheffield City Hall, removed the Israeli flag from the flagpole and raised the Palestinian flag.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
ANDREI MARTYANOV & LARRY C. JOHNSON: The Ultimate Military Analyst Duo on the DDG Podcast!
Join us LIVE with ANDREI MARTYANOV - Military analyst, expert in Russian military and naval issues and LARRY C. JOHNSON - Former CIA and current geopolitical analyst.
Potential escalation in the Palestine-Israel conflict, what impact does the conflict have on Ukraine and their vital supplies. Can NATO keep Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan supported? Russia's activation of offensive operations in the Special Military Operation and more.
Set a reminder on:
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