🇮🇱⚡- 12 hours until the polls open in Israel. The final pre-blackout average from six polling houses (Channel 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 and Ma’ariv), with each party’s range across the polls in brackets:

- Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) - 22 seats (18-29)
- Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) - 22 seats (20-23)
- B'Yachad (Naftali Bennett + Yair Lapid) - 13 seats (7-15)
- Democrats (Yair Golan) - 10 seats (9-10)
- Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) - 8 seats (8-9)
- Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) - 8 seats (7-9)
- Shas (Aryeh Deri) - 8 seats (7-10)
- Yahadut HaTorah (Ya'akov Asher) - 8 seats (7-8)
- Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) - 8 seats (5-8)
- Tkuma (Bezalel Smotrich) - 7 seats (6-8)
- Ra'am (Mansour Abbas) - 6 seats (5-6)

Under 3.25% threshold:
- Amcha Yisrael (Ofer Winter) - 3.0%
- Reservists and Economic Party (Yoaz Hendel) - 2.7%

Likud-bloc: 53 seats (Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, Yahadut HaTorah, Tkuma)
Yashar-bloc: 53 seats (Yashar, B'Yachad*, Democrats, Yisrael Beiteinu)
Arab-coalition: 14 seats (Joint List, Ra'am).

*Assuming Bennett joins an Eisenkot-led bloc.

🇮🇷⚡- The arrival of the Mecca Alliance in Tehran. The senior officials include:

- Saudi Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman,
- Turkish Intelligence, MiT, Chief Ibrahim Kalin,
- Pakistan’s Army Chief Asim Munir.

🇸🇦🇾🇪⚡️- BREAKING: Saudi Arabia has offered Ansarullah (the Houthis) $1 billion during mediation with Iran to halt attacks on the Kingdom, Gulf diplomatic sources tell Israel Hayom.

🇮🇱⚡️- Netanyahu plans to dismiss IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir if he wins re-election, according to i24NEWS.

🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- The growing rift between Israel’s ruling political leadership and the security establishment is not limited to tensions between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, but also extends into the Mossad.

Newly appointed Mossad Chief Roman Gofman supports Netanyahu’s position on launching military action against Iran before the upcoming elections, however, several senior Mossad officials oppose such a move.

Trump Talks Peace While the CIA Is Fueling the War in Ukraine. https://sonar21.com/trump-talks-peace-while-the-cia-is-fueling-the-war-in-ukraine/

Le Monde: Witkoff demanded that Budanov halt strikes on Russian oil refineries, stating that they "put the world at risk."

A tense conversation took place on October 9 in Florida. The U.S. presidential envoy proposed a "regional prosperity plan" for the post-conflict period, which includes the full restoration of Russian oil and gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine.

According to Witkoff’s vision, this would generate revenue for Kyiv and reduce energy costs for Europe.

@ukr_leaks_eng

❗️Latest developments in Israeli elections:

As voting continues, the Central Elections Committee reported that national turnout reached 55.7 percent by 4:00 PM local time, marking an 8.2 percentage-point jump compared to the same hour during the 2022 elections.

Political figures across the spectrum have urged their bases to head to the ballot boxes before polls close at 10:00 PM, amid widespread reports of heavy congestion and procedural hurdles.

Seeking to leverage the frantic final hours of voting, Netanyahu’s ruling Likud party officially petitioned the Central Elections Committee to extend legal voting hours beyond the standard 10:00 PM closing time, a move joined by the ultra-Orthodox Shas party under the pretext of accommodating long lines.

The high participation rates have been accompanied by sharp political friction. Ta'al party leader Ahmad Tibi asserted that settlers were intentionally slowing down the voting process in Palestinian communities, while the legal rights organization Adalah noted it had received “numerous reports” regarding obstacles faced by Palestinians with Israeli citizenship at polling stations.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu cast his ballot in occupied West Jerusalem and urged his supporters to rush to the polls, claiming that Palestinian citizens were “racing to the ballots.”

Joint List leader Yousef Jabareen accused Netanyahu of continuing “to incite against Arab citizens and question our legitimacy to vote and influence the political map.”

Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot similarly criticized the incumbent leader, blasting the Likud campaign for relying on “tricks, lies and fearmongering” to mobilize right-wing voters.

🇮🇱 Prediction markets forecast Netanyahu's defeat

Users on prediction platforms are wagering heavily against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. A total of $59 million has been placed on bets regarding the next premier.

Most users (69%) back Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the "Yashar" party, as the likely successor, while only 20% support Netanyahu. In terms of parliamentary elections, 78% of bettors predict a victory for the "Yashar" party, followed by Netanyahu's "Likud" with 23%.

@Slavyangrad

⚡️🇮🇱 Benjamin Netanyahu posted on X:

This is an emergency call!

The future of our Jewish state hangs in the balance. Go out and vote right now!

Higher-than-usual voter turnout in the Arab sector compared to the low turnout of right-wing voters.

We must wake up - we must not stay home.

We're going out and voting right and bringing as many people as possible!

I cannot determine whether he’s just doing his usual thing (scaring the shit out of people with lies so they do what he wants) or if right wing turnout is genuinely low today.

Countrywide, there has been 44.9% voter turnout so far as of 2:00 PM Israeli time. For comparison, in the previous election, the turnout was 38.9%.

@MedmanNews

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "After the elections, the possibility of a confrontation with Iran exists - but it depends on the Americans. The intention is to pursue a joint course of action, if the decision on this matter is made by President Trump," - An Israeli security source tells Israeli Channel 12.

🇮🇱⚡- "It is unlikely that Eisenkot will call on Netanyahu to join him in a unity government, and Eisenkot instead may try to form a minority Zionist government," - Yaron Avraham of Israeli Channel 12.